PSG vs Toulouse Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Ligue 1 Odds for Friday, April 3rd
Table-toppers PSG prepare to host mid-table Toulouse in a Ligue 1 clash at their home ground on Thursday, April 3, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 7:45 PM BST. The Parisians, currently sitting at the summit of the league, will be looking to extend their lead, while their visitors, ranked 9th, aim to cause an upset and solidify their position in the top half.
OC Staff - April 3, 2026, 11:00 AM EDT
3 Minute ReadPSG vs Toulouse: Lineups, Team News and Prediction
Table-toppers PSG prepare to host mid-table Toulouse in a Ligue 1 clash at their home ground on Thursday, April 3, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 7:45 PM BST. The Parisians, currently sitting at the summit of the league, will be looking to extend their lead, while their visitors, ranked 9th, aim to cause an upset and solidify their position in the top half.
PSG vs Toulouse Form
The hosts come into this fixture on the back of a resounding 4-0 away victory against Nice in their last Ligue 1 outing. This impressive win continues a strong run of form for PSG, who have secured four wins, one draw, and just one loss in their last six matches across all competitions. This dominant spell includes a crucial 5-2 home win against Chelsea in the Champions League and a 1-0 away victory at Le Havre. Their only recent league defeat came at home against Monaco, a rare stumble in an otherwise stellar run. Indeed, PSG have won 10 of their last 12 matches in Ligue 1, showcasing their consistent dominance in the domestic league.
Toulouse, meanwhile, notched a 1-0 home win against Lorient in their most recent Ligue 1 encounter. Their form over the last six matches has been more mixed, with two wins, three draws (including a Coupe de France match where they advanced on penalties), and one loss. This run also saw them secure an impressive 4-3 away victory over Metz, but also suffer defeats to Marseille and Rennes. The visitors will need to find another gear to challenge the league leaders.
PSG vs Toulouse Head to Head
The last meeting between these two sides was an absolute goal-fest, with PSG emerging victorious in a thrilling 6-3 away win against Toulouse in Ligue 1 back in August 2025.
Looking at the overall head-to-head record over the last six encounters, PSG have held a significant advantage, winning four of these matches, with one draw and one victory for Toulouse. This dominance is further highlighted by the fact that PSG have won 16 of their last 18 home matches against Toulouse across all competitions, underscoring the challenge awaiting the visitors.
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PSG vs. Toulouse Odds
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PSG vs Toulouse Probable Lineups
PSG (4-3-3):
- Goalkeeper: M. Safonov
- Defenders: N. Mendes (DL), W. Pacho (DC), I. Zabarnyi (DC), A. Hakimi (DR)
- Midfielders: Vitinha (MC), D. Fernández (DM), W. Zaïre-Emery (MC)
- Forwards: K. Kvaratskhelia (FL), O. Dembélé (FC), D. Doué (FR)
Toulouse (3-4-2-1):
- Goalkeeper: G. Restes
- Defenders: C. Cresswell (DC), R. Nicolaisen (DC), M. McKenzie (DC)
- Midfielders: D. Sidibé (ML), C. Cásseres (MC), P. Diop (MC), A. Dønnum (MR)
- Attacking Midfielders: Y. Gboho (AM), J. Russell-Rowe (AM)
- Forward: Emersonn (FC)
PSG vs Toulouse Team News
PSG face several absences for this crucial fixture. Quentin Ndjantou, Bradley Barcola, and Senny Mayulu are all ruled out due to injury. Additionally, Fabian Ruiz and Joao Neves are listed as doubts, which could impact the midfield options for the home side. On a positive note, Achraf Hakimi is available again after serving a suspension, providing a boost to their defensive and attacking flanks.
Toulouse also have injury concerns, with Abu Francis and Santiago Hidalgo remaining sidelined. The away side will also be sweating on the fitness of Rafik Messali, Dayann Methalie, and Frank Magri, all of whom are considered doubts for the game. These potential absences could limit the tactical flexibility for the visitors.
PSG vs Toulouse Match Facts
- PSG have won 16 of their last 18 home matches against Toulouse in all competitions.
- PSG have won 10 of their last 12 matches in Ligue 1.
- There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of PSG's last 7 games in Ligue 1.
Prediction: PSG 2-0 Toulouse
PSG, occupying the top spot in Ligue 1, come into this match as clear favourites against ninth-placed Toulouse. The hosts boast a formidable home record against Toulouse and have been in excellent league form, winning 10 of their last 12 Ligue 1 encounters. PSG's playing style is characterised by controlling possession (averaging 69.02%), making accurate passes (91.4%), and creating numerous scoring chances through individual skill and long-shot opportunities. Their offensive strengths, coupled with their ability to finish chances, will likely pose a significant threat.
While Toulouse are predicted to create many scoring chances and possess strengths in attacking set pieces and aerial duels, their weaknesses in keeping possession (averaging just 42.83%) and defending counter-attacks could be exposed by PSG's dynamic attack. The visitors have also struggled on the road recently, winning just once in their last four away trips. Considering PSG's overall dominance, particularly at home, and their strong defensive capabilities, a clean sheet for the Parisians seems plausible despite Toulouse's potential to create opportunities.
Best Bet: PSG to Win to Nil Click here to get the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Given PSG's predicted 2-0 victory and their historical dominance over Toulouse at home, backing the hosts to win without conceding appears to be a valuable betting angle. PSG's strong defensive statistics, coupled with Toulouse's struggles to maintain possession and their recent away form, suggest that the visitors might find it difficult to break down the league leaders. While Toulouse are expected to create chances, PSG's robust defence and control of the game should be enough to keep them at bay.
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