Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Game Preview

The 401 Derby comes to BMO Field on Saturday, and neither Toronto FC nor CF Montreal arrive in good shape. These two struggling Canadian rivals are scrapping for pride and Eastern Conference ground.

Toronto FC sit four points below the Eastern Conference playoff line. A fourth straight MLS loss, at home against Montreal of all teams, would make that climb look brutal.

CF Montreal sit 15th in the Eastern Conference. Stealing a derby win would close a five-point gap to their rivals and salvage some pride from a rough campaign.

History favors the hosts. Toronto are undefeated in their last 5 games against Montreal in all competitions, and that kind of edge matters when both sides are scrambling.

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Recent Results

Toronto FC are in a genuine slump, beaten in each of their last three MLS games and trailing at halftime and full time in every one. The latest was a loss at Nashville SC, where Hany Mukhtar's first-half brace did the damage. The back line is the issue: Toronto have shipped at least two goals in each of those defeats.

CF Montreal at least bring a pulse. They beat FC Cincinnati last time out behind a second-half brace from Prince Owusu, the forward who carries this attack. That result papers over a lot, though. Montreal have won only 2 of their last 10 games against all opponents, and finishing chances remains a clear weakness.

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Toronto FC: D. Kerr (Injured/out), N. Palacio (Injured/out), D. Mihailovic (Injured/out)

CF Montreal: B. Vera (Injured/out), B. Ceballos (Injured/doubtful), B. Hidalgo (Injured/out), F. Amaya (Injured/out), J. Nteziryayo (Injured/out)

Toronto FC

For the Toronto FC vs CF Montreal lineups, the hosts get a lift with Walker Zimmerman due back from a one-game suspension. Richie Laryea should also start after missing the last game on international duty, though Djordje Mihailovic remains among Toronto's three absentees.

CF Montreal

Brayan Ceballos picked up an injury against FC Cincinnati and will likely miss out. Montreal do welcome back a host of players from international duty, which helps, but Frankie Amaya is still among five names on the injured list.

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Predicted Lineup

Toronto FC

Formation: 4-4-2 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: L. Gavran; M. Pereira, Z. Monlouis, W. Zimmerman, R. Laryea; D. Sallói, J. Osorio, N. Dorsch, T. Corbeanu; L. Morgan, J. Sargent (probable)

CF Montreal

Formation: 3-4-1-2 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: S. Breza; J. Neal, B. Craig, D. Bugaj; L. Petrasso, W. Carmona, M. Longstaff, D. Sealy; S. Piette; P. Owusu, D. Ríos (probable)

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Key Stats & Game Facts

• Toronto FC have had 17+ shots in 3 out of 5 games against CF Montreal in Major League Soccer.
• There have been 12+ shots on target in 4 of Toronto FC's last 5 games in Major League Soccer.
• Richie Laryea has won 3+ fouls in 4 of his last 5 appearances against CF Montreal in Major League Soccer.
• Kosi Thompson has been carded in 2 of his last 3 appearances against CF Montreal in Major League Soccer.
• Tomás Avilés has made 3+ tackles in 3 of his last 4 appearances against Toronto FC in Major League Soccer.

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our Toronto FC vs CF Montreal prediction is a Toronto FC win. Yes, the hosts are in a slump, but Montreal sit below them in the East and arrive with the longer injury list. Toronto's best weapon is attacking down the wings, and that width should stretch a Montreal side that also struggles to defend set pieces. Expect goals at both ends, but Toronto find a way at BMO Field.

Best Picks

Toronto FC to win on the Moneyline. The home side are the favorites at BMO Field. This pick sits in the Moneyline market. Toronto carry a 48% win probability, well clear of Montreal, and a visiting side with five players on the injured list is poorly equipped to take a derby away from home.

Both Teams To Score: Yes. Both sides are projected to find the net in this game. This pick sits in the Both Teams To Score market. The projection points to 3.26 total goals, and Toronto's back line has been leaking all through this losing run. Montreal's finishing is shaky, but Owusu gives them enough of an outlet to get on the scoresheet.

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Same Game Parlay

Our Toronto FC vs CF Montreal same game parlay picks lean on Prince Owusu's shooting, a card prop and the hosts on the moneyline, combining at +1200 with Bet365.

Prince Owusu Over 0.5 Player Shots On Target. Owusu has landed a shot on target in 9 of his last 9 MLS appearances, and Toronto's leaky defense offers him plenty of looks.

Prince Owusu Over 1.5 Player Shots. Montreal run their attack through him, and he has fired multiple shots in every one of his last 10 MLS outings.

Alonso Coello To Be Shown A Card. This card prop has landed twice across his past three outings, and a derby midfield battle like this one tends to get messy.

Toronto FC on the Moneyline. The hosts are the favorites with a 48% win probability, and their wing play gives them the sharper edge against a banged-up Montreal side.

At the time of writing, this Same Game Parlay pays a best price of +1200 and is as short as +810 elsewhere. That's a difference in potential winnings of $39 from best to worst price.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Talking Points

Prince Owusu is one road goal away from tying Ignacio Piatti's club record for away goals in a single season, and there is no better stage to do it than at the home of a Canadian rival. There is extra edge in midfield too, with Matty Longstaff and Jules-Anthony Vilsaint both facing their former clubs after mid-season moves between the two sides. In goal, Luka Gavran is set to make his 50th appearance for Toronto.

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Predictions FAQs

When is the Toronto FC vs CF Montreal game?

The game is scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026, kicking off at 1:00 PM ET / 10:00 AM PT.

Where is Toronto FC vs CF Montreal being played?

The game will be played at BMO Field in Toronto.

What are the probable lineups for Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?

Toronto FC's probable starting lineup includes L. Gavran, M. Pereira, Z. Monlouis, W. Zimmerman, R. Laryea, D. Sallói, J. Osorio, N. Dorsch, T. Corbeanu, L. Morgan, and J. Sargent. CF Montreal's probable starting lineup features S. Breza, J. Neal, B. Craig, D. Bugaj, L. Petrasso, W. Carmona, M. Longstaff, D. Sealy, S. Piette, P. Owusu, and D. Ríos.

What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?

We are backing a Toronto FC win with both teams scoring, as Toronto FC aim to snap a three-game losing streak and CF Montreal come off a victory against FC Cincinnati.

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