Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz Game Preview

Bournemouth host SK Sturm Graz at Vitality Stadium in the Europa League, and it is a landmark night: the club's first-ever home game in major European competition across a 127-year history.

The Cherries arrive bruised after a 5-1 beating at Chelsea, but they already own a Europa League road win at Real Sociedad. Bournemouth are priced at -550 (Polymarket) on the moneyline.

Sturm Graz held Rennes to a scoreless tie in the Europa League, then answered a heavy loss to RB Salzburg with a 2-0 win at Austria Wien. They sit at a long +1800 (Polymarket) to pull the upset.

The stakes are simple. Bournemouth need a response after Chelsea, and this Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz forecast leans hard their way against a Sturm Graz squad missing four players.

Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz Recent Results

Europe has been kinder to Bournemouth, who won 2-1 at Real Sociedad in the Europa League. The Premier League is another story, with a winless start under Marco Rose capped by the Chelsea thrashing. Evanilson leads the line, yet a Bournemouth win has landed in just 2 of their last 10 games against all opponents. This is a reset game.

Sturm Graz have a road problem in Europe, having lost all four of their away games in the competition during their previous European campaign. The heavy RB Salzburg loss stung, but they answered with a 2-0 win at Austria Wien, with Oumar Diakite among the scorers. A Sturm Graz win has landed in 3 of their last 10 games against all opponents.

Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Bournemouth: Alex Scott (Injured/out), Justin Kluivert (Injured/out)

SK Sturm Graz: N. Weiper (Injured/out), Gizo Mamageishvili (Injured/out), O. Kiteishvili (Injured/out), F. Rózga (Injured/out)

Bournemouth

On the Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz lineups front, Alex Scott and Justin Kluivert are both set to miss out. Lewis Cook was named on the bench against Chelsea and could start in the Europa League, but no further changes are expected from Marco Rose.

SK Sturm Graz

Oumar Diakite scored twice against Austria Wien and will likely be rewarded with a start up front. Gizo Mamageishvili is among four confirmed absentees, with N. Weiper, O. Kiteishvili and F. Rózga also sidelined.

Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz Predicted Lineup

Bournemouth

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: D. Petrovic; A. Smith, J. Hill, A. Silva, A. Truffert; T. Adams, L. Cook; D. Brooks, Rayan, M. Tavernier; Evanilson (probable)

SK Sturm Graz

Formation: 3-5-2 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: D. Khudyakov; P. Koller, J. Quarshie, A. Vallci; J. Heil, J. G. Stankovic, V. Matoshi, L. Weinhandl, L. Balbo; B. Beganovic, O. Diakité (probable)

Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our prediction is a comfortable Bournemouth win. Our projection has the Cherries scoring 2.57 goals, and Sturm Graz sit at just 0.76. The Chelsea result was ugly, but this is a far softer matchup at home against a short-handed visitor with a poor European road record, and Bournemouth's attack is the difference.

Best Picks

Both Teams To Score: No. Bournemouth are strong favorites and Sturm Graz are projected to score less than one goal. In the Both Teams To Score market, No is the side we want. Bournemouth carry a 76% win probability at home, while Sturm Graz project for less than a goal. The both-teams-to-score probability sits at 49%, so No is the slightly stronger side, and it also flags as a value play.

Total Goals Over/Under: Under 3.5 Goals. A Bournemouth-led game with a projected total just under the line. In the Total Goals Over/Under market, Under 3.5 Goals rounds out our best picks for this one. The projected total is 3.33 goals, just below the line. Our probability on the Under is 57.4%, higher than the implied probability in the price, and it fits a Bournemouth win where Sturm Graz barely threaten.

Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz Same Game Parlay

This four-leg Same Game Parlay pairs the Bournemouth moneyline with Evanilson anytime, Both Teams To Score: No, and an Arjan Malic card.

Bournemouth (Moneyline): The Cherries have the stronger hand at home, and Sturm Graz arrive without four injured players. Even after the Chelsea hammering, this is the anchor leg.

Evanilson (Anytime Goalscorer): He leads the line in the probable XI and carries a 54.47% probability to find the net. Bournemouth's attack drives this whole card.

Both Teams To Score (No): Sturm Graz project for under a goal, and a short-handed squad has little margin against a clear home favorite. It pairs neatly with the Bournemouth moneyline.

Arjan Malic (To Be Shown A Card): The kicker leg, at a 30.78% probability. If Sturm Graz spend long spells chasing the ball, bookings follow, and that is where the parlay gets its price.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz Talking Points

The Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz betting odds make the hosts heavy favorites, and the coaching subplot backs that up. Marco Rose, appointed on a three-year deal after Andoni Iraola's departure, coached Red Bull Salzburg in Austrian football before taking the Bournemouth job, so this opponent holds few surprises for him. Fabio Ingolitsch has Sturm Graz running an aggressive pressing system, a bold approach against a Bournemouth side with Evanilson leading the line. If the Cherries play through that first wave, the space opens up, and that is the core reason we side with the hosts.

Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz Predictions FAQs

What time is the Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz game?

The game kicks off at 3:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM PT on Thursday.

Where is Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz being played?

The game is being played at Vitality Stadium.

Where can I watch Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz?

TNT Sports 1 is the listed broadcaster for the game in the UK.

Are any Bournemouth players injured for the Sturm Graz game?

Alex Scott and Justin Kluivert are both listed as injured for Bournemouth.

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