Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn prediction, probable lineups, betting odds and best Same Game Parlay picks for this Bundesliga clash at the Weserstadion.
Cody Moore - October 17, 2026, 5:39 AM EDT
6 minutesWerder Bremen vs Paderborn Game Preview
Competition | German Bundesliga |
|---|---|
Game Date | Saturday, October 17, 2026 |
Game Time | 9:30 AM ET / 6:30 AM PT |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Weserstadion |
The Weserstadion marks its 100th anniversary on Saturday, and Werder Bremen get Paderborn as the party guests. The Werder Bremen vs Paderborn betting odds make the hosts -120 (Polymarket) favorites.
Bremen are unbeaten in four league outings since a heavy opening-weekend loss. Rescuing a point at unbeaten Borussia Dortmund with two late goals showed a team that refuses to fold.
Newly promoted Paderborn arrive off a 2-0 home loss to Stuttgart, and they have dropped three of their last four Bundesliga games. The step up in class is showing.
Bremen are undefeated in their last five games against Paderborn in all competitions. Against this opponent, at home, on a celebration day, anything less than three points would sting.
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Recent Results
Bremen sit seventh in the standings, a solid recovery from that rough opening weekend. Niclas Füllkrug is the headline act, finding the net in four straight Bundesliga outings, with Marco Grüll working the left side behind him. This is a side that thrives on coming back from losing positions and knows how to protect a lead once it has one.
Paderborn have failed to win 19 of their last 20 Bundesliga games, a brutal run for a club trying to find its feet. Worse, they have trailed at halftime and lost at full time seven times across their last nine Bundesliga outings. Their strengths are defensive, winning aerial duels and defending set pieces, but finishing remains a real problem.
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Werder Bremen: J. Stage (Injured/out), J. Njinmah (Injured/out), M. N'Diaye (Injured/out), S. Musah (Injured/out), S. Alvero (Injured/out), F. Agu (Injured/out), A. Pieper (Injured/doubtful)
Paderborn: L. N. Awortwie-Grant (Injured/out), M. Hoffmeier (Injured/out), S. Klaas (Unfit/out)
Werder Bremen
The Werder Bremen vs Paderborn lineups get a lift on the home side, with Youri Regeer cleared to start after picking up an injury against Borussia Dortmund. Center back Amos Pieper is a late decision after suffering an issue in that same game, while Felix Agu has suffered a setback in his recovery from a calf injury.
Paderborn
Ralf Kettemann is not expected to make any changes despite the 2-0 defeat to Stuttgart last time out. Laurin Curda has been cleared to play while managing a fractured hand.
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Predicted Lineup
Werder Bremen
Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: K. Hein; O. Deman, M. Friedl, A. Pieper, Arthur; L. Reis, Y. Regeer; M. Grüll, Chuki, E. Dinkçi; N. Füllkrug
Paderborn
Formation: 3-5-2 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: N. Noll; M. Hansen, T. Scheller, J. t. Horst; R. Obermair, G. Vidovic, S. Castañeda, L. Ulrich, L. Curda; M. Pieringer, S. Marino
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Key Stats & Game Facts
- There have been 28+ shots taken in 4 of the last 4 games between Paderborn vs Werder Bremen (Bundesliga).
- There have been 11+ shots on target in 4 of Werder Bremen's last 4 games (Bundesliga).
- Marco Grüll has provided assists in 4 of his last 5 games (Bundesliga).
- Niclas Füllkrug has committed 3+ fouls in 4 of his last 5 games (Bundesliga).
- There have been 13+ corners in 4 of the last 4 games between Paderborn vs Werder Bremen (Bundesliga).
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Prediction & Best Picks
Our Prediction
Our Werder Bremen vs Paderborn prediction is a Bremen win in an open, messy game with goals at both ends. The hosts carry a 52.04% win probability, roughly double Paderborn's, and Niclas Füllkrug gives them a finisher the visitors simply cannot match. The projected total of 3.42 goals says Paderborn land a punch or two, but Bremen have more quality in the final third and the resilience to see it through.
Best Picks
Werder Bremen to beat Paderborn in the Moneyline market. This is the headliner of our Werder Bremen vs Paderborn best picks. Bremen are clinical finishers who love to slice teams open with through balls, and defending exactly that is where Paderborn are weakest. Paderborn have managed just a single win across their last six games against all opponents.
Over 2.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Bremen have produced over 2.5 goals six times across their last seven games against Paderborn in all competitions. The projections put Over 2.5 at a 66.34% probability, a touch above the bookmaker-implied number, and it sits neatly alongside the lean toward both teams scoring.
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Same Game Parlay
Our Werder Bremen vs Paderborn same game parlay picks stack Niclas Füllkrug to score, Marco Grüll to register an assist, Over 3.5 goals and both teams to score.
Niclas Füllkrug in the Anytime Goalscorer market anchors the parlay. He has put at least one shot on target in every Bundesliga appearance across his last five, and Paderborn struggle against skillful players.
Marco Grüll Over 0.5 in the Player Assists market follows naturally. He has set up a teammate four times across his last five Bundesliga appearances, and Bremen love to play with width.
Over 3.5 in the Total Goals Over/Under market landed in four of Bremen's last five outings. Paderborn conceded enough to let their opponent score 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 against Bremen in all competitions.
Yes in the Both Teams To Score market closes it out. It landed in each of Bremen's last 5 games, and the projections give both teams scoring a 65.25% probability here.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.
Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Talking Points
The clock is Bremen's best friend. They have scored nine of their 10 Bundesliga goals this season after halftime, and six of those arrived in the final 15 minutes, so nobody should switch off early. Head coach Daniel Thioune is not taking the visitors lightly, pointing to the dangerous quality that caused problems for both Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund. Still, Paderborn do their best work in the air and on set pieces, which is exactly why Bremen should keep the ball on the ground, lean on short passes and through balls, and make this a game of quality rather than a physical slog.
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Predictions FAQs
When is the Werder Bremen vs Paderborn German Bundesliga game?
The game kicks off at 9:30 AM ET / 6:30 AM PT on Saturday, October 17, 2026.
Where is Werder Bremen vs Paderborn being played?
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn is being played at the Weserstadion.
Who is in the probable starting lineup for Werder Bremen?
Werder Bremen's probable starting XI includes K. Hein, O. Deman, M. Friedl, A. Pieper, Arthur, L. Reis, Y. Regeer, M. Grüll, Chuki, E. Dinkçi and N. Füllkrug.
How is recent form shaping the Werder Bremen vs Paderborn game?
Werder Bremen have been unbeaten in their last four league games, while Paderborn have lost three of their last four Bundesliga games.
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