Sunderland vs Brighton Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Sunderland vs Brighton Game Preview

Brighton head to the Stadium of Light as +138 (QuinnBet) moneyline favorites in this English Premier League matchup, and our Sunderland vs Brighton prediction leans firmly toward the visitors.

Sunderland sit 14th in the standings, and head coach Régis Le Bris must balance Premier League duty with European competition by leaning on a deep squad.

Brighton arrive third in the standings after back-to-back clean-sheet wins, the latest a statement home rout of defending champions Arsenal.

Brighton are undefeated in their last 5 games against Sunderland in all competitions. They have also kept a clean sheet in their last 3 games against Sunderland in all competitions.

Sunderland vs Brighton Recent Results

Sunderland have taken four points from their first five Premier League games, though they just faced Arsenal and Manchester City back to back. Home is the lifeline, with seven of their last 10 Premier League wins over the past 11 months coming at the Stadium of Light. Le Bris is managing European competition too, and Granit Xhaka sets the midfield tone.

Brighton have been outstanding, banking 10 points from their first five Premier League games. They went unbeaten domestically through September, a tie with Leeds United followed by a thumping of Coventry City and a 3-0 home win over Arsenal. Pascal Gross runs the midfield, and Charalampos Kostoulas leads the line for a side built on possession.

Sunderland vs Brighton Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Sunderland: Dan Ballard (Injured/out), Brian Brobbey (Injured/out), Habib Diarra (Injured/doubtful), R. Mundle (Injured/doubtful)

Brighton: K. Mitoma (Injured/out), S. Tzimas (Injured/out), E. Ferguson (Injured/out), M. Orozco (Injured/out), M. Svoboda (Injured/out), Pascal Struijk (Injured/doubtful), Jack Hinshelwood (Injured/doubtful), Yankuba Minteh (Injured/doubtful), G. Rutter (Injured/doubtful), Lewis Dunk (Injured/doubtful), Yasin Ayari (Doubtful, illness)

Sunderland

The biggest blow to the Sunderland vs Brighton lineups lands on the home side, with Dan Ballard and Brian Brobbey both lost to hamstring injuries over the international break. Thomas Meunier should drop to right back, letting Nordi Mukiele partner Kevin Danso at center back, while Wilson Isidor is in line for his first Premier League start of the season up top. Reinildo Mandava is available again after a one-game ban and should start, and Habib Diarra is close to returning from a hamstring issue.

Brighton

Lewis Dunk missed the Arsenal win with a neck issue but is back in training and expected to be available. Yasin Ayari should shake off an illness in time to start, but Pascal Struijk is struggling with a thigh problem. Yankuba Minteh and Jack Hinshelwood, who has missed the last six games in all competitions, are outside shots to be involved, and Femi Azeez could make his Brighton debut.

Sunderland vs Brighton Predicted Lineup

Sunderland

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: R. Roefs; T. Meunier, N. Mukiele, K. Danso, R. Mandava; N. Sadiki, G. Xhaka; T. Hume, E. L. Fée, M. Fofana; W. Isidor (probable)

Brighton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: B. Verbruggen; F. Kadioglu, L. Vuskovic, L. Dunk, O. Boscagli; Y. Ayari, P. Gross; D. Gómez, M. Yalcouyé, M. D. Cuyper; C. Kostoulas (probable)

Sunderland vs Brighton Key Stats & Game Facts

• There have been 28+ shots taken in 4 of Brighton's last 4 games in the Premier League.
• Brighton have scored 3+ goals in 4 of their last 5 games in the Premier League.
• Pascal Gross has scored in 3 of his last 4 appearances in the Premier League.
• Charalampos Kostoulas has recorded 1+ shots on target in 4 of his last 4 appearances in the Premier League.

Sunderland vs Brighton Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Brighton win 3-1. The Seagulls' possession game and finishing quality can pin Sunderland back, and a home defense reshuffled around Meunier and Mukiele is a soft spot they can exploit. Sunderland's set pieces can steal one against a Brighton side that struggles to defend them, but the visitors simply have more ways to score.

Best Picks

Brighton to win in the Moneyline market. The away side are the model's favorites against a Sunderland team missing Ballard and Brobbey. Brighton head our Sunderland vs Brighton best picks. Our projections give them a 46% win probability, well clear of the hosts, and the price still shows positive expected value across most books.

Pascal Gross to have over 1.5 shots in the Player Shots market. Gross is a certain starter in Brighton's midfield, and Brighton are projected to carry the attacking threat. Our AI probability puts Gross at about 70% to clear this line. The bookmaker-implied probability sits closer to 42%, a big gap for a midfielder who has started every recent game.

Sunderland vs Brighton Same Game Parlay

Our Sunderland vs Brighton Same Game Parlay picks back the visitors' attack: Brighton team goals, Charalampos Kostoulas shots and shots on target, plus a Granit Xhaka card.

Brighton Over 2.5 in the Total Away Goals market. Brighton have scored 3+ goals in 4 of their last 5 games in the Premier League, and Sunderland's back line is patched up.

Charalampos Kostoulas Over 2.5 in the Player Shots market. He has attempted 3+ shots in 3 of his last 3 appearances in the Premier League, and he leads the line again.

Charalampos Kostoulas Over 0.5 in the Player Shots On Target market. He has recorded 1+ shots on target in 4 of his last 4 appearances in the Premier League.

Granit Xhaka in the To Be Shown A Card market. The combative midfielder plays an aggressive defensive role, and chasing a possession-heavy Brighton side invites late challenges.

At the time of writing, this Same Game Parlay pays a best price of +2500 and is as short as +2000 elsewhere. That's a difference in potential winnings of $50 from best to worst price.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Sunderland vs Brighton Talking Points

Brighton head coach Fabian Hürzeler just collected his second Premier League Manager of the Month award, for September, and Le Bris knows exactly what is coming, calling Brighton "really well coached, with good energy, good on the ball and a high press." The Sunderland vs Brighton betting odds price the hosts at +225 (AK Bets), and their best route is set pieces, a genuine strength against a Brighton side that has trouble defending them. If Sunderland cannot turn dead balls into goals, the Seagulls' possession game takes over.

Sunderland vs Brighton Predictions FAQs

When is the Sunderland vs Brighton game?

The Sunderland vs Brighton game kicks off at 10:00 AM ET / 7:00 AM PT on Saturday, October 10, 2026.

Where is Sunderland vs Brighton being played?

The game will be played at the Stadium of Light in Sunderland.

What are the projected lineups for Sunderland vs Brighton?

Sunderland are projected to start R. Roefs in goal with W. Isidor leading the front line, while Brighton are expected to line up with B. Verbruggen in goal and C. Kostoulas in attack.

What is the score prediction for Sunderland vs Brighton?

Brighton are projected to secure a 3-1 road victory against Sunderland following their prolific start in the Premier League.

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