Burnley vs Brighton Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Premier League Odds
The Premier League's relegation battle meets a European hopeful as 19th-placed Burnley welcome 10th-placed Brighton & Hove Albion to Turf Moor on Friday, April 11, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 3:00 PM BST. The hosts are desperate for points to claw their way out of the drop zone, while the visitors aim to continue their push up the table.
OC Staff - April 11, 2026, 7:30 AM EDT
3 Minute MinuteBurnley vs Brighton: Lineups, Team News and Prediction
The Premier League's relegation battle meets a European hopeful as 19th-placed Burnley welcome 10th-placed Brighton & Hove Albion to Turf Moor on Friday, April 11, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 3:00 PM BST. The hosts are desperate for points to claw their way out of the drop zone, while the visitors aim to continue their push up the table.
Burnley vs Brighton Form
The Clarets approach this fixture following a disappointing 3-1 away loss to Fulham in their last Premier League outing. This result highlights a challenging period for the home side, who have failed to secure a win in their last five league matches, recording two draws and three defeats. Across all competitions, Burnley's last six games show a concerning trend of four losses and two draws, including an FA Cup exit at home to Mansfield. They currently sit 19th in the league form table over the last six matches, reflecting their struggle for consistency. Indeed, a stark fact is that Burnley have failed to win 21 of their last 22 matches in the Premier League.
In contrast, Brighton comes into this game in strong form, having secured a crucial 2-1 home victory against Liverpool in their most recent Premier League match. This impressive win is part of a run that has seen the Seagulls claim four wins and two losses across their last six fixtures in all competitions, including a solid 4-1-0 record in their last five league matches. Their recent performances have propelled them to 3rd in the Premier League form table over the last six games, demonstrating their current momentum and attacking prowess.
Burnley vs Brighton Head to Head
The most recent encounter between these two sides saw Brighton emerge victorious with a comfortable 2-0 win at home in January 2026 during the current Premier League season.
Looking at their last six meetings in the Premier League, the head-to-head record is closely contested. Brighton has secured two wins, Burnley has one victory, and three matches have ended in a draw. Interestingly, a recurring theme in these encounters is a lack of goals, with Burnley having seen under 2.5 goals in their last three matches against Brighton in all competitions.
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Burnley vs. Brighton Odds
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Burnley vs Brighton Probable Lineups
Burnley (4-2-3-1):
- Goalkeeper: Dúbravka
- Defenders: Hartman (DL), Estève (DC), Humphreys (DC), Walker (DR)
- Midfielders: Ward-Prowse (DM), Florentino (DM), Anthony (AML), Ugochukwu (AMC), Foster (AMR)
- Forward: Flemming (FC)
Brighton (4-3-3):
- Goalkeeper: Verbruggen
- Defenders: Kadioglu (DL), Boscagli (DC), van Hecke (DC), Wieffer (DR)
- Midfielders: Groß (MC), Baleba (DM), Hinshelwood (MC)
- Forwards: Mitoma (FL), Welbeck (FC), Minteh (FR)
Burnley vs Brighton Team News
Burnley are facing a significant injury crisis, with several key players sidelined. Jordan Beyer (knee) is a long-term absentee, and Josh Cullen (knee) has been ruled out for the remainder of the season. Connor Roberts is still weeks away from a return despite being back in training. Hannibal Mejbri is expected to miss out with a hamstring injury, meaning Ugochukwu is likely to step into the starting XI. Zeki Amdouni, though back in training after a long-term ACL injury, is unlikely to feature in this match. Adding to their woes, Josh Laurent is suspended following his recent sending off at Fulham.
Brighton also have some notable absences. Lewis Dunk will serve the first of a two-game ban after accumulating his tenth yellow card of the season. This opens the door for Olivier Boscagli to make a rare start in central defence. Salomon Tzimas and Adam Webster are also out injured. However, Kaoru Mitoma, who scored the winner for Japan against England during the international break, is expected to start on the left wing.
Burnley vs Brighton Match Facts
- Burnley have failed to win 21 of their last 22 matches in Premier League.
- Burnley have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 3 matches against Brighton in all competitions.
Prediction: Burnley 0-1 Brighton
This match pits a struggling Burnley side against a Brighton team finding form and pushing for European qualification. The Clarets, rooted in the relegation zone, have shown some improvements recently but their overall record of only one victory since November points to their precarious position. With 18th-placed West Ham playing earlier in the weekend, Burnley could find themselves even further adrift by kick-off, amplifying the pressure.
Brighton, buoyed by their impressive win over Liverpool, are building momentum. Their tactical strengths in creating long-shot opportunities and chances through individual skill align perfectly with Burnley's weaknesses, which include defending against long shots and skillful players, as well as an inability to maintain possession. The Seagulls' average possession of 52.8% compared to Burnley's 41.35%, coupled with a higher average of 12.84 shots per game, suggests they will dominate proceedings. Forecasts specifically highlight Brighton scoring from long shots and individual skill, further reinforcing their offensive threat against a vulnerable Burnley defence. While Burnley's home advantage could make it a tighter affair, particularly given their historical tendency for low-scoring games against Brighton, the visitors' superior form and tactical advantages make them favourites to secure a narrow victory.
Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals Click here to get the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Given the prediction of a 0-1 scoreline and the historical fact that "Burnley have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 3 matches against Brighton in all competitions," betting on Under 2.5 Goals appears to be a valuable betting angle. Burnley's struggles in front of goal combined with Brighton's solid defensive record and the importance of the match for both sides could lead to a cagey affair with few goals.
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