Derby vs Stoke Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Derby vs Stoke Game Preview

Derby host Stoke at Pride Park Stadium in a Championship matchup between two clubs heading in opposite directions, and right now it's hard to build a case for the home side.

Derby sit 23rd after a humbling midweek loss at QPR. John Eustace said his players would be angry and ready to respond. They will need a lot more than anger.

Mark Robins has Stoke ninth in the standings. A stoppage-time loss to Middlesbrough ended an unbeaten run, but this group has been far steadier than its hosts.

History does throw Derby a lifeline. The Rams are undefeated in their last 7 home games against Stoke in all competitions, so Pride Park has been anything but friendly for the Potters.

Derby vs Stoke Recent Results

Derby are in a full-blown slump and have failed to win their last 6 games in the Championship. The midweek thumping at Loftus Road showed just how fragile this back line is. Sam Szmodics remains the main spark, getting off 3 or more shots in 4 of 5 recent Championship outings, but the finishing around him keeps letting Derby down.

Stoke had gone unbeaten in six before a stoppage-time Neto Borges goal sank them at home to Middlesbrough on Tuesday. That loss was harsh, not alarming. Stoke have won 5 of their last 10 games against all opponents, and Justin Devenny's expected return adds more bite to the attacking midfield line.

Derby vs Stoke Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Derby: M. Johnston (Injured/out), P. Agyemang (Injured/out), D. J. Murkin (Injured/out), M. Clarke (Injured/out), C. Forsyth (Injured/out), J. W. Zetterström (Injured/out), C. Taylor (Injured/out), E. Cashin (Injured/out), S. Langås (Injured/out)

Stoke: S. Ingelsson (Injured/out), A. Cresswell (Injured/out), S. Gallagher (Injured/out), A. Ampah (Unfit)

Derby

Center back Sondre Langås is a confirmed absentee after picking up an issue against QPR in midweek, which adds to an already crowded treatment room. Ryan Nyambe could fill in out of position at center back, while Henrik Meister could be recalled up top. That makes the Derby back line the biggest question in the Derby vs Stoke lineups.

Stoke

Mark Robins should recall Justin Devenny for the trip to Pride Park. Maksym Talovierov has served his one-match suspension and is available for selection again, a welcome boost for the back three. Sam Gallagher is the latest name to join the Stoke injury list.

Derby vs Stoke Predicted Lineup

Derby

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: J. Vickers, R. Hedges, D. Sanderson, R. Nyambe, J. Ward, D. Ozoh, A. Mowatt, B. Clark, S. Szmodics, C. Morris, H. Meister (probable)

Stoke

Formation: 3-4-2-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: V. Johansson, L. Graham, M. Talovierov, B. Wilmot, E. Bocat, E. Galbraith, D. Soumaré, B. Johnson, J. Devenny, J. McGlynn, L. Cissé (probable)

Derby vs Stoke Key Stats & Game Facts

• Derby have received 2+ cards in 4 of their last 4 games vs Stoke (Championship).
• Stoke have scored 2+ goals in 4 of their last 4 games (Championship).
• Bobby Clark has recorded 1+ shots on target in 4 of his last 4 appearances (Championship).
• Jack McGlynn has scored or assisted in 3 of his last 4 appearances (Championship).
• Bae Jun-Ho has won 2+ fouls in 4 of his last 4 appearances vs Derby (Championship).

Derby vs Stoke Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our Derby vs Stoke prediction is a 2-0 Stoke win. The Derby vs Stoke betting odds have the visitors as the favorite at +150 (Polymarket), and that feels right. Derby will push wide and swing crosses in, but a patched-up defense and blunt finishing leave them exposed to a Stoke side that keeps finding goals and is happy to play on the counter.

Best Picks

Under 2.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. This is a low-scoring lean for a game between two sides who can struggle to break each other down. The first of our Derby vs Stoke best picks sits in the Total Goals Over/Under market, where the projection lands at 2.43 total goals, just shy of the line. Stoke's best route is a controlled road win rather than a shootout, and Derby's problems in front of goal keep a lid on the total.

Both Teams To Score: No. At least one side is expected to be kept off the scoresheet. In the Both Teams To Score market, the projected figure for both sides scoring sits at 49.42%, which makes No the slightly stronger side. Derby have also kept a clean sheet in 6 of their last 7 home games against Stoke in all competitions, so one team drawing a blank fits this matchup.

Derby vs Stoke Same Game Parlay

Our Derby vs Stoke same game parlay picks lean on Stoke's attack, then add three player props covering shots on target, a goalscorer and a card for a bigger payout.

Stoke Over 1.5 in the Total Away Goals market. This leg has landed in 4 of Stoke's last 4 games, and a short-handed Derby defense is there to be exploited.

Bobby Clark Over 0.5 in the Player Shots On Target market. The winger has found the target in each outing this season, a run that stretches back across his last 4 Championship appearances, and Derby's width-first approach runs through him.

Carlton Morris in the Anytime Goalscorer market. If Derby find the net, he is the obvious candidate, having found a way past Stoke's back line in 3 of his past 4 head-to-head outings in the Championship.

Maksym Talovierov in the To Be Shown A Card market. He returns from suspension having picked up a booking twice across his previous three Championship outings, and a Derby side that attacks the flanks will test him.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Derby vs Stoke Talking Points

The battle that matters is Derby's width against Stoke's flanks. The Rams like to play wide, attack down both sides and cross often, and defending attacks down the wings is a known weakness for Stoke. The trouble is what happens at the end of those moves. Derby struggle to finish what they create and are vulnerable on the counter, and a Stoke side that is comfortable sitting in its own half and testing keepers from distance is built to punish exactly that. Eustace wants a reaction after the QPR loss, but anger won't fix a back line with Nyambe playing out of position. Both teams play aggressively, so expect a messy, stop-start game, and that suits the visitors' plan far more than Derby's.

Derby vs Stoke Predictions FAQs

When is the Derby vs Stoke English Championship game?

The game kicks off at 10:00 AM ET / 7:00 AM PT on Saturday, October 17, 2026.

Where is Derby vs Stoke being played?

The game is being played at Pride Park Stadium in Derby.

Who is in the probable Derby lineup for Derby vs Stoke?

Derby's probable lineup in a 4-2-3-1 formation is J. Vickers, R. Hedges, D. Sanderson, R. Nyambe, J. Ward, D. Ozoh, A. Mowatt, B. Clark, S. Szmodics, C. Morris and H. Meister.

Which Stoke players are on the absentee list for Derby vs Stoke?

Stoke's listed absentees are S. Ingelsson, A. Cresswell and S. Gallagher (injured), and A. Ampah (unfit).

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