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Olise x Mbappé Francia Mondiali 2026 (Getty)

Paraguay vs France Prediction, Lineups, Betting Pick, Latest World Cup Round of 16 Odds - Saturday, July 4th

The global stage is set for a fascinating clash as Paraguay prepare to take on powerhouse France in the knockout stages of the FIFA World Cup. Check out this Paraguay vs. France prediction and best bet for Saturday, July 4th in Philly with a quarterfinal trip on the line.

Paraguay vs France Prediction: Will France Dismantle Paraguay En Route to Quarterfinals?

The global stage is set for a fascinating clash as Paraguay prepare to take on powerhouse France in the knockout stages of the FIFA World Cup. Scheduled for a 5 PM ET kickoff on July 4th, this highly anticipated fixture will take place at a neutral international venue, with both nations desperate to secure passage to the quarter-finals of football's biggest tournament.

Paraguay vs France Recent Results

The South Americans enter this match on the back of a heroic, morale-boosting victory, having knocked out Germany on penalties following a hard-fought 1-1 draw in their last outing. It has been a mixed tournament path for the hosts, who suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat to the USA in the group stage before recovering with a goalless draw against Australia and a tight 1-0 loss to Turkiye. Despite their inconsistent results, their resilience has carried them through to the business end of the competition.

In stark contrast, the visitors have been absolutely electric throughout the tournament. The French cruised to a commanding 3-0 victory over Sweden in their last match, continuing their flawless run. The former champions have won all four of their World Cup fixtures so far, scoring a ruthless 13 goals in the process. Their formidable form is backed up by historical dominance, as they remain undefeated in their last five matches against their upcoming opponents in all competitions.

Paraguay vs France Head to Head

The last meeting between these two nations took place back in June 2017, where the European heavyweights secured an emphatic 5-0 victory in an international friendly. Historically, the hosts have struggled to find a way past their illustrious opponents, failing to win any of their previous five encounters. France have registered three victories and two draws in this fixture, including a dramatic 1-0 extra-time win during their victorious 1998 World Cup campaign.

Paraguay vs France Odds

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Paraguay vs France Date, Time, and Where to Watch

  • Date: Thursday, July 2nd, 2026
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch: FOX, Telemundo, FOX One

Paraguay vs France Betting Trends

Here are the latest betting trends for this Paraguay vs France match, as you try to find your favorite betting angle for the game. Powered by Oddschecker+ Trends Tool to bring you the best AI advantage for the World Cup.

Paraguay vs France Probable Lineups

Paraguay (4-4-2): Gill; Cáceres, Gómez, Canale, Alonso; Almirón, Cubas, D. Gómez, Galarza; Enciso, Ávalos

France (4-2-3-1): Maignan; Koundé, Upamecano, Saliba, Digne; Rabiot, Tchouaméni; Dembélé, Olise, Barcola; Mbappé

The tactical battle will likely be won or lost in the middle of the pitch. France's preferred 4-2-3-1 formation allows them to dominate possession, averaging an impressive 56.51% compared to Paraguay's modest 31.14%. The midfield screen of Adrien Rabiot and Aurélien Tchouaméni will look to control the tempo, boasting a team passing accuracy of 87.96%. Paraguay will set up in a compact 4-4-2, relying on defensive discipline and the aerial prowess of Gustavo Gómez, as they average 18.75 aerial duels won per game. However, dealing with a French attack that averages 18.25 shots per game will test the South American backline to its absolute limit.

Paraguay vs France Team News

The home side will be boosted by the return of midfielder Diego Gómez, who is expected to walk straight back into the starting eleven after serving a one-game suspension during the victory over Germany. However, they face a blow in defence where Omar Alderete is highly doubtful with a knee injury, meaning José Canale is set to deputise once again. France, on the other hand, boast a clean bill of health. Their only selection dilemma is on the left wing, where Bradley Barcola is expected to start ahead of his competitors after finding the net against Sweden.

Paraguay vs France Match Facts

  • France are undefeated in their last 5 matches against Paraguay in all competitions.

Prediction: Paraguay 0-3 France

While the South Americans showed incredible spirit to eliminate Germany, France represent an entirely different beast. The European giants possess too much attacking quality, with the likes of Kylian Mbappé, Michael Olise, and Ousmane Dembélé operating at the peak of their powers. Paraguay's statistical weaknesses in retaining possession and allowing high volumes of shots will be ruthlessly exploited by a French side that has been the most cohesive attacking unit in the tournament. Expect a comfortable victory for the favourites to march into the quarter-finals.

Best Bet: France to Win to Nil Check out the best odds on Caesars Sportsbook

Given Paraguay’s struggles to create consistent chances—averaging just 7.5 shots per game—and France’s defensive solidity, backing the visitors to win without conceding offers excellent value. The French backline, shielded by a world-class midfield, should easily nullify a direct South American attack that has struggled for goals throughout the tournament.

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