Portugal vs Norway Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds
Get Portugal vs Norway prediction, lineups, odds, and top betting picks for this UEFA Nations League clash. Explore key stats and Same Game Parlay picks.
Cody Moore - October 4, 2026, 10:57 AM EDT
6 minutesPortugal vs Norway Game Preview
Competition | UEFA Nations League |
|---|---|
Game Date | Sunday, October 4, 2026 |
Game Time | 2:45 PM ET / 11:45 AM PT |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Estádio do Dragão |
Portugal host Norway at Estádio do Dragão on Sunday in the UEFA Nations League, and the Portugal vs Norway betting odds make the hosts a clear favorite at -143 (AK Bets).
Jorge Jesus' side sit top of the standings with a perfect record, even after Cristiano Ronaldo walked out of camp before their win over Denmark.
Norway arrive at a low ebb after back-to-back defeats, the latest a loss on the road against Wales. Stale Solbakken needs Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard to answer.
History leans the same way. Portugal have won their last 3 games against Norway in all competitions, a big reason our Portugal vs Norway prediction backs the hosts.
Portugal vs Norway Recent Results
Portugal beat Denmark 4-2 at Parken, with second-half goals from Vitinha and João Félix, who came off the bench to score. The attack runs deeper than Félix, too. Gonçalo Ramos has scored in 2 of his last 3 appearances in UEFA Nations League A, and the hosts carry a perfect record into Sunday.
Norway have dropped back-to-back games, the latest a 2-1 loss on the road against Wales. Erling Haaland is still the reason to worry about them, having scored in 2 of his last 3 appearances in UEFA Nations League A. Martin Ødegaard pulls the strings behind him, and Norway need that pairing firing.
Portugal vs Norway Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Portugal: Cristiano Ronaldo (Out, left squad), Francisco Conceição (Injured/doubtful)
Norway: J. Ryerson (Doubtful), Torbjørn Heggem (Suspended)
Portugal
Cristiano Ronaldo quit the national team camp before the Denmark game, so the biggest change in the Portugal vs Norway lineups comes up top, where Gonçalo Ramos is in line to lead the attack. João Félix is expected back in the starting XI after scoring off the bench in midweek, while Francisco Conceição is managing a thigh injury and is doubtful.
Norway
Torbjørn Heggem is suspended after his red card against Wales, which forces a reshuffle at the back. Marcus Pedersen, Leo Østigård and Patrick Berg could all start on Sunday, while J. Ryerson is doubtful.
Portugal vs Norway Predicted Lineup
Portugal
Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: D. Costa; J. Cancelo, R. Dias, R. Veiga, N. Mendes; Vitinha, R. Neves; J. Félix, B. Fernandes, R. Leão; G. Ramos
Norway
Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: Ø. Nyland; M. Pedersen, K. Ajer, L. Østigård, D. M. Wolfe; P. Berg, S. Berge, M. Ødegaard; O. Bobb, E. Haaland, A. Schjelderup
Portugal vs Norway Key Stats & Game Facts
- There have been 28+ shots taken in 3 of Portugal's last 3 games (UEFA Nations League A).
- There have been 10+ shots on target in 3 of Norway's last 3 games (UEFA Nations League A).
- João Félix has scored in 3 of his last 3 appearances (UEFA Nations League A).
- Martin Ødegaard has won 3+ fouls in 3 of his last 3 appearances (UEFA Nations League A).
Portugal vs Norway Prediction & Best Picks
Our Prediction
Our prediction is a 2-1 Portugal win. The hosts sit first in both the standings and the form rankings, while Norway arrive off back-to-back defeats and with a suspension to cover in the back line. Haaland gives the visitors enough to score at Estádio do Dragão, but Portugal's midfield, led by Bruno Fernandes and Vitinha, gives them more control and more ways to hurt you. These are our Portugal vs Norway best picks built around that call.
Best Picks
Portugal to win against Norway in the Moneyline market. Portugal top the standings and the form rankings, and they face a Norway side that has lost its last two outings. The head-to-head backs it up: Portugal have won four previous meetings between these sides, and Norway have won just once.
Both teams to score in the Both Teams To Score market. Norway have a finisher who can punish anyone in Haaland, with Ødegaard feeding him, while Portugal's attack through Bruno Fernandes and Félix rarely goes quiet. With Norway's back line missing Heggem, goals at both ends fit how this one sets up.
Portugal vs Norway Same Game Parlay
Our Portugal vs Norway Same Game Parlay picks combine three legs: Portugal on the Moneyline, both teams to score, and Leo Østigård to be shown a card.
Leg one backs Portugal on the Moneyline. The hosts top the standings, rank first on form and face a Norway side coming off back-to-back defeats.
Leg two needs both teams to score. Félix keeps finding the net for Portugal, and Haaland gives Norway a finisher who can score from very little.
Leg three is Leo Østigård in the To Be Shown A Card market. He could start in the middle of Norway's back line, and Portugal's attack running at him invites a booking.
Put together, the legs tell one story: Portugal win a game with goals at both ends and a long, busy afternoon for Norway's center backs.
At the time of writing, this Same Game Parlay pays a best price of +900 and is as short as +637 elsewhere. That's a difference in potential winnings of $26 from best to worst price.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.
Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.
Portugal vs Norway Talking Points
The Cristiano Ronaldo saga is the storyline nobody in Portugal can escape. He left camp after a disagreement with Jorge Jesus, who has insisted that selection is entirely his call and that the squad remains united. Bruno Fernandes backed that message, calling Ronaldo the nation's greatest footballing icon while saying the group stays focused on the field. The first answer was a win over Denmark without him. The second has to come against Haaland and Ødegaard, with Gonçalo Ramos carrying the load up front.
Portugal vs Norway Predictions FAQs
When is the Portugal vs Norway UEFA Nations League game?
The game takes place on Sunday, October 4, 2026, kicking off at 2:45 PM ET / 11:45 AM PT.
Where is the Portugal vs Norway game being played?
The game is being played at Estádio do Dragão.
What is the latest team news for Portugal vs Norway?
Cristiano Ronaldo is absent from the Portugal squad and Francisco Conceição is doubtful with a thigh injury. Norway will be without suspended defender Torbjørn Heggem.
What is the score prediction for Portugal vs Norway?
A 2-1 victory for Portugal is predicted as the hosts enter the game with a perfect record.
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