Arsenal vs Leverkusen Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Champions League Round of 16 Odds
Arsenal return to the Emirates Stadium with the advantage of an away draw as they host Bayer Leverkusen in the decisive second leg of their UEFA Champions League round of 16 tie. The match kicks off at 8:00 PM UTC on Tuesday, March 17, 2026, with the Gunners looking to secure their passage to the next round on home turf.
OC Staff - March 17, 2026, 10:55 AM EDT
3 Minute ReadArsenal vs Leverkusen: Lineups, Team News and Prediction
Arsenal return to the Emirates Stadium with the advantage of an away draw as they host Bayer Leverkusen in the decisive second leg of their UEFA Champions League round of 16 tie. The match kicks off at 8:00 PM UTC on Tuesday, March 17, 2026, with the Gunners looking to secure their passage to the next round on home turf.
Arsenal vs Leverkusen Form
The home side enters this fixture in strong domestic form, having secured a comfortable 2-0 victory over Everton in their last Premier League outing. This result contributes to an impressive run for Arsenal, who have won five and drawn just one of their last six matches across all competitions. Their only non-victory in this period was the 1-1 draw against Leverkusen in the first leg of this tie.
Leverkusen, meanwhile, come into the game on the back of a 1-1 draw against Bayern in the Bundesliga. The German side has been difficult to beat recently, remaining undefeated in their last six matches. However, their form is heavily skewed towards draws, with five stalemates and just one win in their last six outings. This includes the 1-1 draw against Arsenal in the first leg and a goalless draw against Olympiacos in an earlier Champions League fixture.
Arsenal vs Leverkusen Head to Head
The most recent encounter between these two sides was the 1-1 draw in the first leg of this Champions League tie on March 11, 2026. This result adds to a limited but competitive head-to-head record. In their four previous meetings, Arsenal have claimed two victories, with the other two matches ending in draws. Notably, one of Arsenal's wins was a dominant 4-1 performance at home in the Champions League during the 2001/2002 season.
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Arsenal vs. Leverkusen Odds
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Arsenal vs Leverkusen Probable Lineups
Arsenal (4-2-3-1):
Raya; Hincapié, Saliba, Magalhães, Mosquera; Zubimendi, Rice; Martinelli, Havertz, Saka; Gyökeres
Leverkusen (3-4-2-1):
Blaswich; Quansah, Andrich, Tapsoba; Grimaldo, García, Palacios, Poku; Maza, Tillman; Schick
Arsenal vs Leverkusen Team News
Arsenal face some significant injury concerns for this crucial European tie. Leandro Trossard, Martin Ødegaard, and Mikel Merino are all sidelined through injury, while Jurriën Timber is listed as doubtful. Despite these absences, Arsenal's attack has shown resilience, with Viktor Gyökeres expected to lead the line, supported by the likes of Gabriel Martinelli, Kai Havertz, and Bukayo Saka. Martinelli has been particularly prolific in this season's Champions League, scoring six goals, including in all four of the club's home matches. Havertz, too, has been in strong European form, extending a run of five goals in his last six Champions League appearances with his equalizer in the first leg.
Leverkusen arrive in London with a longer list of absentees. Mark Flekken, Lucas Vázquez, Loïc Badé, Eliesse Ben Seghir, and Arthur are all unavailable due to injury. Additionally, Aleix García and Martin Terrier remain doubts. The visitors are expected to deploy a 3-4-2-1 system, focusing on quick transitions and wide attacking play. Patrik Schick will lead the attack, supported by Malik Tillman and Ibrahim Maza, while Álex Grimaldo will be key from the left wing-back position, having created 26 chances in the Champions League this season.
Prediction: Arsenal 2-1 Leverkusen
This Champions League round of 16 second leg is finely poised after the 1-1 draw in Germany, but Arsenal hold a significant advantage returning to their home ground. Mikel Arteta's side is in superb form, currently unbeaten in their last 13 competitive matches, and their home record in Europe is formidable. The Gunners have won all four of their Champions League matches at the Emirates this season, scoring an impressive 12 goals while conceding only three.
Leverkusen, while difficult to beat, have struggled to convert draws into victories, with five of their last six matches ending in stalemates. Their historical away record against English opposition in the Champions League also presents a challenge. Arsenal's superior average rating (6.92 vs 6.64), higher number of shots per game (15.67 vs 11.18), and greater aerial prowess (14.89 won vs 9.36) suggest they will dictate play. The home side's offensive strengths, particularly Gabriel Martinelli's prolific scoring at home and Kai Havertz's recent form, combined with Declan Rice's midfield influence and a solid defensive pairing of William Saliba and Gabriel Magalhães, should be enough to overcome the German visitors.
Best Bet: Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score - Yes Check out the best odds on Caesars Sportsbook
Given Arsenal's formidable home record in the Champions League, where they've scored freely, and Leverkusen's consistent ability to find the net (as evidenced by the first leg and Patrik Schick's reliability), an Arsenal victory with both teams scoring appears to be a strong betting angle. The predicted 2-1 scoreline directly supports this outcome, offering good value for a hard-fought but ultimately home-favoured match.
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