Benfica vs Celtic Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Benfica vs Celtic Game Preview

Benfica host Celtic at Estádio da Luz in the Europa League. The Benfica vs Celtic betting odds are lopsided, with the hosts at -450 (Polymarket) on the moneyline.

Benfica are rolling right now. Marco Silva's side have won nine of their last 10 games in all competitions, and they look like a team that expects to win every week.

Celtic are in a slump. Martin O'Neill's men have lost three of their last four games in all competitions. They did at least steady things by beating Motherwell 2-0 last time out.

History is on the hosts' side too. Benfica have won their last three home games against Celtic in all competitions, so this is a tough trip for the visitors.

Benfica vs Celtic Recent Results

Benfica made light work of Vitoria de Guimaraes on Sunday, scoring in both halves of a routine home win. In Europe, they made a real statement by beating AC Milan 2-0 at the San Siro. They sit seventh in the Europa League standings, and with Jhon Durán and Dodi Lukébakio pushing for starts, this attack is deep.

Celtic's European outings have gone badly. Ferencvaros beat them 3-1 at home in the Europa League, and they sit 28th in the standings. O'Neill could stay with the XI that beat Motherwell, built on the midfield pair of McGregor and Baur, with Nygren playing behind Høgh. That group needs to grow up fast.

Benfica vs Celtic Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Benfica: E. Barrenechea (Injured/out)

Celtic: C. Carter-Vickers (Injured/out), A. Johnston (Injured/out), Y. Hyun-Jun (Injured/out)

Benfica

Marco Silva could rotate his starting lineup in the Europa League, which would open the door for Jhon Durán and Dodi Lukébakio. Anatoliy Trubin could also get the start in goal. Enzo Barrenechea is Benfica's only confirmed absentee.

Celtic

The Benfica vs Celtic lineups show the visitors are hurting at the back. Martin O'Neill could stick with the starting XI from last time out, but defensive pair Alistair Johnston and Cameron Carter-Vickers are both out, and Y. Hyun-Jun is also sidelined.

Benfica vs Celtic Predicted Lineup

Benfica

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: A. Trubin; D. Banjaqui, T. Araújo, A. Circati, S. E. Karouani; J. Palhinha, F. Aursnes; D. Lukébakio, H. Sudakov, A. Schjelderup; J. Durán

Celtic

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: V. Sinisalo; C. Donovan, L. Scales, D. Murray, K. Tierney; M. Baur, C. McGregor; C. Durán, B. Nygren, S. Tounekti; K. Høgh

Benfica vs Celtic Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our Benfica vs Celtic prediction is a Benfica win, and not a quiet one. The projections give the hosts a 69.78% win probability. They also have Benfica scoring around 2.67 goals, which tells you how much attacking quality Silva can throw at this Celtic side even if he rotates. Celtic can grab a goal along the way, but the home side are in a different class right now.

Best Picks

Over 3.5 in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Benfica are strong home favorites and a high-scoring game is expected. This pick sits in the Total Goals Over/Under market. The projected total of 3.81 goals clears the line, and the AI probability on the over beats the implied probability in the price. Over 2.5 is too short to bother with, and anything higher is a longshot, so 3.5 is the right number.

Yes in the Both Teams To Score market. Celtic are projected to score about 1.1 goals, even though they are underdogs in Lisbon. This one sits in the Both Teams To Score market. The projections put both teams scoring at 63.25%, and a rotated Benfica lineup facing a Celtic back line without Carter-Vickers and Johnston points to goals at both ends. It also gets you away from the odds-on price on Benfica.

Benfica vs Celtic Same Game Parlay

Our Benfica vs Celtic Same Game Parlay picks: the Benfica Moneyline, Evangelos Pavlidis to score anytime, Both Teams To Score and a Liam Scales card.

Benfica on the Moneyline is the anchor, backed by a 70% AI probability. The hosts have also won their last three home games against Celtic in all competitions.

Evangelos Pavlidis as an Anytime Goalscorer carries a 59.89% AI probability. Silva is weighing rotation, but a Benfica attack this productive should give him looks whenever he's on the field.

Both Teams To Score fits the story. Celtic's projected 1.14 goals says they can hurt Benfica on the counter, even as heavy underdogs.

Liam Scales To Be Shown A Card carries a 32.82% AI probability. The center back is in for a long night against a Benfica attack that will keep coming at him.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Benfica vs Celtic Talking Points

The big question is whether Celtic can stay organized long enough to make this messy. Liam Scales says the team takes confidence and a tactical blueprint from their 3-1 away win at Feyenoord in last season's European campaign, but Benfica in Lisbon is a much bigger ask. Nikola Dabanović referees, with Pol van Boekel on VAR. For our Benfica vs Celtic best picks, the angle is goals and a home win, not a Celtic upset.

Benfica vs Celtic Predictions FAQs

When is the Benfica vs Celtic Europa League game?

The game is on Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM PT.

Where is Benfica vs Celtic being played?

The Europa League game is being played at Estádio da Luz.

Where can I watch Benfica vs Celtic?

TNT Sport 3 HD is the listed channel for the Benfica vs Celtic game.

Who is in the probable lineups for Benfica vs Celtic?

Both teams are listed in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with A. Trubin in goal for Benfica and V. Sinisalo in goal for Celtic. Enzo Barrenechea is Benfica's listed absentee, while C. Carter-Vickers, A. Johnston and Y. Hyun-Jun are listed as injured for Celtic.

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