Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas prediction, probable lineups, Same Game Parlay picks and odds. Get the betting angle before Saturday's Texas derby kick-off.
Grayson Parker - October 17, 2026, 4:37 PM EDT
6 minutesHouston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Game Preview
Competition | Major League Soccer |
|---|---|
Game Date | Saturday, October 17, 2026 |
Game Time | 8:30 PM ET / 5:30 PM PT |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Shell Energy Stadium |
The Texas Derby lands at Shell Energy Stadium on Saturday night, with the El Capitán cannon on the line between Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas.
Houston have slid to fifth in the Western Conference and need a win to secure a playoff berth. Blowing a halftime lead against San Diego FC in midweek showed why they're sweating.
FC Dallas clinched a playoff spot with a 1-0 win over Seattle Sounders FC, and Eric Quill's side have lost just once in their last eight MLS games.
This rivalry has tilted toward Dallas, with the previous meetings showing three FC Dallas wins, two ties and one Houston win.
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Recent Results
Houston have failed to win their last 5 games in Major League Soccer, and the problems are at both ends: poor finishing up front and a back line that keeps getting breached. Guilherme is the exception, scoring twice in the midweek tie with San Diego FC, while Mateusz Bogusz keeps firing away from the opposite flank.
FC Dallas have won 6 of their last 10 games against all opponents, and the attack is doing the heavy lifting. This is a side built on individual skill in the final third that takes a lot of shots. Petar Musa leads the line, with Santiago Moreno working the pocket behind him.
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Houston Dynamo: Jimmy Maurer (Injured/out), Felipe Andrade (Injured/out)
FC Dallas: Kaka Scabin (Injured/out), A. Julio (Injured/out), Logan Farrington (Injured/out)
Houston Dynamo
Jimmy Maurer and Felipe Andrade are confirmed absentees, but Jonathan Bond and Lawrence Ennali were both cleared to play against San Diego FC last time out. Duncan McGuire could lead the line in the Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas lineups, with Guilherme and Bogusz flanking him in a probable 4-3-3.
FC Dallas
Kaka Scabin, A. Julio and Logan Farrington are all on the injury list, and losing Farrington stings given he has been reliable at getting shots on target all season long. Expect Herman Johansson and Nolan Norris to start, with Petar Musa leading a probable 3-4-2-1.
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Predicted Lineup
Houston Dynamo
Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: J. Bond; L. Ennali, L. Halter, A. Carlos, F. Negri; H. Herrera, Artur, A. Bouzat; M. Bogusz, D. McGuire, Guilherme
FC Dallas
Formation: 3-4-2-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Daniel; N. Norris, O. Urhoghide, S. Ibeagha; H. Johansson, Ramiro, Kaick, S. Moore; J. Valiente, S. Moreno; P. Musa
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Key Stats & Game Facts
- Houston Dynamo have received 2+ cards in 8 of their last 9 games against FC Dallas in Major League Soccer.
- Houston Dynamo have had 6+ corners in 6 of their last 8 games against FC Dallas in Major League Soccer.
- Guilherme has won 3+ fouls in 8 of his last 9 appearances in Major League Soccer.
- Petar Musa has scored in 4 of his last 5 appearances against Houston Dynamo in Major League Soccer.
- Héctor Herrera has made 3+ tackles in 3 of his last 4 appearances against FC Dallas in Major League Soccer.
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Prediction & Best Picks
Our Prediction
Houston are the narrow favorite on the moneyline, but we're not buying it. They haven't kept the door shut in weeks, and this Dallas attack thrives on individual skill and volume shooting. FC Dallas at +217 (Polymarket) is the side to back. Our Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas prediction is FC Dallas to edge a messy Texas Derby 3-2.
Best Picks
Petar Musa to have over 3.5 shots in the Player Shots market, leading FC Dallas' attack. This one sits in the Player Shots market. Musa is the focal point of a Dallas side that loves to shoot, and with a projected total of 2.87 goals, an open game suits a shot-volume play on the striker.
Mateusz Bogusz to score or assist in the To Score Or Assist market for the home side. This one sits in the To Score Or Assist market. Bogusz is an ever-present starter for Houston, and the projection of 1.51 home goals says the hosts still find the net even on a bad night.
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Same Game Parlay
Our Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas same game parlay picks back both teams' shooters, a card for Osaze Urhoghide and Houston to find the net more than once.
Mateusz Bogusz over 1.5 in the Player Shots market. He's been good for 2 or more shots in every outing this season.
Petar Musa over 0.5 in the Player Shots On Target market. He's found the target in 8 of his last 10 Major League Soccer outings.
Osaze Urhoghide in the To Be Shown A Card market. He's picked up a card in each of his three career meetings with Houston Dynamo, and derbies don't calm defenders down.
Houston over 1.5 in the Total Home Goals market. They've cleared that mark four times across their last six games, and a Dallas defense that struggles against skillful players can be got at.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.
Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Talking Points
Brian Ching, the franchise's all-time leading scorer, becomes the inaugural member of Houston's Ring of Honor at halftime, so expect a loud building. On the field, the Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas betting odds price both teams to score at -139 (Polymarket), and with Houston's defense leaking and Dallas built to attack, that price makes sense. Nobody should expect a stubborn, scoreless affair with the El Capitán cannon at stake.
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Predictions FAQs
When is the Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas US MLS game?
The game kicks off on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET / 5:30 PM PT.
Where is Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas being played?
The game is being played at Shell Energy Stadium.
Who are the probable starters for Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?
Houston Dynamo's probable starters include J. Bond, L. Ennali, Artur and M. Bogusz. FC Dallas' probable starters include Daniel, N. Norris, Kaick and Petar Musa.
How have Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas been performing coming into the game?
Houston Dynamo have won just one of their last nine MLS games and have dropped to fifth in the Western Conference. FC Dallas are looking for back-to-back victories after beating Seattle Sounders midweek.
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