Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Premier League Odds for Wednesday, February 11th
High-flying Aston Villa, currently sitting third in the Premier League table, welcome 14th-placed Brighton to Villa Park on Wednesday, February 11th, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 7:30 PM GMT. The hosts will be eager to solidify their Champions League ambitions, while the visitors desperately seek to pull away from the congested bottom half of the league standings.
OC Staff - February 11, 2026, 1:55 PM EST
3 Minute ReadAston Villa vs Brighton: Lineups, Team News and Prediction
High-flying Aston Villa, currently sitting third in the Premier League table, welcome 14th-placed Brighton to Villa Park on Wednesday, February 11th, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 7:30 PM GMT. The hosts will be eager to solidify their Champions League ambitions, while the visitors desperately seek to pull away from the congested bottom half of the league standings.
Aston Villa vs Brighton Form
The Villans arrive at this fixture following a 1-1 draw away to Bournemouth in their last Premier League outing. Looking at their last six matches across all competitions, the home side has endured a mixed run, with just one win, one draw, and four losses. This includes consecutive 0-1 home defeats in the Premier League against Brentford and Everton, indicating a recent struggle for goals at Villa Park. Interestingly, there have been under 2.5 goals scored in Aston Villa's last five Premier League games.
Brighton, meanwhile, suffered a 0-1 home defeat against Crystal Palace in their most recent league fixture. The Seagulls' form over their last six matches has been equally concerning, registering one win, three draws, and two losses. Their recent struggles are underscored by the fact that Brighton have failed to win 11 of their last 12 Premier League matches.
Aston Villa vs Brighton Head to Head
The most recent encounter between these two sides was a thrilling seven-goal spectacle in December 2025, where Aston Villa emerged victorious with a 4-3 win at Brighton's home ground.
Historically, this fixture has largely been dominated by the Midlands club. Over the last six meetings, Aston Villa have claimed four victories, with one match ending in a draw, and Brighton securing a single win. The Villans boast an impressive record, having scored at least two goals in nine of their last ten matches against Brighton in all competitions and remaining undefeated in ten of their last eleven encounters. Furthermore, there have been over 2.5 goals scored in seven of their last eight matches against Brighton.
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Aston Villa vs. Brighton Odds
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Aston Villa vs Brighton Probable Lineups
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1):
- Goalkeeper: E. Martínez
- Defenders: I. Maatsen (DL), P. Torres (DC), E. Konsa (DC), M. Cash (DR)
- Midfielders: A. Onana (DM), D. Luiz (DM), E. Buendía (AML), M. Rogers (AMC), J. Sancho (AMR)
- Forward: O. Watkins (FC)
Brighton (4-3-3):
- Goalkeeper: B. Verbruggen
- Defenders: M. D. Cuyper (DL), L. Dunk (DC), J. P. v. Hecke (DC), F. Kadioglu (DR)
- Midfielders: P. Groß (MC), C. Baleba (DM), J. Milner (MC)
- Forwards: K. Mitoma (FL), D. Welbeck (FC), Y. Minteh (FR)
Aston Villa vs Brighton Team News
Aston Villa will be contending with a significant injury list for this fixture. Midfielders Barkley, Edward, García, Kamara, McGinn, and Tielemans are all confirmed absentees due to injury. The homeNews suggests that Ian Maatsen could step in for Lucas Digne, while the attacking lineup may see Ollie Watkins retain his starting spot despite Tammy Abraham's availability.
Brighton also have several players sidelined. March, Tzimas, Webster, Wieffer, and Gómez are all injured. Additionally, Ayari remains a doubt with a shoulder injury, meaning James Milner could be called upon for his experience if Ayari doesn't recover in time, as per the awayNews. Yankuba Minteh and Danny Welbeck are expected to start up front as the Seagulls seek to ignite their attack.
Aston Villa vs Brighton Match Facts
- There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Aston Villa's last 5 games in Premier League.
- Aston Villa have scored at least 2 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches against Brighton in all competitions.
- Aston Villa have seen over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 matches against Brighton in all competitions.
- Aston Villa are undefeated in 10 of their last 11 matches against Brighton in all competitions.
- There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Brighton's last 6 games in Premier League.
- Brighton have failed to win 11 of their last 12 matches in Premier League.
Prediction: Aston Villa 2-1 Brighton
Aston Villa's title aspirations may be dimming after recent results, but their third-place standing highlights a strong overall season, despite a recent dip in home form. The Villans possess significant attacking strengths, particularly in creating chances through individual skill, long shots, and through balls, coupled with a propensity for protecting a lead. They also exhibit a style of play that involves short passes and attacking through the middle.
Brighton's season, conversely, is described as "unravelling," with a desperate record against Villa. While they share some offensive strengths with Villa, such as creating long shot opportunities and individual skill, they suffer from weaknesses in aerial duels, avoiding individual errors, and stopping opponents from creating chances. The forecast also predicts Brighton will be shown a high number of cards and stray offside often, indicating a potentially undisciplined performance. Given Villa's historical dominance in this fixture and their offensive capabilities, even with recent home wobbles, they should have enough to overcome a struggling Brighton side. The predicted score of 2-1 aligns with the historical trend of high-scoring encounters between these two.
Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals (-145) Click here to get the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Considering Aston Villa's formidable head-to-head record against Brighton, which includes scoring at least two goals in nine of their last ten meetings and seven of the last eight matches seeing over 2.5 goals, the "Over 2.5 Goals" market presents a compelling betting angle. Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games when they meet, and despite recent low-scoring league matches for both, the historical context points towards an open contest.
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