Monza vs Atalanta Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Monza vs Atalanta Game Preview

Monza host Atalanta at U-Power Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff set for 9:00 AM ET / 6:00 AM PT. Our Monza vs Atalanta prediction leans firmly toward the visitors.

Monza are back in Serie A after promotion, but life under Ivan Jurić has been rough. They sit 18th in the standings with seven points, right in the relegation zone.

Atalanta aren't exactly cruising either. They sit 13th with 11 points under Maurizio Sarri, and a long injury list has left this squad searching for answers.

Still, history is brutal here. Atalanta have won their last 9 games against Monza in all competitions, and the hosts badly need points to climb out of the bottom three.

Monza vs Atalanta Recent Results

Monza have been far too easy to score against, conceding at least 2 goals in each of their last 3 Serie A games. Jurić's group plays with width and aggression, but results haven't followed. The bright spot is Gustavo Varela, who has scored in every one of his last four Serie A outings and leads the line.

Atalanta's recent run is messy. They were hammered 3-0 at home by Parma in Serie A, then needed a late Nikola Krstović equalizer off the bench to scrape a 1-1 tie with Kairat Almaty in the UEFA Conference League. The defense keeps springing leaks, but Krstović remains the man to watch.

Monza vs Atalanta Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Monza: Matteo Pessina (Injured/out), Jan Ziólkowski (Injured/out), Michael Folorunsho (Doubtful), Yvan Maye (Doubtful)

Atalanta: Isak Hien (Injured/out), Odilon Kossounou (Injured/out), T. Pompei (Injured/out), Sead Kolašinac (Injured/out), Thomas Kristensen (Injured/out), Franck Kessié (Doubtful), Giacomo Raspadori (Doubtful), Raoul Bellanova (Doubtful)

Monza

The Monza vs Atalanta lineups start with Ivan Jurić's 3-4-2-1, with Noel Törnqvist in goal behind a back three anchored by Lorenzo Lucchesi. With Matteo Pessina out, the creative load falls on Jay Robinson and Dany Mota behind lone striker Gustavo Varela.

Atalanta

Maurizio Sarri sticks with an aggressive 4-2-3-1. With Isak Hien and Odilon Kossounou sidelined, Relja Obrić and Giorgio Scalvini are set to pair at center back, while Charles De Ketelaere pulls the strings behind Nikola Krstović.

Monza vs Atalanta Predicted Lineup

Monza

Formation: 3-4-2-1

Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: Noel Törnqvist; Lorenzo Lucchesi, Saba Goglichidze, Eddy Kouadio; Ricardo Mangas, Manga Foe Ondoa, Ebenezer Akinsanmiro, Samuele Birindelli; Jay Robinson, Dany Mota; Gustavo Varela

Atalanta

Formation: 4-2-3-1

Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: Marco Carnesecchi; Davide Zappacosta, Relja Obrić, Giorgio Scalvini, Lorenzo Bernasconi; Éderson, Mario Pašalić; Nicola Zalewski, Charles De Ketelaere, Jonathan Rowe; Nikola Krstović

Monza vs Atalanta Key Stats & Game Facts

• Atalanta have scored 2+ goals in 6 out of 6 games vs Monza (Serie A).
• There have been 11+ shots on target in 5 of Monza's last 7 games (Serie A).
• Nikola Krstović has attempted 4+ shots in 3 of his last 3 appearances vs Monza (Serie A).
• Charles De Ketelaere has scored or assisted in 3 of his last 4 appearances vs Monza (Serie A).
• Monza have received 3+ cards in 4 of their last 5 games vs Atalanta (Serie A).

Monza vs Atalanta Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our prediction is an Atalanta win, and not a quiet one. Sarri's side carry plenty of baggage into this matchup, but Monza's defense is the bigger problem, and our projections give the visitors a 54.3% win probability. Atalanta at +105 (Polymarket) on the moneyline is the price that matches that edge, even if Varela gives the home crowd a goal to cheer.

Best Picks

Over 3.5 in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Both sides have been leaking and scoring goals, and the model projects a high-scoring game. This is one of our Monza vs Atalanta best picks in the Total Goals Over/Under market, and our projections land on 3.83 total goals. Monza's back line keeps leaking, Atalanta's injury-hit defense isn't much sturdier, and both attacks have enough bite to turn this into a shootout.

Atalanta -1 in the Handicaps market. Atalanta need to win by two or more goals. This is a point spread play in the Handicaps market. Atalanta have scored at least 2 goals in each of their last 9 games against Monza in all competitions, and that kind of finishing can outrun whatever the hosts manage at the other end.

Monza vs Atalanta Same Game Parlay

Our Monza vs Atalanta same game parlay picks stack four legs: Gustavo Varela to score, Nikola Krstović to clear his shots and shots on target lines, and Atalanta to score twice.

Gustavo Varela in the Anytime Goalscorer market. He has hit the target in all four of his latest Serie A outings, and Atalanta's patched-up defense gives him room to work.

Nikola Krstović Over 3.5 in the Player Shots market. He has reached 4+ shots in four of five recent Serie A games, and he sits at the center of everything Atalanta build.

Nikola Krstović Over 0.5 in the Player Shots On Target market. He has tested the goalkeeper in each of his past five Serie A games, making this the sturdiest leg.

Atalanta Over 1.5 in the Total Away Goals market. Our projections have them at 2.29 goals, and with Monza conceding in bunches, asking the visitors for a pair is reasonable.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Same Game Parlay with Oddschecker's Exclusive Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Monza vs Atalanta Talking Points

The big talking point is Atalanta's headspace. After the Parma defeat, Maurizio Sarri ordered a multi-day training retreat at Zingonia to rebuild squad cohesion and mental resilience, and this is the first league test since. Tactically, watch the flanks. Monza love attacking down the wings, which is exactly where Atalanta defend worst, so Samuele Birindelli against Davide Zappacosta and Nicola Zalewski could decide how comfortable the visitors look.

Monza vs Atalanta Predictions FAQs

When is the Monza vs Atalanta Serie A game?

The game is set for 9:00 AM ET / 6:00 AM PT on Sunday, November 8, 2026.

Where is Monza vs Atalanta being played?

The game is being played at U-Power Stadium.

Which Monza players are injured or doubtful?

Matteo Pessina and Jan Ziólkowski are injured, while Michael Folorunsho and Yvan Maye are doubtful.

What formations are Monza and Atalanta expected to use?

Monza are expected to line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation, while Atalanta are expected to use a 4-2-3-1 formation.

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