Monza vs Cagliari Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Monza vs Cagliari Game Preview

Monza host Cagliari at the U-Power Stadium in Serie A on Monday, and our Monza vs Cagliari prediction starts with a simple point: the price board and the standings disagree.

Monza have won just one of their first six league games. Their games rarely stay quiet, though, and Ivan Juric's side have the attacking intent to make this messy.

Cagliari arrive in far better shape, with three wins and a tie against Juventus in their last four. They have also conceded only three goals in six league games.

Cagliari own three wins to Monza's two in previous meetings, with one tie. Even so, Monza carry the shortest moneyline price at +138 (Polymarket) despite the visitors' better form.

Monza vs Cagliari Recent Results

Monza have managed just one win from their first six Serie A games, and their form ranks among the weakest in the league. What they do produce is chaos: five of their last six Serie A games went over 2.5 goals. Gustavo Varela is the focal point up top, with Ngonge and Dany Mota feeding him.

Cagliari sit in the top half of the standings, with five wins from their last 10 games against all opponents. They win ugly, too: there have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6 Serie A games. Daniel Maldini supplies the cutting edge behind Paul Mendy, with Winks anchoring midfield.

Monza vs Cagliari Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Monza: M. Pessina (Injured/out), P. Ciurria (Injured/out), J. Ziólkowski (Injured/out), I. Touré (Injured/doubtful), L. Lucchesi (Suspended)

Cagliari: R. Idrissi (Injured/out), M. Felici (Injured/out), Y. Trepy (Unavailable, other reason)

Monza

Ivan Juric is without the suspended Lucchesi, so Goglichidze steps into the back three. Akinsanmiro and Folorunsho pair up in midfield, with Birindelli and Mangas providing the width as wingbacks. Ngonge and Dany Mota operate behind Varela in the probable lineup, while Zeballos misses out on a starting spot.

Cagliari

Pisacane is sticking with the XI that held Juventus to a tie. That means Yerry Mina gets the nod over Deiola to lead the defense, Winks, Romano and Adopo stay in midfield, and Massolin heads for a second straight start behind Mendy, alongside Daniel Maldini.

Monza vs Cagliari Predicted Lineup

Monza

Formation: 3-4-2-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: N. Törnqvist; E. Kouadio, S. Goglichidze, A. Carboni; R. Mangas, M. Folorunsho, E. Akinsanmiro, S. Birindelli; C. Ngonge, D. Mota; G. Varela (probable)

Cagliari

Formation: 4-3-2-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: E. Caprile; Z. Pedro, Y. Mina, J. Rodríguez, A. Obert; A. Romano, H. Winks, M. Adopo; Y. Massolin, D. Maldini; P. Mendy (probable)

Monza vs Cagliari Key Stats & Game Facts

• Monza have received 2+ cards in 4 of their last 4 games vs Cagliari (Serie A).
• There have been 12+ shots on target in 3 of Monza's last 3 games (Serie A).
• Daniel Maldini has scored in 4 of his last 4 appearances (Serie A).
• There have been 26+ shots taken in 6 of Cagliari's last 6 games (Serie A).
• Paul Mendy has committed 2+ fouls in 4 of his last 4 appearances (Serie A).

Monza vs Cagliari Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our prediction: Monza edge a messy, open game in which both sides score. The projections land on 3.6 total goals with Monza holding a slight edge, and the matchup backs that up. Monza cross often, play direct and create plenty, which aims squarely at a Cagliari side that struggles in the air and defending set pieces. That stingy Cagliari defense gets a real test here, while Maldini gives the visitors enough to punish Monza's own set-piece issues and individual errors at the other end.

Best Picks

Over 2.5 in the Total Goals Over/Under market. The model projects a high-scoring game between Monza and Cagliari. This one sits in the Total Goals Over/Under market. The projections put Over 2.5 at a 69.7% implied probability, and Monza's games have cleared that line in five of their last six in Serie A, which points toward a line we prefer over the longer Over 3.5.

Yes in the Both Teams To Score market. Both sides are projected to score. Both teams finding the net fits the same read, with the projections putting that outcome at a 69.5% implied probability. Cagliari have no key attackers missing, and Monza's shaky set-piece defense and habit of individual errors give Maldini and company a way in.

Monza vs Cagliari Same Game Parlay

Our Monza vs Cagliari Same Game Parlay picks combine three legs: Daniel Maldini to score, Alessandro Deiola to be shown a card, and both teams finding the net.

Daniel Maldini in the Anytime Goalscorer market is the headline leg. He has scored in each of his last 4 Serie A appearances and starts in the hole behind Paul Mendy.

Alessandro Deiola has been carded in 3 of his last 5 Serie A appearances. With Mina preferred in defense, this To Be Shown A Card leg needs him on the field.

Both teams scoring rounds out the parlay, with Monza's defensive lapses giving Cagliari a clear route to goal in what projects as an open, attacking game.

This Same Game Parlay runs to three legs, so there is no fourth selection to add.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Monza vs Cagliari Talking Points

Cagliari will be without Pisacane on the touchline, as he serves a ban, so assistant Giacomo Murelli runs the technical area. Pisacane has told his squad to ignore the standings, and Ivan Juric is not taking the visitors lightly either, saying "Cagliari defends with great quality; tactical discipline will be fundamental." The subplot is Daniel Maldini, who faces his former club Monza as the visitors' sharpest attacking weapon.

Monza vs Cagliari Predictions FAQs

When is the Monza vs Cagliari Italian Serie A game?

The Serie A game is on Monday, October 19, 2026, with kickoff at 12:30 PM ET / 9:30 AM PT.

Where is Monza vs Cagliari being played?

Monza vs Cagliari is being played at U-Power Stadium.

What formations are expected for Monza vs Cagliari?

Monza are expected to line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation and Cagliari in a 4-3-2-1, according to the probable lineups. Probable starters include N. Törnqvist in goal for Monza and E. Caprile in goal for Cagliari.

What team news is there for Monza vs Cagliari?

Monza are missing M. Pessina, P. Ciurria and J. Ziółkowski (injured), I. Touré (doubtful) and L. Lucchesi (suspended). Cagliari are missing R. Idrissi and M. Felici (injured) and Y. Trepy (other reason).

Affiliate Disclosure

We are not a gambling or betting operator, but we receive a commission from these companies when we advertise their brands and refer customers to them (affiliate marketing). We provide information, odds information and links to websites of these companies. Some of the information made available on our site may be positioned as a result of a commission paid to us by a third party. We do not take or place bets/transactions and any information on Our Products is provided for entertainment purposes only.

Please gamble responsibly. 21+.