Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds
Get our Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction, betting picks, odds, and projected lineups for Sunday's Bundesliga game. Find key Same Game Parlay picks.
Grayson Parker - September 20, 2026, 9:45 AM EDT
6 minutesPaderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Game Preview
Competition | Bundesliga |
|---|---|
Game Date | September 20, 2026 |
Game Time | 1:30 PM ET / 10:30 AM PT |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Paderborn, Home Deluxe Arena |
Paderborn host Hoffenheim at the Home Deluxe Arena on Sunday, and the Bundesliga standings tell the story: a struggling home side against visitors who arrive as clear favorites.
Paderborn are still searching for their first goal of the season, held scoreless through three league games since promotion. That drought has left the newcomers rooted near the bottom of the standings.
Hoffenheim come to town looking to bounce back from a 2-0 defeat away to Greek side OFI Crete in the Europa League, a midweek trip that could leave legs heavy for Sunday's kickoff.
This matchup has favored the visitors lately, with Hoffenheim undefeated in their last six games against Paderborn in all competitions. Paderborn need a spark badly.
Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Recent Results
Paderborn are stuck in a deep slump, without a win in their last 18 Bundesliga games and scoreless in their last three. Their most recent outing was a 3-0 defeat at Borussia Dortmund, where they failed to register a shot on target. Finishing chances has been their glaring weakness, and it shows in the standings.
Hoffenheim have hit the net freely in the league, netting 2+ goals across all three of their most recent Bundesliga outings, including a 2-1 win over VfB Stuttgart with a brace from Adam Hlozek. They stumbled midweek, though, losing 2-0 away to OFI Crete in the Europa League.
Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Paderborn: L. N. Awortwie-Grant (Injured/out), L. Curda (Injured/doubtful), S. Klaas (Unfit), S. Michel (Unfit), L. Eickel (Unfit)
TSG Hoffenheim: None reported
Paderborn
Paderborn have a clean bill beyond a handful of absentees, with Awortwie-Grant sidelined and Klaas, Michel and Eickel all listed as unfit. Laurin Curda picked up a knock last time out and is doubtful, so the hosts may otherwise roll out an unchanged starting group.
TSG Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim report a clean bill of health for Sunday. Alexander Prass returned to the squad for Thursday's Europa League game, while Bambase Conte and Adam Daghim should come back into the mix after both were benched for the trip to OFI Crete.
Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Predicted Lineup
Paderborn
Formation: 3-5-2
Predicted Starting Lineup: N. Noll; M. Hansen, T. Scheller, J. t. Horst; R. Obermair, G. Vidovic, S. Castañeda, L. Ulrich, L. Curda; M. Pieringer, S. Marino
TSG Hoffenheim
Formation: 4-4-2
Predicted Starting Lineup: O. Baumann; M. Rots, O. Kabak, A. Hajdari, V. Coufal; A. Daghim, W. Burger, L. Avdullahu, B. Conté; T. Lemperle, A. Hlozek
Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Key Stats & Game Facts
- There have been 9+ shots on target in 3 of the last 3 games between Paderborn and Hoffenheim (Bundesliga).
- There have been 29+ shots taken in 3 of Hoffenheim's last 3 games (Bundesliga).
- Adam Daghim has scored or assisted in 3 of his last 3 appearances (Bundesliga).
- Ozan Kabak has been carded in 2 of his last 3 appearances (Bundesliga).
- There have been 10+ shots on target in 3 of Hoffenheim's last 3 games (Bundesliga).
Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction & Best Picks
Our Prediction
Our prediction leans to Hoffenheim, the clear favorites on the moneyline. Paderborn haven't found the net all season, while the visitors have been banging in goals in the league. Expect Hoffenheim to edge it, projected 1-0 to the away side.
Best Picks
Over 3.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. The model projects 3.92 total goals for this one, with both teams scoring rated at a 71% probability. Hoffenheim's attack has cleared 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 11 Bundesliga outings, making this Total Goals Over/Under line a strong play at the current price.
Marvin Pieringer to commit over 1.5 fouls in the Player Fouls market. Leading Paderborn's frontline against an aggressive Hoffenheim backline, Pieringer is set for a physical battle as Paderborn chases an 18-game winless streak. The AI model rates his likelihood of committing at least two fouls at better than 70%, well above what the bookmakers currently imply.
Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Same Game Parlay
Our four-leg Same Game Parlay backs Hoffenheim to score over 1.5 goals, Ozan Kabak to be carded, Adam Daghim to grab an assist, and over 11.5 total corners in a busy game.
Hoffenheim to score over 1.5 goals looks the anchor, with the visitors netting 2+ goals across all three of their most recent Bundesliga games against a Paderborn side yet to score.
Ozan Kabak to be shown a card fits the physical matchup, with the defender carded in two of his last three Bundesliga appearances against a direct, aerial Paderborn attack.
Adam Daghim to record over 0.5 assists is backed by his output, having provided assists in two of his last three Bundesliga appearances and involved in every goal across that run.
Over 11.5 total corners suits both sides pushing wide for set-piece pressure, and Hoffenheim's shot volume has been huge, with 29+ shots taken across every one of their last three league games.
At the time of writing, this Same Game Parlay pays a best price of +4000 and is as short as +4000 elsewhere. Both prices return the same profit on a $10 stake, so there is no payout gap to shop around right now.
Shop around for the sharpest Same Game Parlay price using Oddschecker's SGP Comparison Tool.
Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.
Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Talking Points
The big question is how Hoffenheim respond after a flat European outing. Captain Oliver Baumann publicly said the squad lacked desire against OFI Crete and demanded a focused reaction in the league, and the three-day turnaround from Greece to Paderborn will test their legs. Even so, the visitors qualified for this season's Europa League by finishing fifth last term, and their firepower stands in stark contrast to a Paderborn side still hunting a first goal since promotion. For the hosts, this is about pride and points, but breaking an 18-game winless run against sharp opponents is a tall order.
Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim Predictions FAQs
When is the Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim game?
The game is scheduled to kick off on Sunday, September 20, 2026, at 1:30 PM ET / 10:30 AM PT.
Where is the Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim game being played?
The game will take place at Home Deluxe Arena in Paderborn.
Where can I watch the Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim game?
The game is scheduled for television broadcast on Sky Calcio.
What are the probable lineups for Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Paderborn are projected to line up with N. Noll, M. Hansen, T. Scheller, J. t. Horst, R. Obermair, G. Vidovic, S. Castañeda, L. Ulrich, L. Curda, M. Pieringer, and S. Marino. TSG Hoffenheim are expected to start O. Baumann, M. Rots, O. Kabak, A. Hajdari, V. Coufal, A. Daghim, W. Burger, L. Avdullahu, B. Conté, T. Lemperle, and A. Hlozek.
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