AC Milan vs Atalanta Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds
AC Milan vs Atalanta predictions, probable lineups, odds and Same Game Parlay picks. Check injury news and key betting angles before this Serie A game.
Grayson Parker - October 18, 2026, 8:08 AM EDT
6 minutesAC Milan vs Atalanta Game Preview
Competition | Italian Serie A |
|---|---|
Game Date | Sunday, October 18, 2026 |
Game Time | 12:00 PM ET / 9:00 AM PT |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Milan, Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) |
AC Milan host Atalanta at San Siro on Sunday in a Lombardy derby with real Serie A bite, and the injury report pushes this one firmly toward the Rossoneri.
Rúben Amorim's side are undefeated in their last six Serie A games. They sit sixth in the standings and come in off a resounding Europa League win.
Maurizio Sarri's Atalanta show up with a crowded treatment room. Seven players are listed as injured or doubtful, and the back line has taken the biggest hit.
History is the one card the visitors hold. Atalanta are undefeated in their last seven games against AC Milan in all competitions.
AC Milan vs Atalanta Recent Results
AC Milan roll into this one off a 4-0 Europa League thrashing of Salzburg, Amorim's biggest win since taking charge. Domestically, Adrien Rabiot is the engine, with a goal or an assist in each of his last three Serie A outings, while Christian Pulisic and Diego Moreira supply the width.
Atalanta have steadied after three straight defeats, stringing together 3-1 wins over Venezia in Serie A and Pafos in the UEFA Conference League. Charles De Ketelaere and Jonathan Rowe give the front line real punch, but injuries have gutted the defense at the worst possible time.
AC Milan vs Atalanta Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
AC Milan: Alexis Saelemaekers (Injured/out), Matteo Gabbia (Injured/out), P. Terracciano (Injured/out)
Atalanta: Isak Hien (Injured/out), Kamaldeen Sulemana (Injured/out), Odilon Kossounou (Injured/out), Giacomo Raspadori (Injured/out), Franck Kessié (Injured/doubtful), Giorgio Scalvini (Injured/doubtful), Raoul Bellanova (Injured/doubtful)
AC Milan
The AC Milan vs Atalanta lineups start with Amorim sticking to his trusted 4-3-3. Mike Maignan stays in goal behind Mario Gila, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlović and Pervis Estupiñán, who holds an edge over Davide Bartesaghi. Yunus Musah, Luka Modrić and Rabiot run the midfield, with Gonçalo Ramos leading the line between Pulisic and Moreira. Cissé starts on the bench, while Saelemaekers and Gabbia remain sidelined for long spells.
Atalanta
Sarri mirrors the hosts with a 4-3-3. Marco Carnesecchi is locked in as the starter in goal behind a depleted back four of Davide Zappacosta, Sead Kolašinac, Kristensen and Lorenzo Bernasconi. Scalvini and Bellanova face late fitness tests after missing the Pafos game. Kessié is a probable absentee, opening the door for Mario Pašalić or Lazar Samardžić alongside Éderson and Gianluca Gaetano. Rowe and De Ketelaere support Nikola Krstović, with Gianluca Scamacca on the bench.
AC Milan vs Atalanta Predicted Lineup
AC Milan
Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: M. Maignan; M. Gila, K. D. Winter, S. Pavlovic, P. Estupiñán; Y. Musah, L. Modric, A. Rabiot; C. Pulisic, G. Ramos, D. Moreira
Atalanta
Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: M. Carnesecchi; D. Zappacosta, T. Kristensen, S. Kolasinac, L. Bernasconi; M. Pasalic, G. Gaetano, Éderson; C. D. Ketelaere, N. Krstovic, J. Rowe
AC Milan vs Atalanta Key Stats & Game Facts
- AC Milan have received 3+ cards in 7 of their last 10 games against Atalanta (Serie A).
- There have been 25+ shots taken in 4 of Atalanta's last 4 games (Serie A).
- Diego Moreira has scored in 2 of his last 3 appearances (Serie A).
- Mario Gila has won 2+ fouls in 3 of his last 3 appearances (Serie A).
- Rafael Leão has recorded 1+ shots on target in 7 of his last 9 appearances against Atalanta (Serie A).
AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction & Best Picks
Our Prediction
Our AC Milan vs Atalanta prediction is a 2-1 home win. Milan carry the sharper attack, built on through balls and clinical finishing, and Atalanta's patched-up back line struggles to defend the wings, which is exactly where Pulisic and Moreira do their damage. The visitors have enough going forward to get on the board, but Milan's depth and fitness should carry them through.
Best Picks
AC Milan to win in the Moneyline market. The hosts are the model's favorites at San Siro against a depleted Atalanta side. The Moneyline is the first of our AC Milan vs Atalanta best picks, and it follows the projection straight down the line. Milan haven't lost in six Serie A outings, and Atalanta are missing too many bodies to keep this kind of attack quiet for 90 minutes.
Over 2.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. The model projects a high-scoring game. The Total Goals Over/Under market is where the attacking talent on both sides pays off. Both teams have scored in 5 of the last 6 meetings between AC Milan and Atalanta (Serie A). Milan have also scored 2+ goals in 4 of their last 6 games (Serie A), so this one leans messy rather than stubborn.
AC Milan vs Atalanta Same Game Parlay
Our AC Milan vs Atalanta same game parlay picks stack four player props: Jonathan Rowe Over 2.5 shots, Nikola Krstović to be carded, Adrien Rabiot anytime goalscorer and Krstović Over 0.5 shots on target.
Rowe has attempted 3+ shots in each of his last three Serie A appearances. Atalanta like to create long-range looks, and he is the man pulling the trigger.
Krstović has been carded three times across his last four outings against AC Milan (Serie A). Leading a short-handed line, he will be scrapping for every ball.
Rabiot found the net twice over his previous three Serie A appearances. He arrives late in the box better than any Milan midfielder, and a stretched Atalanta defense gives him room.
Krstović put at least one shot on target in all four of his recent appearances against AC Milan (Serie A). Even on a quiet day, he tests the goalkeeper.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.
Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.
AC Milan vs Atalanta Talking Points
The subplot to watch is Alphadjo Cissé. The 19-year-old forward bagged a hat trick in the Salzburg rout, yet he starts on the bench here, which hands Amorim a dangerous weapon for the closing stretch against tiring legs. Atalanta are priced as the clear underdog on the moneyline, and with this injury list it's hard to argue. Sarri's side have owned this matchup lately, but a thin roster makes protecting that record a tall order at San Siro.
AC Milan vs Atalanta Predictions FAQs
When is the AC Milan vs Atalanta Serie A game?
The game kicks off at 12:00 PM ET / 9:00 AM PT on Sunday, October 18, 2026.
Who is expected to start for AC Milan and Atalanta?
Probable AC Milan starters include goalkeeper Mike Maignan, with Adrien Rabiot and Gonçalo Ramos among the expected lineup. Atalanta are expected to start Marco Carnesecchi in goal, with Nikola Krstović leading the attack.
Where is AC Milan vs Atalanta being played?
The game is being played at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) in Milan.
Where can I watch AC Milan vs Atalanta?
The game is listed on TNT Sports 1.
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