Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina predictions, probable lineups and Same Game Parlay picks. Check team news and standout odds ahead of this Italian Serie A game.
Jade Griffiths - October 25, 2026, 3:38 AM EDT
6 minutesInter Milan vs Fiorentina Game Preview
Competition | Italian Serie A |
|---|---|
Game Date | Sunday, October 25, 2026 |
Game Time | 7:30 AM ET / 4:30 AM PT |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Stadio Giuseppe Meazza |
Our Inter Milan vs Fiorentina prediction starts with a mismatch at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Inter sit 2nd in the Serie A standings. Fiorentina are down in 18th, and it shows.
Cristian Chivu's side are undefeated in their last 17 games in Serie A, and they are handling that domestic run alongside a Champions League schedule. This team keeps finding a way.
Paolo Vanoli's Fiorentina arrive in rough shape after a 3-1 home loss to Como. The defense has been the sore spot, and now it has to deal with the league's most in-form side.
The head-to-head leans the hosts' way too. Inter have stayed unbeaten across 19 of their past 21 meetings with Fiorentina across all competitions.
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Recent Results
Inter are rolling. Carlos Augusto's late winner sealed a 1-0 Champions League win over Shakhtar Donetsk, and the domestic picture looks even healthier, with Marcus Thuram scoring or assisting in every Serie A appearance over his current run. With Lautaro Martínez sidelined, Thuram's output carries extra weight.
Fiorentina are in a slump. They have won just 2 of their last 10 games, and the back line is leaking badly, conceding multiple goals in 6 of their last 7 Serie A games. There is attacking intent here, since this side takes plenty of shots, but finishing has been a real weakness.
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Inter Milan: Lautaro Martínez (Injured/out), Benjamin Pavard (Injured/out), John Stones (Injured/doubtful), Curtis Jones (Injured/doubtful)
Fiorentina: Fabiano Parisi (Injured/out), Arthur Atta (Injured/doubtful)
Inter Milan
For the Inter Milan vs Fiorentina lineups, Cristian Chivu sticks with his 3-5-2, and the big story is up top. With Lautaro Martínez injured, Marcus Thuram leads the line alongside young striker Francesco Pio Esposito. Pavard's absence thins out the defensive depth, and the doubts over Stones and Jones don't help.
Fiorentina
Paolo Vanoli goes with a 4-3-3, with David de Gea in goal. Fabiano Parisi is ruled out and Arthur Atta is doubtful. The attacking load falls on Mateo Pellegrino through the middle, with Franco Mastantuono and Alieu Njie working the flanks.
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Predicted Lineup
Inter Milan
Formation: 3-5-2 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Ivan Provedel; Alessandro Bastoni, Manuel Akanji, Yann Bisseck; Carlos Augusto, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Hakan Çalhanoglu, Nicolò Barella, Andy Diouf; Marcus Thuram, Francesco Pio Esposito
Fiorentina
Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: David de Gea; Dodô, Marin Pongracic, Radu Dragusin, Álex Jiménez; Marco Brescianini, Nicolò Fagioli, Cher Ndour; Franco Mastantuono, Mateo Pellegrino, Alieu Njie
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Key Stats & Game Facts
- There have been 28+ shots taken in 3 of the last 3 meetings between Fiorentina and Inter (Serie A).
- Inter have had 16+ shots in 6 of their last 6 games (Serie A).
- Marcus Thuram has recorded 1+ shots on target in 5 of his last 5 games (Serie A).
- Hakan Çalhanoglu has scored in 3 of his last 5 games (Serie A).
- Moise Kean has been carded in 3 of his last 4 games vs Inter (Serie A).
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction & Best Picks
Our Prediction
Our call is Inter Milan 2-1 Fiorentina. The Inter Milan vs Fiorentina betting odds have the hosts at -267 (Polymarket) on the moneyline, and that price fits the gap between the league's most in-form side and a team stuck near the bottom of the standings. Fiorentina take enough shots to nick one, but their defense can't hold off this Inter attack.
Best Picks
Over 2.5 in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Inter have scored at least 2 goals in each of their last 5 Serie A games, and Fiorentina have been involved in over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7. Total Goals Over/Under is the market for the first of our Inter Milan vs Fiorentina best picks. Our projection lands on 3.63 total goals for this matchup, and Inter's home record against this opponent backs that number up too.
Yes in the Both Teams To Score market. Fiorentina have been leaky and open, and they take plenty of shots and long-range efforts. Both Teams To Score is the second pick, and it fits the same script. Our projection has Fiorentina scoring 1.14 goals, and with defender Benjamin Pavard out, Inter's back line, which already struggles to limit what opponents create, is no guarantee for a clean sheet.
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Same Game Parlay
Our Inter Milan vs Fiorentina same game parlay picks back the home attack: Marcus Thuram to score, Inter over 1.5 team goals and Francesco Pio Esposito to land a shot on target.
Marcus Thuram in the Anytime Goalscorer market. He has found the net in four of his past five Serie A starts, and with Lautaro Martínez out, the goals run through him.
Inter Over 1.5 in the Total Home Goals market. The hosts have posted multiple goals in each of their last three home meetings with Fiorentina.
Francesco Pio Esposito Over 0.5 in the Player Shots On Target market. He has put a shot on frame in six of his last seven Serie A appearances.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.
Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Talking Points
Midfield is where this one gets decided. Hakan Çalhanoglu and Nicolò Barella against Nicolò Fagioli is the key battle for control, and Inter's possession game usually wins that fight. Vanoli has said his team need a "perfect match" at San Siro, with sharper concentration inside their own box, and that tells you how big the task is. Fiorentina's best route is down the right and through crosses, because Inter can be got at down the wings. If the visitors can't turn shot volume into goals, Inter's attack does the rest.
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Predictions FAQs
When is the Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Italian Serie A game?
The game is on Sunday, October 25, 2026, with kickoff at 7:30 AM ET / 4:30 AM PT.
Where is Inter Milan vs Fiorentina being played?
The game is being played at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Who are the probable lineups for Inter Milan vs Fiorentina?
Inter are listed in a 3-5-2 with Provedel, Bastoni, Akanji, Bisseck, Augusto, Mkhitaryan, Çalhanoglu, Barella, Diouf, Thuram and Esposito. Fiorentina are listed in a 4-3-3 with De Gea, Jiménez, Pongracic, Dragusin, Dodô, Brescianini, Fagioli, Ndour, Njie, Pellegrino and Mastantuono.
Which players are injured or doubtful for Inter Milan vs Fiorentina?
Inter have Lautaro Martínez and Benjamin Pavard listed as injured, with John Stones and Curtis Jones doubtful. Fiorentina have Fabiano Parisi listed as injured, with Arthur Atta doubtful.
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