Everton vs Chelsea Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Premier League Odds for Saturday, March 21st
Eighth-placed Everton welcome sixth-placed Chelsea to Goodison Park this Friday, March 21st, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:30 UTC. The Toffees will be eager to climb further up the Premier League table, while the Blues are desperate for a win to solidify their European aspirations in what promises to be a tense encounter in the 2025/2026 season.
OC Staff - March 21, 2026, 11:00 AM EDT
3 Minute ReadEverton vs Chelsea Form
The home side enters this fixture following a 2-0 defeat away at Arsenal in their last Premier League outing. Looking at their recent form, Everton have had a mixed bag of results, with their last six league matches yielding three wins and three losses. This includes a 2-0 home victory against Burnley, but also home defeats to Manchester United (0-1) and Bournemouth (1-2), highlighting an inconsistency that currently sees them ranked 17th in the form table over the last six home matches.
Chelsea's most recent league match saw them fall to a 1-0 away defeat against Newcastle. The visitors' form has been somewhat concerning of late, with only one win in their last six league games, alongside two draws and three losses. This run includes a heavy 5-2 Champions League defeat to PSG and a 2-1 loss against Arsenal in the league, indicating a struggle for consistency, especially on the road where they are ranked 4th in the form table over the last six away matches. Interestingly, Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches against Everton in all competitions, suggesting a defensive solidity against these opponents despite their wider struggles.
Everton vs Chelsea Head to Head
The most recent clash between these two clubs took place in December 2025, where Chelsea secured a 2-0 victory over Everton. Historically, matches between these two sides have often been tight affairs, with Everton seeing under 2.5 goals in nine of their last eleven encounters with Chelsea in all competitions. Over their last six meetings, Chelsea have had the upper hand with three wins, two draws, and one defeat against the Toffees. Everton, however, boast a strong home record against the Blues, having kept a clean sheet in six of their last eight home matches against them.
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Everton vs Chelsea Odds
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Everton vs Chelsea Probable Lineups
Everton (4-2-3-1):
Pickford; Mykolenko, Branthwaite, Tarkowski, O'Brien; Gueye, Iroegbunam; Ndiaye, Dewsbury-Hall, McNeil; Beto
Chelsea (4-2-3-1):
Sánchez; Cucurella, Fofana, Adarabioyo, Gusto; Caicedo, Santos; Neto, Fernández, Palmer; Pedro
Everton vs Chelsea Team News
Everton are grappling with several injury concerns ahead of this crucial fixture. Jack Grealish has been ruled out for the remainder of the season due to injury, while Carlos Alcaraz is also sidelined. Defensive duo Jarrad Branthwaite and James Tarkowski are both doubtful, which could significantly impact the home side's backline strength, though they are expected to return after missing the Arsenal game. Additionally, Tyrique George is ineligible to face his parent club.
Chelsea also have a list of absentees. Levi Colwill, Trevoh Chalobah, and Reece James are all out with injuries, with Chalobah specifically nursing an ankle issue sustained against PSG. F. Jörgensen is also unavailable. Mykhailo Mudryk is out for unspecified reasons. There's better news for Malo Gusto, who is expected to return after missing the Champions League tie through illness, while Tosin Adarabioyo could make a rare start at centre-back.
Everton vs Chelsea Match Facts
- Everton have seen under 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 11 matches against Chelsea in all competitions.
- Everton have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their last 8 home matches against Chelsea in all competitions.
- Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 matches against Everton in all competitions.
Prediction: Everton 1-1 Chelsea
Everton will be looking for a strong response after their late defeat at Arsenal and will be buoyed by the prospect of a big home win at their new stadium. While they have struggled to score against Chelsea in recent meetings, their defensive strengths at home, particularly in aerial duels and stealing the ball, could frustrate the visitors. Chelsea, on the other hand, arrive with their season teetering on the brink after a poor run of form, including a Champions League debacle. Despite their offensive strengths in shooting from free-kicks and creating chances through individual skill, their weakness in stopping opponents from creating chances could be exploited. The Blues are expected to dominate possession and may score from a fast break, but a resilient Everton could hold them to a draw. Given Chelsea's recent struggles and Everton's defensive solidity at home, a hard-fought draw seems the most likely outcome.
Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals (+102) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Considering the prediction of a 1-1 draw and the historical data, a strong betting angle is for Under 2.5 Goals. This aligns perfectly with the fact that Everton have seen under 2.5 goals in nine of their last eleven matches against Chelsea in all competitions. Furthermore, Chelsea's recent defensive record against Everton, having kept four clean sheets in a row against them, suggests goals might be at a premium, even if a late breakthrough leads to both teams scoring.
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