Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Game Preview

Athletic Bilbao host Real Sociedad at San Mamés in the Basque Derby, a LaLiga matchup that pits a stubborn home defense against a visiting attack in full flow.

Under Edin Terzić, Athletic have a clear identity: organized, physical and very hard to break down.

Real Sociedad arrive fifth under Pellegrino Matarazzo, and the visitors bring the hotter attack into this one, with Mikel Oyarzabal and Gonçalo Guedes leading the charge.

The derby rarely turns into a shootout. Six of Athletic's last seven games against Real Sociedad in all competitions have produced under 2.5 goals.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Recent Results

Athletic are unbeaten in four league games and signed off with a 4-0 rout of Getafe at San Mamés, with Álex Berenguer and Iñaki Williams among the scorers. That was a rare outburst from a team whose finishing is usually the weak spot. The defense remains the foundation, and it is what makes them so tough to beat.

Real Sociedad have won four straight in LaLiga, most recently a 2-1 home win over Levante with Orri Óskarsson and Beñat Turrientes on target. This is a side built to attack, creating chances, finishing them and hitting teams on the counter. Gonçalo Guedes is the spark out wide, but the back line is far less convincing.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Athletic Bilbao: Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta (Injured/out), Gorka Guruzeta (Injured/out), Oihan Sancet (Injured/out), Unai Egiluz (Injured/out), Peio Canales (Doubtful)

Real Sociedad: Álvaro Odriozola (Injured/out), Arsen Zakharyan (Injured/out), Luken Beitia (Injured/doubtful)

Athletic Bilbao

The biggest hole in the Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad lineups is up front for the hosts. Gorka Guruzeta has ruptured his anterior cruciate ligament and is not expected back until May. Unai Egiluz (cruciate ligament) and Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta (hamstring) are also out, while Oihan Sancet is still working back from a soleus injury. Peio Canales is a doubt with an unspecified problem, but Aymeric Laporte is available again after serving his suspension and Álvaro Djaló is back in contention after illness.

Real Sociedad

Álvaro Odriozola remains out as he recovers from a cruciate ligament injury, and Arsen Zakharyan is ruled out with an ankle injury. Luken Beitia is a doubt with an ankle sprain. The good news for the visitors is that Jon Aramburu is fit to feature after his soleus injury, and Yangel Herrera is available.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Predicted Lineup

Athletic Bilbao

Formation: 4-4-2 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Unai Simón; Hugo Rincón, Dani Vivian, Aymeric Laporte, Yuri Berchiche; Álex Berenguer, Beñat Gerenabarrena, Peio Canales, Nico Williams; Iñaki Williams, Maroan Sannadi (probable)

Real Sociedad

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Álex Remiro; Jon Aramburu, Mamadou Sarr, Jon Martín, Sergio Gómez; Jon Gorrotxategi, Beñat Turrientes; Luka Sučić, Carlos Soler, Gonçalo Guedes; Mikel Oyarzabal (probable)

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Key Stats & Game Facts

• Real Sociedad have received 2+ cards in 7 of their last 8 games vs Athletic Club in LaLiga.
• Real Sociedad have scored 2+ goals in 4 of their last 4 games in LaLiga.
• Gonçalo Guedes has scored or assisted in 3 of his last 3 appearances in LaLiga.
• Yangel Herrera has committed 3+ fouls in 3 of his last 3 appearances vs Athletic Club in LaLiga.
• Robert Navarro has recorded 1+ shots on target in 5 of his last 6 appearances in LaLiga.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction is a 1-1 tie. The projections make Athletic narrow favorites with a 44.62% win probability, and their stubborn defense can keep the visitors from running away with it. But Real Sociedad's attack is too sharp to be shut out completely, and Athletic's finishing is not reliable enough to pull clear. Call it a messy derby that ends level.

Best Picks

Both Teams To Score: Yes in the Both Teams To Score market. The projections put both teams scoring at 66.97%. Real Sociedad carry real threat going forward, and Athletic have enough set-piece and free-kick punch to find a goal of their own, which fits our call of a tie.

Athletic Bilbao or Tie in the Double Chance market. The projections land Athletic or a tie at 66.92%. The hosts are strong at protecting a lead and defending set pieces, while Real Sociedad have struggled to hold onto leads, so backing the home side to avoid defeat is the better side of this one.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Same Game Parlay

Our Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad same game parlay picks lean into the derby's edge, with four card and foul legs built around a matchup that rarely stays calm.

Beñat Gerenabarrena to be shown a card. The Athletic midfielder has been carded in 3 of his last 3 LaLiga appearances, and a derby midfield battle is no place to cool off.

Jon Aramburu over 1.5 player fouls. The right back has cleared this line in 6 of his last 8, and he projects to face Nico Williams down Athletic's left.

Over 4.5 total cards. This line has landed in 3 of Athletic Club's last 3 games, and the visitors bring plenty of their own heat to this rivalry.

Over 2.5 total home team cards. Across Athletic Club's last four LaLiga meetings with Real Sociedad, the hosts have been shown 3+ cards three times.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Talking Points

Both benches bring a fresh storyline. Edin Terzić is in his first season at Athletic after succeeding long-serving head coach Ernesto Valverde, while Pellegrino Matarazzo earned a contract extension after Real Sociedad's Copa del Rey title win in April 2026. Tactically, watch Athletic's left side. Nico Williams and Yuri Berchiche give the hosts their most direct route, and defending attacks down the wings is a real weak spot for Real Sociedad. At the other end, Athletic have posted five clean sheets across their last seven LaLiga outings, so Mikel Oyarzabal and Gonçalo Guedes will need to be at their sharpest.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Predictions FAQs

When is the Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad game?

The game is on Sunday, November 1, 2026, with kickoff at 3:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM PT.

Where is Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad being played?

The game is being played at San Mamés in Bilbao.

What is the predicted score for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?

Our prediction is a 1-1 tie, with Athletic Bilbao on 1 goal and Real Sociedad on 1 goal.

Who is in the probable lineups for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?

Athletic Bilbao's probable 4-4-2 includes Unai Simón, Aymeric Laporte, Nico Williams and Iñaki Williams. Real Sociedad's probable 4-2-3-1 includes Álex Remiro, Mikel Oyarzabal, Luka Sučić and Gonçalo Guedes.

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