Leeds vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Premier League Odds - Friday, May 1st
This Friday night, two Premier League sides with contrasting fortunes meet at Elland Road as 15th-placed Leeds host 19th-placed Burnley. The crucial encounter, which could have significant implications at both ends of the table, kicks off at 8:00 PM BST on May 1, 2026.
OC Staff - May 1, 2026, 11:00 AM EDT
3 Minute ReadLeeds vs Burnley: Lineups, Team News and Prediction
This Friday evening, two Premier League sides with contrasting fortunes meet at Elland Road as 15th-placed Leeds host 19th-placed Burnley. The crucial encounter, which could have significant implications at both ends of the table, kicks off at 8:00 PM BST on May 1, 2026.
Leeds vs Burnley Form
Leeds enter this fixture on the back of a hard-fought 2-2 draw away against Bournemouth in their last Premier League outing. The Yorkshire side has shown resilience recently, remaining undefeated in their last five Premier League matches, a run that includes a commanding 3-0 home victory over Wolves. Their recent form, which sees them ranked 9th in the league over the last six games, suggests a team finding its stride at a crucial point in the season. Notably, the hosts have also scored at least two goals in their last three Premier League matches, indicating an improved attacking threat.
In stark contrast, Burnley's recent form paints a grim picture. The Clarets suffered a 0-1 home defeat to Manchester City in their most recent match, a result that confirmed their relegation to the Championship after a miserable season. This loss was part of a dire run that has seen Burnley lose six of their last seven Premier League matches. Over the last six games, they sit at the very bottom of the form table, having managed just one draw and five defeats, conceding goals regularly.
Leeds vs Burnley Head to Head
The most recent clash between these two teams saw Burnley secure a 2-0 victory over Leeds at home in October 2025.
Looking at their last six meetings across all competitions, the record is evenly split with Leeds winning two, Burnley winning two, and two matches ending in a draw. An interesting historical fact is that Leeds have seen under 2.5 goals in their last three matches against Burnley in all competitions. Furthermore, Burnley have managed to keep a clean sheet in their last three encounters with Leeds.
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Leeds vs. Burnley Odds
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Leeds vs Burnley Probable Lineups
Leeds (3-4-2-1):
- Goalkeeper: Darlow
- Defenders: Rodon, Struijk, Justin
- Midfielders: Gudmundsson, Tanaka, Ampadu, Bogle
- Attacking Midfielders: Aaronson, Okafor
- Forward: Calvert-Lewin
Burnley (4-2-3-1):
- Goalkeeper: Dúbravka
- Defenders: Hartman, Estève, Ekdal, Walker
- Defensive Midfielders: Ward-Prowse, Florentino
- Attacking Midfielders: Anthony, Ugochukwu, Edwards
- Forward: Flemming
Leeds vs Burnley Team News
Leeds will be without midfielder Gruev, who is sidelined with a knee injury for the remainder of the season. Left-back Gudmundsson is also listed as doubtful with a hamstring problem, which could force a tactical reshuffle.
Burnley's injury list is more extensive. Defenders Beyer and Roberts are injured, as is midfielder Cullen, who is ruled out for the rest of the campaign. There are also doubts over the availability of Mejbri, Amdouni, and Tuanzebe, all of whom are facing fitness tests. These absences severely limit options for the visiting side.
Leeds vs Burnley Match Facts
- There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Leeds's last 3 games in Premier League.
- Leeds have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 3 matches against Burnley in all competitions.
- Leeds have scored at least 2 goals in their last 3 matches in Premier League.
- Leeds are undefeated in their last 5 matches in Premier League.
- Burnley have lost 6 of their last 7 matches in Premier League.
- Burnley have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 matches against Leeds in all competitions.
Prediction: Leeds 2-0 Burnley
Leeds' FA Cup dream might be over following last Sunday's semi-final defeat to Chelsea, but they're still in a good moment and can virtually clinch Premier League safety with a victory here. Seven of their nine top-flight wins this season have come at Elland Road and another will send them nine points clear of the relegation zone. A fourth straight defeat against Manchester City last week saw Burnley's relegation to the Championship confirmed after what has been a miserable season for Scott Parker's side. The Clarets won their last trip to Elland Road back in September 2024.
Best Bet: Leeds to Win to Nil (+120) Click here to get the best odds at Bet365 Sportsbook
Considering Leeds are predicted to win 2-0 and Burnley's struggles in front of goal during their recent poor run of form, backing Leeds to win without conceding seems a strong proposition. The hosts are undefeated in their last five Premier League matches, while the visitors have lost six of their last seven in the league, often failing to trouble the scorers. This bet aligns perfectly with the predicted scoreline and Burnley's overall offensive struggles this season.
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