Genoa vs Fiorentina Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Genoa vs Fiorentina Game Preview

Genoa host Fiorentina at Luigi Ferraris as Serie A returns from the international break, and our Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction leans toward the visitors in a matchup between two struggling sides.

Genoa sit 19th in the Serie A standings. They have lost 6 of their last 7 games in Serie A, a slump that leaves the hosts desperate for a home result.

Fiorentina sit 17th, so this is hardly a heavyweight rolling into town. Still, Paolo Vanoli is back in charge after Fabio Grosso's dismissal, and the Viola bring the sharper attack.

History backs the visitors too. Fiorentina are undefeated in their last 11 games against Genoa in all competitions, and the hosts badly need to snap that run.

Genoa vs Fiorentina Recent Results

Genoa have not won any of their last 10 games against all opponents, and the attack is the root of the problem. They scored a league-low three goals in their opening Serie A games this season, with finishing flagged as a clear weakness. Vitinha is the player they lean on in the final third.

Fiorentina's form is hardly sparkling either, with just 2 wins from their last 10 games against all opponents. The difference is creativity. They carve out scoring looks with through balls and long-range efforts, and Franco Mastantuono drives a right side that attacks relentlessly. Finishing is their weak spot, which keeps this from being a stroll.

Genoa vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Genoa: Joi Nuredini (Injured/out), Elias Havel (Injured/out), Lorenzo Colombo (Injured/out), Lorenzo Venturino (Doubtful), Djibril Sow (Doubtful), Ethan Meichtry (Doubtful)

Fiorentina: Fabiano Parisi (Injured/out)

Genoa

Daniele De Rossi sticks with a 3-5-2, with Justin Bijlow behind a back three of Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Østigård and Johan Vásquez. Milutin Osmajic and Vitinha lead the line, while Lorenzo Colombo joins Joi Nuredini and Elias Havel on the injured list.

Fiorentina

The Genoa vs Fiorentina lineups tilt toward the visitors on availability, since Fabiano Parisi is Fiorentina's lone injury. Paolo Vanoli goes with a 4-3-3 anchored by David de Gea, with Niccolò Fagioli screening the back four and Mateo Pellegrino leading the line between Alieu Njie and Franco Mastantuono.

Genoa vs Fiorentina Predicted Lineup

Genoa

Formation: 3-5-2 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Justin Bijlow; Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Østigård, Johan Vásquez; Kingsley Ehizibue, Alex Amorim, Morten Frendrup, Tommaso Baldanzi, Mikael Ellertsson; Milutin Osmajic, Vitinha (probable)

Fiorentina

Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: David de Gea; Álex Jiménez, Radu Dragusin, Luca Ranieri, Viery; Cher Ndour, Niccolò Fagioli, Pote; Franco Mastantuono, Mateo Pellegrino, Alieu Njie (probable)

Genoa vs Fiorentina Key Stats & Game Facts

• Genoa have received 2+ cards in 8 of their last 10 games vs Fiorentina in Serie A.
• There have been 10+ shots on target in 4 of Fiorentina's last 5 games in Serie A.
• Milutin Osmajic has scored in 2 of his last 3 appearances in Serie A.
• Riccardo Sottil has won 2+ fouls in 3 of his last 4 appearances vs Genoa in Serie A.
• Patrizio Masini has made 3+ tackles in 3 of his last 4 appearances vs Fiorentina in Serie A.

Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our prediction is a Fiorentina win in a game with goals at both ends. The Genoa vs Fiorentina betting odds make the Viola favorites, and their 47% implied probability tops both the tie and the hosts. Genoa's finishing is too blunt to keep pace, but Fiorentina's own issues defending through balls leave the door open for a Genoa goal.

Best Picks

Over 2.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market for Genoa v Fiorentina. This projects as a high-scoring affair, and it heads our Genoa vs Fiorentina best picks. Our projections put this game at about 3.02 total goals, with the over also carrying a 58.19% implied probability as a positive expected value play.

Both Teams To Score: Yes for Genoa v Fiorentina. This one sits in the Both Teams To Score market and pairs neatly with the pick above. We project Genoa for 1.3 goals, with Fiorentina good for more. Both teams have also scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings between the clubs in Serie A.

Genoa vs Fiorentina Same Game Parlay

Our Genoa vs Fiorentina Same Game Parlay picks lean fully into the visitors, combining Mastantuono shots, a Pellegrino goal, a Fiorentina moneyline win and a high-scoring finish.

Franco Mastantuono Over 3.5 in the Player Shots market. He has attempted 4+ shots in 3 of his last 4 appearances in Serie A, and Genoa struggle against skillful players.

Mateo Pellegrino in the Anytime Goalscorer market. He has scored in 2 of his last 3 appearances in Serie A and is the focal point of Fiorentina's front three.

Fiorentina on the Moneyline. This leg follows our prediction, with the visitors bringing the more creative attack and the healthier squad into this matchup.

Over 2.5 goals rounds out the parlay. There have been 29+ shots taken in 3 of Fiorentina's last 4 games in Serie A, and that volume points to goals.

At the time of writing, this Same Game Parlay pays a best price of +1100 and is as short as +875 elsewhere. That's a difference in potential winnings of $25 from best to worst price.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Genoa vs Fiorentina Talking Points

Genoa's late-game defending is the storyline to watch. They have conceded four goals in the closing stretch of Serie A games this season, a damaging habit against a Fiorentina side that keeps shooting. The hosts are also vulnerable down the wings, which plays straight into Fiorentina's preference for attacking down the right through Mastantuono. Tommaso Baldanzi, the player De Rossi has used most across his coaching career, has to make Genoa's midfield count. Fabio Maresca has the whistle, and Genoa's aggressive style could keep him busy.

Genoa vs Fiorentina Predictions FAQs

When is the Genoa vs Fiorentina game?

The game takes place on Saturday, October 10, 2026, kicking off at 9:00 AM ET / 6:00 AM PT.

Where is Genoa vs Fiorentina being played?

The game will be played at Luigi Ferraris in Genoa.

What is the score prediction for Genoa vs Fiorentina?

A closely fought contest is anticipated between the two sides.

What are the projected lineups for Genoa vs Fiorentina?

Genoa are projected to set up in a 3-5-2 system featuring Justin Bijlow and Vitinha, while Fiorentina are expected to deploy a 4-3-3 formation led by David de Gea and Mateo Pellegrino.

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