Burnley vs Derby Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Burnley vs Derby Game Preview

Two of the Championship's most desperate teams collide at Turf Moor, with Burnley rooted to the bottom of the standings and Derby not far above them. This Burnley vs Derby prediction hinges on which slump breaks first.

Burnley are still winless heading into gameweek eight, sitting dead last after a fourth defeat of the season at Swansea. The Clarets badly need a home result to steady the ship.

Derby arrive in the relegation zone themselves, beaten in three straight league games. A 2-1 home loss to Birmingham left the Rams reeling before this trip north.

History leans heavily Burnley's way here. Burnley are undefeated in their last 15 games against Derby in all competitions, a lopsided record that shapes the stakes for both sides.

Burnley vs Derby Recent Results

Burnley are a mess right now, failing to win any of their last seven games in the Championship and sitting bottom of the standings. Their games are wide open, with over 2.5 goals landing in 10 of their last 12, and both teams scoring in each of their last seven. Jamie Vardy could get his full league debut up top for the Clarets.

Derby are sinking too, losing four of their last five games in the Championship, including three straight defeats. The Rams leak goals, conceding at least two in eight of their last 10 games, while over 2.5 goals have hit in eight of their last 10. Bobby Clark and striker Carlton Morris are the main attacking hopes for the visitors.

Burnley vs Derby Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Burnley: E. Agyei (Injured/out), J. Beyer (Injured/out), J. Cullen (Injured/out), J. Banel (Injured/out), B. Humphreys (Injured/out), A. Barnes (Injured/out), D. Satpaev (Injured/out), H. Mejbri (Injured/out), J. B. Larsen (Injured/doubtful)

Derby: P. Agyemang (Injured/out), D. J. Murkin (Injured/out), M. Clarke (Injured/out), F. Bilbija (Injured/out), C. Forsyth (Injured/out), L. Travis (Injured/out), J. W. Zetterström (Injured/out), H. Meister (Injured/doubtful), R. Brewster (Injured/doubtful)

Burnley

Jacob Bruun Larsen failed a late fitness test against Swansea and is doubtful for the visit of Derby. Jamie Vardy could make his full league debut up top, while Lucas Pires and Reo Hatate are also in contention for starts. Anel Ahmedhodzic is looking to shake off illness to start.

Derby

Henrik Meister is a doubt due to the concussion protocol, but Rhian Brewster is expected back on Saturday. Goalkeeper Jacob Widell Zetterstrom could miss up to two months with a knee injury, a real blow to the Rams between the posts.

Burnley vs Derby Predicted Lineup

Burnley

Formation: 4-2-3-1

Predicted Starting Lineup: M. Weiss; L. Pires, I. Julio, K. Walker, O. Sonne; M. Alleyne, U. Raghouber; L. Ramazani, R. Hatate, Z. Amdouni; J. Vardy

Derby

Formation: 4-2-3-1

Predicted Starting Lineup: J. Vickers; C. Taylor, E. Cashin, S. Langås, J. Ward; D. Ozoh, A. Mowatt; B. Clark, S. Szmodics, M. Fuseini; C. Morris

Burnley vs Derby Key Stats & Game Facts

• Derby have received 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 games vs Burnley (Championship).
• Both teams have scored in 7 of Burnley's last 7 games (Championship).
• Aaron Ramsey has attempted 2+ shots in 6 of their last 7 appearances (Championship).
• There have been 29+ shots taken in 4 of Derby's last 6 games (Championship).
• Zeki Amdouni has attempted 3+ shots in 3 of their last 4 appearances (Championship).

Burnley vs Derby Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Two struggling teams, but the numbers and the head-to-head both point to the hosts. Burnley are the favorites here, and with Derby leaking goals and losing four of their last five, we like the Clarets to edge a scrappy, open game. Our prediction is a 2-1 Burnley win, with both teams finding the net.

Best Picks

Back Bobby Clark to record over 1.5 shots in the Player Shots market. Clark is one of Derby's few reliable attacking outlets, and he projects a 68.96% implied probability to log over 1.5 shots. Against a Burnley defense that concedes plenty of attempts, that projects strong value.

Back Sondre Langas in the To Be Shown A Card market. Langas lines up at center back for a Derby side set to soak up heavy pressure at Turf Moor. With Burnley pushing forward and the Rams chasing, the projected card probability points to plenty of value on this pick.

Burnley vs Derby Same Game Parlay

Our four-leg Burnley vs Derby Same Game Parlay backs Burnley on the moneyline, both teams to score, Aaron Ramsey over 1.5 shots, and Mohammed Fuseini to be shown a card in this messy relegation scrap.

Burnley on the moneyline lands the value leg. Derby have lost four of their last five games in the Championship, and the hosts are the favorites in this matchup at Turf Moor.

Both teams to score is the key anchor here. Both teams have found the net in each of Burnley's last seven games, and Derby's leaky defense keeps that trend alive.

Aaron Ramsey over 1.5 shots is a strong prop. Ramsey has attempted two or more shots in six of his last seven appearances in the Championship, so the volume is there.

Mohammed Fuseini to be shown a card rounds it out. Fuseini has been carded in two of his last three appearances in the Championship, and a stretched Derby midfield invites fouls.

At the time of writing, this Same Game Parlay pays a best price of +2000 and is as short as +1550 elsewhere. Shopping around could put an extra $45 in your pocket on a $10 stake.

Lock in the top price on this parlay using Oddschecker's Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Burnley vs Derby Talking Points

This is a genuine six-pointer at the wrong end of the standings, with both teams desperate for a momentum shift before the September international break. Burnley sit bottom and winless, while Derby have slumped to three straight defeats, so nerves will be jangling on both benches. For the visitors, summer arrival Alex Mowatt and striker Carlton Morris headline the squad options, and Derby will need their attacking outlets firing to escape a place where they have been badly outdone historically. Burnley, for their part, will lean on the return of experience up top, with Jamie Vardy in line for a full league debut. Expect an open, edgy game where the first goal could prove decisive for two teams badly short on confidence.

Burnley vs Derby Predictions FAQs

When is the Burnley vs Derby English Championship game?

The game is scheduled for Saturday, September 19, 2026, kicking off at 10:00 AM ET / 7:00 AM PT.

Where is Burnley vs Derby being played?

The game will take place at Turf Moor in Burnley, England.

What are the predicted lineups for Burnley vs Derby?

Burnley's predicted lineup is M. Weiss, L. Pires, I. Julio, K. Walker, O. Sonne, M. Alleyne, U. Raghouber, L. Ramazani, R. Hatate, Z. Amdouni, and J. Vardy. Derby are expected to start J. Vickers, C. Taylor, E. Cashin, S. Langås, J. Ward, D. Ozoh, A. Mowatt, B. Clark, S. Szmodics, M. Fuseini, and C. Morris.

What is the latest injury and team news for Burnley vs Derby?

Burnley have Jacob Bruun Larsen listed as doubtful following a late fitness test, while Jamie Vardy could make his full league debut. Derby will be without goalkeeper Jacob Widell Zetterstrom due to a knee injury, while Henrik Meister remains doubtful under concussion protocols.

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