Alaves vs Valencia Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Alaves vs Valencia Game Preview

The Alaves vs Valencia prediction points to a lopsided matchup at Mendizorroza, where a surging home side welcomes a visiting team in crisis on Matchday 6 of LaLiga.

Alaves arrive in third place with 10 points from their first five games, one of the early-season stories in the standings and firm home favorites for this one.

Valencia sit dead last on a single point, and the club terminated head coach Carlos Corberan on September 13, handing the reins to interim boss Oscar Sanchez.

Alaves carry a 53.63% implied probability of victory, and the visitors bring one of the worst records in the division into this trip.

Alaves vs Valencia Recent Results

Alaves have been one of the surprises of the young LaLiga season, climbing to third with 10 points from five games and ranking fourth in the standings and fourth for current form. They thrive on shot volume and set pieces, taking a lot of shots and attacking down the wings, with Lucas Boye leading the line up front.

Valencia are in freefall, sitting 20th in the standings and 20th for form after losing their last four games in LaLiga. The visitors struggle to keep possession and finish chances, and their attack has been gutted by injuries. A shaky backline defending counters and through balls is exactly the kind of unit this Alaves side can pick apart.

Alaves vs Valencia Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Alaves: M. Rodriguez (Injured/out), F. Garces (Injured/out), A. Manas (Injured/out)

Valencia: U. Sadiq (Injured/out), S. Canos (Injured/out), Copete (Injured/out), D. Lopez (Injured/out), D. Foulquier (Injured/out), M. Diakhaby (Injured/out), C. Tarrega (Injured/doubtful), L. Rioja (Injured/doubtful)

Alaves

Mikel Rodriguez and Facundo Garces both remain out injured for Alaves, with neither expected back until late in the season. Aitor Manas is the latest to pick up a knock and is set to miss out for the rest of the month.

Valencia

Valencia have a pile of injury problems heading into this trip. Umar Sadiq, Sergi Canos, Copete, Diego Lopez, Mouctar Diakhaby and Dimitri Foulquier are all out injured, while Cesar Tarrega and Luis Rioja are both doubts.

Alaves vs Valencia Predicted Lineup

Alaves

Formation: 3-5-2

Predicted Starting Lineup: A. Sivera; J. Otto, V. Koski, N. Tenaglia; A. Rebbach, A. Blanco, C. Aleña, P. Ibáñez, Á. Pérez; L. Boyé, T. Martínez

Valencia

Formation: 4-2-3-1

Predicted Starting Lineup: S. Dimitrievski; J. Vázquez, J. d. Haas, I. Córdoba, A. Martínez; J. Guerra, F. Ugrinic; R. Sato, H. Elliott, D. Otorbi; H. Duro

Alaves vs Valencia Key Stats & Game Facts

• Alaves are undefeated in their last 8 home games against Valencia in all competitions.
• Alaves have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 home games against Valencia in all competitions.
• There have been under 2.5 goals in Alaves' last 3 home games against Valencia in all competitions.
• Lucas Boye has attempted 2+ shots in 4 of his last 5 games vs Valencia (LaLiga).
• Antonio Blanco has committed 2+ fouls in 5 of his last 6 games vs Valencia (LaLiga).

Alaves vs Valencia Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our prediction is a home win for Alaves. They carry a 53.63% implied probability of victory, and the case builds itself: Alaves sit third in the standings while Valencia arrive rock bottom, winless, and gutted by injuries up front. Expect the projected 1.5 to 0.8 scoring edge in favor of the hosts to hold up at Mendizorroza.

Best Picks

Back 'No' in the Both Teams To Score market. In the Both Teams To Score market, the numbers strongly favor a shutout. Probabilities peg both teams finding the net at just 43.16%, and Alaves have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three home games against Valencia in all competitions. With the visitors depleted in attack and on a four-game losing streak in LaLiga, keeping a clean sheet is a very realistic outcome for the hosts.

Back Abde Rebbach Over 1.5 in the Player Shots market. In the Player Shots market, Rebbach is well worth backing to rack up attempts. He lines up on the left wing for an Alaves side built around crossing and shooting volume, going at a Valencia backline missing multiple regular starters. That combination of a shot-heavy team structure and a weakened opponent's defense gives him every opportunity to exceed 1.5 shots.

Alaves vs Valencia Same Game Parlay

Here is a four-leg SGP built around the home side: Alaves to win, Lucas Boye over 2.5 shots, Mariano Diaz anytime goalscorer, and Abde Rebbach to be shown a card.

Alaves to win is the anchor. Valencia have lost four of their last four games in LaLiga, and the hosts sit third in the standings while the visitors prop up the division.

Lucas Boye over 2.5 shots fits the profile of an Alaves attack that takes a lot of shots, and Boye has attempted 3+ shots in three of his last three LaLiga outings.

Mariano Diaz anytime goalscorer adds punch off the bench or from the start, with Diaz having found the net in three of his last five LaLiga appearances against a leaky defense.

Abde Rebbach to be shown a card rounds it out. Rebbach has been carded in two of his last three LaLiga games and plays an aggressive role on the wing for a physical home team.

Best available price on this SGP at the time of writing is +1800, with the shortest price coming in at +1031 elsewhere. A $10 bet at the top price returns $77 more than the same stake at the lowest available price.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Alaves vs Valencia Talking Points

There is a subplot here beyond the standings. Alaves manager Quique Sanchez Flores, a former Valencia boss, admitted sympathy for the club's supporters, saying he is with the Valencianistas going through their current struggle. He was quick to clarify his loyalties, adding that he is a babazorro right now and wants the best for his team, the best game possible, and a win. On the field, the numbers back him up: Alaves have won all three of their home league games at Mendizorroza this season, and a Valencia side under interim boss Oscar Sanchez and reeling from four straight defeats looks ill-equipped to end that run.

Alaves vs Valencia Predictions FAQs

When is the Alaves vs Valencia Spanish Primera Division game?

The game is scheduled for Tuesday, September 15, 2026, kicking off at 2:00 PM ET / 11:00 AM PT.

Where is Alaves vs Valencia being played?

The game will be played at Mendizorroza in Vitoria-Gasteiz.

What are the probable starting lineups for Alaves vs Valencia?

Alaves are expected to start A. Sivera, J. Otto, V. Koski, N. Tenaglia, A. Rebbach, A. Blanco, C. Aleñá, P. Ibáñez, Á. Pérez, L. Boyé, and T. Martínez. Valencia are projected to field S. Dimitrievski, J. Vázquez, J. d. Haas, I. Córdoba, A. Martínez, J. Guerra, F. Ugrinic, R. Sato, H. Elliott, D. Otorbi, and H. Duro.

What formations are Alaves and Valencia projected to deploy?

Alaves are expected to set up in a 3-5-2 formation, while Valencia are projected to use a 4-2-3-1 setup.

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