Cowboys vs. Eagles Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest NFL Week 7 Odds for Monday Night Football
The Dallas Cowboys travel to Philadelphia for Monday Night Football in a crucial NFC East rivalry matchup between two teams desperate to end losing streaks. Can Dak Prescott and the Cowboys take advantage of Jalen Hurts' absence while Tanner McKee attempts to revive a struggling Eagles offense? Check out this Cowboys vs. Eagles prediction and best bet for Monday, October 26.
Peter Alexis - October 26, 2026, 6:00 PM EDT
5 Minute ReadCowboys vs. Eagles Prediction: Can Saquon Barkley Carry Eagles in Injury Return on MNF?
The Dallas Cowboys (2-4) visit the Philadelphia Eagles (2-4) at Lincoln Financial Field on Monday Night Football, with kickoff scheduled for 8:15 PM ET. Dallas enters as a 4.5-point road favorite, with the total set at 44 points. Both teams have struggled through the opening six games, but Philadelphia's mounting injuries and the absence of quarterback Jalen Hurts have dramatically changed expectations for this divisional matchup.
Dallas has lost consecutive games against Tampa Bay and Green Bay, while Philadelphia enters on a four-game losing streak after falling to Carolina last weekend. The Eagles will start Tanner McKee for the second consecutive game, while the Cowboys welcome back important defensive contributors. With both teams sitting at 2-4 in a competitive NFC East, Monday's matchup could have significant implications for their chances of remaining in the playoff race.
Cowboys vs. Eagles Recent Results
Dallas Cowboys (2-4)
The Cowboys suffered their second consecutive defeat with a 23-13 loss against the Green Bay Packers on Sunday Night Football. Dak Prescott threw for 258 yards, but Dallas struggled to establish offensive consistency and managed just 13 points against an improving Green Bay defense. The Cowboys also allowed Green Bay to convert 11 of 18 third-down opportunities, continuing a concerning trend of defensive inefficiency.
Dallas previously lost 24-16 against Tampa Bay following a 34-30 victory over Houston. The Cowboys have scored at least 31 points in three games this season, demonstrating significant offensive upside behind Prescott, CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens. However, consecutive games with fewer than 20 points have exposed problems with turnovers, rushing efficiency and red-zone execution.
Philadelphia Eagles (2-4)
Philadelphia dropped its fourth consecutive game with a 25-14 home defeat against the Carolina Panthers in Week 6. McKee completed 26 of 45 passes for 215 yards and one touchdown, but the Eagles managed just 222 total yards and 35 rushing yards. Carolina controlled possession and gradually pulled away as Philadelphia struggled to generate explosive plays.
The Eagles previously lost 19-17 against Jacksonville in London, following a 24-20 defeat against the Rams and a 27-7 loss to Chicago. Philadelphia opened the season with victories over Washington and Tennessee but has struggled considerably since. The offense ranks near the bottom of the league in total production, while injuries to Hurts, Saquon Barkley and several receivers have prevented the Eagles from developing consistency.
Cowboys vs. Eagles Head to Head
- November 23, 2025: Cowboys 24, Eagles 21
- September 4, 2025: Eagles 24, Cowboys 20
- December 29, 2024: Eagles 41, Cowboys 7
- November 10, 2024: Eagles 34, Cowboys 6
- December 10, 2023: Cowboys 33, Eagles 13
Dallas and Philadelphia split their two meetings last season, with the Cowboys winning the most recent matchup 24-21 at home. Prescott threw for 354 yards and two touchdowns, helping Dallas overcome an early 21-0 deficit. Philadelphia has won three of the last four meetings, although the Eagles' quarterback situation makes Sunday's historical trends less meaningful.
The Cowboys have not won at Lincoln Financial Field since 2022, providing Philadelphia with an important home-field advantage. However, the current matchup features a considerably different Eagles offense without Hurts and multiple established receiving options.
Cowboys vs. Eagles Date, Time, Where to Watch
- Date: Monday, October 26, 2026
- Time: 8:15 PM ET
- Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch: ESPN, ABC
Cowboys vs. Eagles Odds
- Spread: Cowboys -4.5 (-108), Eagles +4.5 (-108)
- Total Points: Over 44 (-108), Under 44 (-110)
- Moneyline: Cowboys -205, Eagles +190
Click here for the latest Cowboys vs. Eagles Odds
Cowboys vs. Eagles Line Movement and Betting Splits
The betting market has undergone one of the most dramatic adjustments of Week 7. Philadelphia initially opened as approximately a 3-point home favorite before the spread moved all the way to Dallas -4.5, representing a 7.5-point swing toward the Cowboys. The movement followed major developments surrounding Hurts' availability, with Philadelphia now preparing to start McKee for a second consecutive game.
