New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds
Get New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC best picks, probable lineups, odds, Same Game Parlay ideas and betting angles for this MLS game ahead of kick-off.
Grayson Parker - October 17, 2026, 3:37 PM EDT
7 minutesNew York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Game Preview
Competition | US MLS |
|---|---|
Game Date | Saturday, October 17, 2026 |
Game Time | 7:30 PM ET / 4:30 PM PT |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Harrison, NJ, Sports Illustrated Stadium |
Sports Illustrated Stadium hosts Pride Night on Saturday when the visitors from Toronto come to town, and our prediction for this one leans firmly toward the home side.
New York sit eighth in the Eastern Conference. Last weekend's loss to a short-handed DC United stung, so the hosts have something to prove in front of their own crowd.
Toronto sit 11th in the East. They arrive unbeaten in two MLS outings, but this trip comes on short rest after Thursday's game and without two suspended defenders.
History favors the hosts. Toronto have not won any of the last six meetings, with New York taking half of them and the rest ending in ties.
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Recent Results
New York have won three of their last five MLS games, yet last weekend was a wasted opportunity. They lost at Audi Field to a DC United side reduced to 10 men. The attack thrives on through balls and individual skill, with Julian Hall leading the line, but finishing remains the weak link.
Toronto's recent MLS games have been shootouts, the latest a wild tie with Orlando City on Thursday. There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 games in Major League Soccer. They attack down the wings, with Sargent central and Corbeanu dangerous on the right, and they fight back from losing positions.
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
New York Red Bulls: A. Marcucci (Injured/out), R. Donkor (Injured/doubtful)
Toronto FC: D. Kerr (Injured/out), N. Palacio (Injured/out), L. Gavran (Injured/out), R. Laryea (Suspended), B. Kuscevic (Suspended)
New York Red Bulls
The lineups news is mixed for the hosts. Cameron Harper and Devin Padelford both shook off injuries to feature against DC United, but Ronald Donkor is now doubtful after picking up a knock in that game. Emil Forsberg and Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty could both start on Saturday.
Toronto FC
Toronto lose their defensive duo, with Benjamín Kuscevic and Richie Laryea both serving yellow card suspensions. Expect Nicksoen Gomis and Kobe Franklin to replace them in the starting XI.
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Predicted Lineup
New York Red Bulls
Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: E. Horvath; D. Padelford, J. Bazán, D. Nealis, J. Marshall-Rutty; M. Sofo, E. Forsberg, A. Mehmeti; C. Cowell, J. Hall, J. Ruvalcaba (probable)
Toronto FC
Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: W. Yarbrough; M. Pereira, N. Gomis, Z. Monlouis, K. Franklin; D. Mihailovic, J. Osorio, A. Coello; D. Sallói, J. Sargent, T. Corbeanu (probable)
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Key Stats & Game Facts
- New York Red Bulls have had 5+ shots on target in 6 out of 6 games vs Toronto FC in Major League Soccer.
- There have been 27+ shots taken in 7 of Toronto FC's last 7 games in Major League Soccer.
- Ronald Donkor has been carded in 4 of his last 6 appearances in Major League Soccer.
- Mohammed Sofo has committed 3+ fouls in 6 of his last 7 appearances in Major League Soccer.
- Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 4 meetings between New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC in Major League Soccer.
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Prediction & Best Picks
Our Prediction
Our prediction is a New York win in a game where both teams score. The betting odds back that up, with the hosts priced at -125 (Polymarket) on the moneyline. Toronto's makeshift back line, without Kuscevic and Laryea, is a bad fit against an attack that lives on through balls. Toronto will create something down the wings, but New York carry the sharper front line, and our projections give them 2.29 goals at home.
Best Picks
Both Teams To Score: Yes. Both New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC are expected to find the net. This one sits in the Both Teams To Score market, and it is the cleanest angle on the board. Our numbers rate both sides scoring at 69.7%, and the projected total lands at 3.78 goals. A Toronto defense missing two starters is unlikely to keep New York quiet, while the visitors' wing play has enough to punish a home side that struggles defending set pieces.
New York Red Bulls to win on the Moneyline. They are the home favorites against a Toronto side without two suspended defenders. Among this matchup's best picks, this Moneyline play has the strongest home record behind it. New York have won 8 of their last 9 home games against Toronto in all competitions. The hosts also hold a 55% win probability, and the price sits in a sensible band, neither heavy odds-on nor a longshot.
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Same Game Parlay
This Same Game Parlay picks stack four player props: a Ronald Donkor card, Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting on target, Julian Hall shots and a Lewis Morgan goal.
Ronald Donkor To Be Shown A Card: he picks up bookings regularly, carrying a 28.61% AI probability here. He is doubtful with a knock, so confirm he starts before kickoff.
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting Over 0.5 Player Shots On Target: he has found the target in 7 of his past 9 MLS appearances. This is the steadiest leg in the parlay.
Julian Hall Over 2.5 Player Shots: this mark has been reached in each of his 3 most recent outings. Hall leads New York's line, and a 75.41% AI probability backs the volume.
Lewis Morgan Anytime Goalscorer: the longest leg, having struck twice across his previous 3 appearances. A 31.46% AI probability makes it the sweetener that drives the price up.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.
Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Talking Points
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty gets a reunion with his former club, where he became the youngest player in Toronto history to sign a first-team Homegrown contract, at age 15. He could start at right back, and that puts him directly against a Toronto side that loves attacking down the wings. Ronald Donkor's knock is the other storyline. He sits one assist shy of becoming the youngest player in franchise history to reach double figures in assists in an MLS regular season, but he is doubtful. Tactically, this is New York's through-ball game against a Toronto team that steals the ball well and is comfortable going direct. Neither side finishes cleanly, which is why this one has messy, high-event written all over it.
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Predictions FAQs
When is the New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC US MLS game?
The game is on Saturday, October 17, 2026, with kickoff at 7:30 PM ET / 4:30 PM PT.
Where is New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC being played?
The game is being played at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Who is in the probable New York Red Bulls lineup?
The probable New York Red Bulls starters are E. Horvath, D. Padelford, J. Bazán, D. Nealis, J. Marshall-Rutty, M. Sofo, E. Forsberg, A. Mehmeti, C. Cowell, J. Hall and J. Ruvalcaba.
Which Toronto FC players are missing for the game?
Toronto FC is missing D. Kerr, N. Palacio and L. Gavran through injury, and R. Laryea and B. Kuscevic through suspension.
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