Sunderland vs Leeds Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Sunderland vs Leeds Game Preview

Our Sunderland vs Leeds prediction starts with a simple question: can struggling Sunderland stop the bleeding at the Stadium of Light, or do Leeds cash in on tired legs?

Sunderland are rock-bottom of the standings on four points, and their Europa League campaign is starting to look like a burden on a demanding Thursday-Sunday schedule.

Leeds are just three points off the Champions League places under Daniel Farke. Their only Premier League defeat came against champions Arsenal, though the wins have dried up since opening day.

Expect a cagey game. Sunderland have seen under 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 11 games against Leeds in all competitions, so a shootout looks unlikely.

Sunderland vs Leeds Recent Results

Sunderland's Premier League slump got worse with a loss at Bournemouth, and they have conceded at least 2 goals in each of their last 4 Premier League games. Europe has been kinder. Timur Tutierov scored early in a 1-1 tie at Lech Poznan in the Europa League on Thursday. The catch is the turnaround, with barely any rest before Leeds arrive.

Leeds tied 1-1 with Manchester United last time out, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin grabbing the equalizer. That fits the pattern: they have tied four of their first seven Premier League games, so they're hard to beat but not putting teams away. Calvert-Lewin is the man to watch up top, and Jayden Bogle gives them a second threat from the right.

Sunderland vs Leeds Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Sunderland: Dan Ballard (Injured/out), R. Mundle (Injured/out), Thomas Meunier (Injured/doubtful), Brian Brobbey (Injured/doubtful), Kevin Danso (Suspended)

Leeds: M. Joseph (Injured/out), Joe Rodon (Injured/doubtful), Dan James (Injured/doubtful)

Sunderland

Brian Brobbey missed the Europa League game with a hamstring problem but is hoping to return against Leeds, while Thomas Meunier is doubtful with a hamstring issue of his own. Kevin Danso is banned after his red card at Bournemouth, and fellow defender Dan Ballard is still weeks away from a return.

Leeds

Daniel Farke has found a settled side and should stick with it, which makes the Leeds half of the Sunderland vs Leeds lineups easy to call. Dan James and Joe Rodon are both closing in on returns from injury.

Sunderland vs Leeds Predicted Lineup

Sunderland

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: R. Roefs; T. Hume, N. Mukiele, O. Alderete, R. Mandava; N. Sadiki, G. Xhaka; N. Angulo, E. L. Fée, M. Fofana; W. Isidor (probable)

Leeds

Formation: 3-5-2 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: J. Trafford; J. Justin, N. Elvedi, T. Muharemovic; J. Bogle, E. Ampadu, A. Stach, A. Tanaka, G. Gudmundsson; D. Calvert-Lewin, N. Okafor (probable)

Sunderland vs Leeds Key Stats & Game Facts

• Sunderland have lost 4 of their last 4 games in the Premier League.
• Dominic Calvert-Lewin has recorded 1+ shots on target in 5 of his last 6 appearances (Premier League).
• Ethan Ampadu has been carded in 2 of his last 3 appearances (Premier League).
• Anton Stach has committed 3+ fouls in 3 of his last 5 appearances (Premier League).

Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Leeds get the nod. They are the favorites in the Sunderland vs Leeds betting odds at +175 (Polymarket), and the matchup suits them against a Sunderland side that has lost its last two home games without scoring and is back on the field on short rest after Europe. We're taking Leeds to edge a low-scoring game and keep Sunderland out at the other end, with Calvert-Lewin the player most capable of settling it.

Best Picks

Both Teams To Score: No. Sunderland v Leeds is projected as a low-scoring game, so one side could be kept out. This one comes from the Both Teams To Score market and leads our Sunderland vs Leeds best picks. The projected total sits at 2.41 goals, and there have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Sunderland's last 6 Premier League games. A Sunderland attack that keeps coming up empty at home does the rest.

Player Tackles: James Justin Over 2.5. Justin is a near-certain starter in Leeds' 3-5-2. This one comes from the Player Tackles market. Justin has been an ever-present in Leeds' recent lineups, and the price implies a lower probability than our projections give him, so it's a positive-value player prop. It also fits the low-scoring, narrow game we're expecting.

Sunderland vs Leeds Same Game Parlay

Our Sunderland vs Leeds same game parlay picks go all in on the visitors: a Calvert-Lewin shot on target, Leeds on the Moneyline, an Ampadu card and Stach fouls.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin Over 0.5 Player Shots On Target. He's found the target in 5 of his last 6 Premier League outings and leads the Leeds line.

Leeds on the Moneyline. Sunderland have lost 4 straight Premier League games, and they come into this one on tired legs after Europe.

Ethan Ampadu To Be Shown A Card. He's picked up a card in 2 of his past 3 Premier League appearances, and Sunderland's direct, wide approach should pull him into plenty of duels.

Anton Stach Over 2.5 Player Fouls. He's racked up 3 or more fouls in 3 of his previous 5 Premier League outings, and Leeds tend to give away fouls in dangerous areas.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Sunderland vs Leeds Talking Points

The schedule is the big story. Sunderland played in the Europa League on Thursday and have less than 72 hours to reset, and that Thursday-Sunday grind already seems to be catching up with them. Set pieces are the next battle. Leeds are strong on attacking set pieces and in the air, while Sunderland struggle to defend dead balls and are prone to individual errors. If the hosts can't fix that, their best hope is the long balls and crosses they lean on going forward, but finishing has been a weakness all season.

Sunderland vs Leeds Predictions FAQs

When is the Sunderland vs Leeds Premier League game?

The game kicks off on Sunday at 12:30 PM ET / 9:30 AM PT.

Where is Sunderland vs Leeds being played?

Sunderland vs Leeds is being played at the Stadium of Light.

Where can I watch Sunderland vs Leeds?

The game is listed on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports PL.

Who is in the probable Sunderland lineup for Sunderland vs Leeds?

Sunderland's probable formation is 4-2-3-1, with R. Roefs in goal and W. Isidor listed up front. Leeds are listed in a 3-5-2 with J. Trafford in goal.

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