The total has also fallen from approximately 48.5 to 44 points, reflecting reduced expectations for Philadelphia's offensive production. The Eagles have scored just 31 combined points over their last two games, while Dallas has struggled offensively in consecutive losses. However, the Cowboys retain considerably more established offensive talent and a healthier quarterback situation.
Tracked betting distribution shows Dallas attracting approximately 69% of spread tickets and 63% of the handle, compared with 31% of tickets and 37% of the money on Philadelphia. The Cowboys are clearly the more popular selection, although the Eagles have a slightly larger average wager. Dallas has also attracted approximately 86% of moneyline tickets and 80% of the handle, indicating substantial support for an outright Cowboys victory.
FairPlay AI provides additional support for Dallas, projecting the Cowboys as 7.5-point favorites with a 74% probability of winning. Compared with the sportsbook spread of Dallas -4.5, the model identifies approximately three points of theoretical value on the Cowboys. The projected total of 43 is also close to the market number, making the spread the stronger betting opportunity.
Dallas Cowboys Injury Report and Team News
- Drew Shelton (OT): Out, hamstring
- KaVontae Turpin (WR): Out, ribs
- Dee Winters (LB): Out, calf
- Marist Liufau (LB): Out, forearm, injured reserve/designated to return
- P.J. Locke (S): Out, foot, injured reserve/designated to return
- Broderick Jones (OT): No game designation, wrist
- Alijah Clark (S): No game designation, hamstring
- Cobie Durant (CB): No game designation, hamstring
- Tyler Guyton (OT): No game designation, calf
- Von Miller (OLB): No game designation, NIR-Rest
- DeMarvion Overshown (LB): No game designation, hamstring
- George Pickens (WR): No game designation, shoulder
- Joey Porter Jr. (CB): No game designation, ankle
- Ameer Speed (CB): No game designation, knee
Dallas receives important defensive reinforcements with Overshown and Durant returning from hamstring injuries. Overshown has missed five consecutive games since suffering his injury against the Giants in Week 1, while Durant has been unavailable since Week 2. Their returns should improve a Cowboys defense that ranks last in rushing yards allowed and has struggled to consistently prevent sustained scoring drives.
The Cowboys will be without Winters after he suffered an injury against Green Bay, making Overshown's return particularly timely. Turpin is also unavailable because of a rib injury, reducing Dallas' explosiveness on special teams and removing a rotational receiving option. However, Pickens, Guyton and Porter carry no game designations, providing Dallas with important stability in the passing attack and secondary.
Philadelphia Eagles Injury Report and Team News
- Michael Carter II (DB): Out, abdomen
- DeVonta Smith (WR): Out, hamstring
- Nolan Smith (OLB): Out, concussion
- Dontayvion Wicks (WR): Out, ankle
- Saquon Barkley (RB): Questionable, hamstring
- Jakorian Bennett (CB): Questionable, knee
- Grant Calcaterra (TE): Questionable, back
- Landon Dickerson (G): Questionable, knee/pectoral
- Jonathan Greenard (OLB): Questionable, ankle
- Jalyx Hunt (OLB): Questionable, knee/ankle
- Eli Stowers (TE): Questionable, quadriceps
- Zack Baun (LB): No game designation, shoulder
- Marquise Brown (WR): No game designation, ankle
- Jihaad Campbell (LB): No game designation, wrist
- Jalen Carter (DT): No game designation, wrist
- Britain Covey (WR): No game designation, shoulder
- Jordan Davis (DT): No game designation, shin/thumb
- Arnold Ebiketie (OLB): No game designation, shoulder
- A.J. Epenesa (OLB): No game designation, back
- Dallas Goedert (TE): No game designation, knee
- Fred Johnson (OT): No game designation, illness
- Drew Kendall (C): No game designation, knee
- Willie Lampkin (G): No game designation, illness
- Moro Ojomo (DT): No game designation, abdomen
- Tyler Steen (G): No game designation, shoulder
Philadelphia's most significant absence remains Hurts, who is on injured reserve following a serious blood-clot diagnosis. McKee will make his second consecutive start after throwing for 215 yards against Carolina, but the Eagles have struggled to sustain offensive production without their starting quarterback. Smith and Wicks have also been ruled out, leaving rookie Makai Lemon and Marquise Brown with increased receiving responsibilities.
