Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Game Preview

Here's our Alaves vs Atletico Madrid prediction. LaLiga is back from the international break, Atletico Madrid head to Mendizorroza on Saturday, and the visitors are the team with the momentum.

Quique Sánchez Flores, a former Atletico boss, has Alaves sixth in the standings. Against his old club, though, the hosts need to find their bite in front of goal again.

Diego Simeone's Atletico Madrid sit second in the standings and have lost just once all season. They also return from the break with a fully fit squad.

The history favors the visitors too. Atletico are undefeated in 18 of their last 20 games against Alaves in all competitions.

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Recent Results

Alaves started their LaLiga campaign unbeaten, then stalled badly. They have gone winless in their last three and failed to score in their last two. Goalkeeper Antonio Sivera has been the standout. He saved an Oihan Sancet penalty to earn a scoreless tie at Athletic Club.

Atletico Madrid have won their last three LaLiga games. Their statement result came just before the international break, a 2-1 win over Real Madrid at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. This side controls games in the opposition's half, attacks down both wings and finishes what it creates.

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Alaves: Mikel Rodríguez (Injured/out), Facundo Garcés (Injured/out), Ville Koski (Injured/out)

Atletico Madrid: No injuries or suspensions reported

Alaves

Mikel Rodríguez and Facundo Garcés are both still out injured for Alaves, and neither is due back until late in the season. Ville Koski is the latest injury and won't return until early November.

Atletico Madrid

The international break came at the perfect time for Atletico Madrid. That leaves the Alaves vs Atletico Madrid lineups looking lopsided, because the visitors have a fully fit squad for the trip.

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Predicted Lineup

Alaves

Formation: 3-5-2 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: A. Sivera; J. Otto, N. Valentini, N. Tenaglia; A. Rebbach, A. Blanco, D. Suárez, P. Ibáñez, Á. Pérez; L. Boyé, T. Martínez

Atletico Madrid

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: J. Oblak; M. Pubill, D. Hancko, C. Romero, A. Grimaldo; J. Cardoso, M. Llorente; G. Simeone, L. Kang-In, Á. Baena; A. Lookman

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Key Stats & Game Facts

• Atletico Madrid have received 3+ cards in 4 of their last 6 games vs Deportivo Alaves in LaLiga.
• Atletico Madrid have scored 2+ goals in 3 of their last 3 games in LaLiga.
• Alejandro Grimaldo has scored in 2 of his last 3 LaLiga appearances.
• Álex Baena has recorded 1+ shots on target in 4 of his last 5 LaLiga appearances.
• Pablo Barrios has made 4+ tackles in 3 of his last 3 appearances vs Deportivo Alaves in LaLiga.

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our prediction: Atletico Madrid win 2-1. Atletico have the sharper attack, the better wide play and the cleaner finishing, and Alaves have run dry in front of goal at the worst possible time. The hosts can still nick one through crosses and long-range shooting, but Atletico are the clear side to back here. The Alaves vs Atletico Madrid betting odds agree, pricing Atletico at -120 (Ladbrokes) on the moneyline.

Best Picks

Over 2.5 in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Atletico's recent games have been high-scoring, and the model projects a total above the line. Our first of the Alaves vs Atletico Madrid best picks is in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Atletico's last 6 LaLiga games have all gone over this line, and the projection of 3.28 total goals clears it with room to spare.

Yes in the Both Teams To Score market. Alaves have enough attacking threat at home to find a goal against a high-scoring Atletico side. This pick is in the Both Teams To Score market. The projection puts both teams scoring at 61.19%, well above the implied probability of the available price. Alaves send in enough crosses and take enough long shots to get one past Oblak, even against a side this good.

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Same Game Parlay

Our Alaves vs Atletico Madrid same game parlay picks combine a Jonathan David goal, a Johnny Cardoso card, and shots and fouls props on Lucas Boyé.

Jonathan David in the Anytime Goalscorer market. He has found the net in three straight LaLiga appearances, and we're happy to back the hot hand.

Johnny Cardoso in the To Be Shown A Card market. The referee has reached for a card against him in each of his past three appearances against Deportivo Alaves in LaLiga.

Lucas Boyé over 2.5 in the Player Shots market. The Alaves forward has fired 3+ shots in four of his past five LaLiga outings, and his team loves to shoot.

Lucas Boyé over 1.5 in the Player Fouls market. He's picked up 2+ fouls in all five of his latest LaLiga appearances and never stops battling for the ball.

At the time of writing, this Same Game Parlay pays a best price of +2300 and is as short as +1624 elsewhere. That's a difference in potential winnings of $68 from best to worst price.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Talking Points

The subplot is Quique Sánchez Flores facing the club he led to the Europa League title in 2010. Sentiment won't fix the real problem in this matchup for Alaves, though. They do their best work by stealing the ball and crossing early, while Atletico want possession, control in the opposition's half and width down both flanks. Diego Simeone has also talked up Julián Álvarez, saying the forward brings a "different dimension" to the team's attacking transitions. That's bad news for an Alaves back line that struggles against through balls.

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Predictions FAQs

When is the Alaves vs Atletico Madrid game?

The game takes place on Saturday, October 10, 2026, kicking off at 10:15 AM ET / 7:15 AM PT.

Where is the Alaves vs Atletico Madrid game being played?

The game is being played at Mendizorroza in Vitoria-Gasteiz.

What is the team news for Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?

Alaves will be without Mikel Rodríguez, Facundo Garcés, and Ville Koski due to injuries. Atletico Madrid enter the game with a fully fit squad.

What are the probable lineups for Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?

Alaves are projected to start A. Sivera, J. Otto, N. Valentini, N. Tenaglia, A. Rebbach, A. Blanco, D. Suárez, P. Ibáñez, Á. Pérez, L. Boyé, and T. Martínez. Atletico Madrid are expected to line up with J. Oblak, A. Grimaldo, D. Hancko, C. Romero, M. Pubill, J. Cardoso, M. Llorente, Á. Baena, L. Kang-In, G. Simeone, and A. Lookman.

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