Newcastle vs Aston Villa Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Game Preview

Newcastle vs Aston Villa at St. James' Park pits a home side searching for answers against a Villa team that just put six past Fenerbahce in the Champions League.

Matthias Jaissle's promising start at Newcastle has stalled. A 4-1 hammering at Coventry was their second loss by that exact scoreline in a short stretch. The home crowd wants a reaction.

Aston Villa are finally turning a corner. Unai Emery's side carry a four-game unbeaten run into this one. They have also won their last three away games in all competitions.

Newcastle hold the edge in previous meetings, three wins to Villa's two with one tie, and the Newcastle vs Aston Villa betting odds lean toward the hosts again.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Recent Results

Newcastle's slump is real, and the back line is the main culprit. Each of their last four Premier League games has gone over 2.5 goals, and Coventry ripped them apart. Harvey Barnes is the attacker trending up, hitting the target consistently from the left, while Yoane Wissa is the creative hub behind the striker.

Aston Villa are rolling again. Nicolas Jackson and Ross Barkley both bagged braces in the 6-0 Champions League rout of Fenerbahce, and road wins at Club Brugge, Coventry and Tottenham show this team travels. The domestic picture is shakier, though. The Spurs win is their only Premier League victory so far, and the defense keeps leaking in the league.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Newcastle: Ewen Jaouen (Injured/out), Anthony Elanga (Injured/out), Jacob Ramsey (Injured/out), Tino Livramento (Injured/out), Bazoumana Touré (Injured/doubtful)

Aston Villa: Ian Maatsen (Injured/out), A. Onana (Injured/out), Matteo Ruggeri (Injured/out)

Newcastle

The big boost for the Newcastle vs Aston Villa lineups is that Dan Burn, Joelinton and William Osula are all fit and available again. Tino Livramento, Jacob Ramsey, Ewen Jaouen and Anthony Elanga remain sidelined. Bazoumana Touré was forced off shortly after coming on at Coventry but still has a shot at being involved.

Aston Villa

Matteo Ruggeri is out for more than a month with a hamstring injury picked up in the tie against Brentford. Ian Maatsen is also expected to miss out with an ankle problem, so Aaron Wan-Bissaka is set to start at left back. Emiliano Buendía and Joao Gomes are in line to return to the XI after starting the Champions League game on the bench.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineup

Newcastle

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: L. Hornícek; A. Dedic, M. Thiaw, S. Botman, L. Hall; Joelinton, N. González; J. Murphy, Y. Wissa, H. Barnes; M. Fernandez-Pardo (probable)

Aston Villa

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Z. Suzuki; M. Cash, V. Lindelöf, P. Torres, A. Wan-Bissaka; B. Kamara, J. Gomes; J. McGinn, J. Manzambi, E. Buendía; N. Jackson (probable)

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Key Stats & Game Facts

• There have been 11+ shots on target in 4 of the last 6 meetings between Aston Villa and Newcastle in the Premier League.
• There have been 29+ shots taken in 3 of Aston Villa's last 3 games in the Premier League.
• John McGinn has scored or assisted in 3 of his last 3 appearances in the Premier League.
• Joelinton has been carded in 4 of his last 4 appearances against Aston Villa in the Premier League.
• Newcastle have had 6+ corners in 6 of their last 6 games against Aston Villa in the Premier League.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction is a home win, but do not expect a clean sheet. Newcastle are the slim favorite at +150 (Polymarket). Our numbers make them 41% to win, with Villa trailing. The key is width. Newcastle love to play wide and break quickly, and Villa have struggled defending attacks down the flanks. Villa carry enough implied probability to score, but Newcastle's finishing and the home crowd tilt a messy, open game toward the Magpies.

Best Picks

Yoane Wissa to make over 1.5 tackles in the Player Tackles market. The first of our Newcastle vs Aston Villa best picks comes from the Player Tackles market. Wissa is projected to start in the central attacking role, and our numbers put this at a 49.4% probability. That is well clear of the 29.4% implied probability in the price, and Villa's short-passing build-up gives a busy No. 10 plenty of ball to hunt.

Aaron Wan-Bissaka to be shown a card in the To Be Shown A Card market. This one lives in the To Be Shown A Card market. With Ian Maatsen expected to miss out, Wan-Bissaka is set to start at left back, and Villa's issues defending attacks down the wings leave him exposed to Newcastle's width. Our projection puts it at 29.8%. The price implies just 18.2%.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Same Game Parlay

Our Newcastle vs Aston Villa same game parlay picks stack four player props: a Joelinton card, a Harvey Barnes shot on target, Joe Willock shots and a Nicolas Jackson goal.

Joelinton to be shown a card (To Be Shown A Card). This matchup has brought out his edge every single time, four bookings from four outings against Villa.

Harvey Barnes over 0.5 shots on target (Player Shots On Target). He has found the target in each Premier League outing this season, and Newcastle love attacking down his left side.

Joe Willock over 1.5 shots (Player Shots). Willock has fired 2+ shots in every one of his last five Premier League appearances, and Newcastle like to shoot from distance.

Nicolas Jackson to score (Anytime Goalscorer). The striker has found the net twice across his last three Premier League outings, and Newcastle have struggled to stop opponents creating quality looks.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Talking Points

The matchup to watch is in the middle of the field. Johan Manzambi scored on his Champions League debut in the Fenerbahce rout and is set to operate centrally for Villa, right in Joelinton's zone. Expect action at both ends too, with 3+ goals scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these sides in the Premier League. Newcastle also have a knack for coming back from losing positions, so an early Villa goal would not end this one.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Predictions FAQs

What time is Newcastle vs Aston Villa?

Newcastle vs Aston Villa kicks off on Saturday at 12:30 PM ET / 9:30 AM PT. The game is part of the English Premier League 2026/2027 season.

Where is Newcastle vs Aston Villa being played?

Newcastle vs Aston Villa is being played at St. James' Park.

Where can I watch Newcastle vs Aston Villa?

Newcastle vs Aston Villa is listed on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports PL in the UK.

Who is in the probable starting lineups for Newcastle vs Aston Villa?

Newcastle's probable XI includes L. Hornícek, L. Hall, S. Botman, M. Thiaw, A. Dedic, Joelinton, N. González, H. Barnes, Y. Wissa, J. Murphy and M. Fernandez-Pardo. Aston Villa's probable XI includes Z. Suzuki, A. Wan-Bissaka, P. Torres, V. Lindelöf, M. Cash, B. Kamara, J. Gomes, E. Buendía, J. Manzambi, J. McGinn and N. Jackson.

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