Barkley is questionable after returning to full practice participation Saturday, and his availability could significantly affect Philadelphia's game plan against a vulnerable Dallas run defense. The Eagles also have concerns along their defensive front, with Nolan Smith ruled out and Greenard and Hunt questionable. Those injuries could make it more difficult to pressure Prescott, while Dickerson's uncertain availability creates another challenge for Philadelphia's offensive line.
Cowboys vs. Eagles Prediction
The biggest advantage for Dallas involves the quarterback matchup. Prescott has considerably more experience and a much stronger collection of established receiving options than McKee, who is making just his second start of the season. Philadelphia's offense struggled against Carolina last weekend, managing only 222 yards and 14 points, and now enters another divisional matchup without two important receivers.
Dallas should be able to exploit Philadelphia's secondary through Lamb and Pickens. The Cowboys have generated substantial passing yardage throughout the season, with Prescott throwing for more than 300 yards against Houston and Tampa Bay. Philadelphia ranks among the league's weaker pass defenses, creating opportunities for Dallas to establish offensive rhythm after consecutive disappointing performances.
The Eagles' pass rush also enters with significant personnel concerns. Nolan Smith has been ruled out, while Greenard and Hunt are questionable, potentially reducing Philadelphia's ability to consistently generate pressure without blitzing. Prescott should benefit from additional time in the pocket, particularly with Pickens cleared to play despite his shoulder injury.
Dallas also needs more consistent production from its rushing attack. Javonte Williams has demonstrated the ability to generate tough yards and contribute as a receiver, but the Cowboys have struggled to establish balance in recent defeats. Philadelphia's defense remains capable of controlling the line of scrimmage through Jalen Carter and Jordan Davis, making early-down rushing efficiency particularly important.
On the other side, Philadelphia's strongest opportunity comes through Barkley. Dallas has allowed approximately 150 rushing yards per game, the highest mark in the NFL entering Week 7. If Barkley returns close to full strength, the Eagles could establish a more balanced offensive approach and reduce the pressure on McKee. However, his hamstring injury creates uncertainty regarding his workload and explosiveness.
McKee's limitations also give Dallas opportunities to become more aggressive defensively. Without Hurts' rushing threat and ability to extend plays, Philadelphia loses an important dimension of its offense. The Cowboys can concentrate on limiting Barkley and forcing McKee into obvious passing situations, where their pass rush and improving defensive personnel could generate mistakes.
Dallas' defense remains a legitimate concern after struggling against Green Bay, particularly on third down. However, the returns of Overshown and Durant provide important reinforcements against an Eagles offense operating without several established starters. Dallas does not need a dominant defensive performance to cover if Prescott and the offense can consistently capitalize on favorable passing matchups.
FairPlay AI projects Dallas as a 7.5-point favorite with a 74% probability of winning, creating approximately three points of theoretical value compared with the market spread. Although the sportsbook has already moved substantially toward Dallas, the model still expects the Cowboys to create a larger margin. The combination of Philadelphia's quarterback situation, receiving injuries and defensive personnel concerns supports that projection.
The biggest risk is Dallas' recent offensive inconsistency and the difficulty of covering more than a field goal on the road in a divisional rivalry. Philadelphia has enough defensive talent to keep the game competitive, particularly if Barkley returns and controls the rushing attack. Nevertheless, the Cowboys possess the more reliable quarterback, stronger receiving options and improved defensive availability entering Monday night.
Cowboys vs. Eagles Best Bet
- Best Bet: Cowboys -4.5 (-108) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Dallas enters Monday Night Football with a significant quarterback advantage and a much healthier collection of offensive playmakers. Prescott should have opportunities to exploit Philadelphia's struggling secondary, particularly with the Eagles missing important pass rushers. Meanwhile, McKee faces another difficult assignment without Hurts, Smith and Wicks available to support the passing attack.
FairPlay AI projects Dallas as a 7.5-point favorite, providing approximately three points of theoretical value on the Cowboys at -4.5. Although Philadelphia's home-field advantage and potential return of Barkley create some risk, Dallas has the offensive advantages and improved defensive personnel to control this matchup. Cowboys -4.5 (-108) is the preferred selection for Monday Night Football.
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