Belgium vs Italy Lineups, Prediction, Betting Picks & Odds

Belgium vs Italy Game Preview

Sunday's Belgium vs Italy betting odds make the hosts a slim favorite at +135 (BetRivers), but Italy arrive at King Baudouin Stadium on top of the UEFA Nations League A standings.

Belgium came from behind to beat Türkiye 2-1 on Thursday with a quick-fire double. The hosts sit third and need a win to finish in the top two.

Italy shook off an early deficit to beat France 3-1 midweek, moving to the top of the standings. A tie on Sunday is all the visitors need to advance.

History leans Italy's way too. They have won their last 3 away games against Belgium in all competitions, so the hosts need to flip that script with the standings on the line.

Belgium vs Italy Recent Results

Belgium have three wins from five games in this campaign and still control their own fate. Kevin De Bruyne is the engine of this team, producing a goal or an assist 3 times across his last 4 UEFA Nations League A outings. The question is whether a defense that let Türkiye strike first can hold up against a sharper attack.

Italy are top for a reason, collecting 10 points from the last 12 available in the Nations League. They answered Michael Olise's early opener emphatically against France, and Francesco Pio Esposito is leading the line in form: over his previous 4 UEFA Nations League A games, he has scored or set one up 3 times.

Belgium vs Italy Lineups & Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Belgium: Amadou Onana (Injured/out), Loïs Openda (Injured/out), Romelu Lukaku (Injured/doubtful)

Italy: Mohamed Alì Zoma (Injured/out), Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Injured/out), Matteo Ruggeri (Injured/out), Giacomo Raspadori (Injured/out)

Belgium

Belgium are without Amadou Onana and Loïs Openda, while Romelu Lukaku remains doubtful after missing the Türkiye game with a hip injury. Roméo Lavia is available again after serving a one-game suspension, and head coach Mark van Bommel could recall wingers Dodi Lukébakio and Leandro Trossard, who both feature in our probable Belgium vs Italy lineups below.

Italy

Head coach Roberto Mancini may stick with an unchanged starting XI, but Italy travel with four key players missing. Giovanni Di Lorenzo's absence stands out, with Michael Kayode the probable option at right back, while Matteo Ruggeri, Giacomo Raspadori and Mohamed Alì Zoma are also sidelined.

Belgium vs Italy Predicted Lineup

Belgium

Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Senne Lammens; Maxim De Cuyper, Brandon Mechele, Nathan Ngoy, Timothy Castagne; Nicolas Raskin, Youri Tielemans; Leandro Trossard, Kevin De Bruyne, Dodi Lukébakio; Charles De Ketelaere

Italy

Formation: 4-3-3 (probable)

Predicted Starting Lineup: Gianluigi Donnarumma; Riccardo Calafiori, Alessandro Bastoni, Giorgio Scalvini, Michael Kayode; Sandro Tonali, Davide Frattesi, Nicolò Barella; Nicolò Cambiaghi, Francesco Pio Esposito, Sebastiano Esposito

Belgium vs Italy Key Stats & Game Facts

• Belgium have had 7+ corners in 3 of their last 3 games against Italy in UEFA Nations League A.
• There have been 29+ shots taken in 5 of Italy's last 5 games in UEFA Nations League A.
• Francesco Pio Esposito has scored in 3 of his last 4 appearances in UEFA Nations League A.
• There have been 10+ shots on target in 5 of Italy's last 5 games in UEFA Nations League A.
• Kevin De Bruyne has been carded in 2 of his last 3 appearances in UEFA Nations League A.

Belgium vs Italy Prediction & Best Picks

Our Prediction

Our Belgium vs Italy prediction is a 2-2 tie. Belgium have shown they can punch back when they fall behind, and Italy arrive top of the standings with momentum. With Giovanni Di Lorenzo and Matteo Ruggeri out of the visiting back line, Kevin De Bruyne has room to hurt Italy, but Francesco Pio Esposito gives the visitors enough to hit back. The market leans Belgium at +135 (BetRivers), yet this matchup looks too even to split.

Best Picks

Tie in the Moneyline market. Our Belgium vs Italy best picks start with the result that matches our projected scoreline. Belgium needed a comeback just to get past Türkiye, and Italy's injury-hit back line gives the hosts a way in, so neither side looks capable of shutting the door.

Over 3.5 Goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Our projected scoreline gets there, and the game state pushes it that way: Belgium need a win to finish in the top two, so they have to chase, and Italy have the forwards to punish the space that leaves.

Belgium vs Italy Same Game Parlay

Our Belgium vs Italy Same Game Parlay picks lean into the attacking talent, pairing two Kevin De Bruyne shooting props with Francesco Pio Esposito to score and Italy to rack up goals.

Kevin De Bruyne Over 2.5 in the Player Shots market is the anchor. He has fired off 3+ shots in every one of his previous 4 UEFA Nations League A games.

Francesco Pio Esposito in the Anytime Goalscorer market fits the script. The forward has hit the scoresheet 3 times across his latest 4 UEFA Nations League A outings.

Kevin De Bruyne Over 1.5 in the Player Shots On Target market backs up the volume. Over his most recent 4 UEFA Nations League A games, he has put 2+ shots on target 3 times.

Italy Over 2.5 in the Total Away Goals market is the stretch leg. Italy just put three past France, and a Belgium side forced to chase leaves space behind.

Shop this parlay across sportsbooks with the Same Game Parlay Comparison Tool from Oddschecker before you place it.

Same Game Parlay odds correct at time of publishing.

Belgium vs Italy Talking Points

Roberto Mancini knows exactly where his team stands. "We start with a slight advantage, but that doesn't mean we have to settle," the Italy head coach said ahead of the trip to Brussels. On the other bench, Mark van Bommel, appointed after Rudi Garcia's departure, needs a statement result in front of the home crowd. Discipline is the subplot. Italy have received 2+ cards in 4 of their last 4 games against Belgium in UEFA Nations League A, so expect a messy, stubborn fight in midfield.

Belgium vs Italy Predictions FAQs

When is the Belgium vs Italy UEFA Nations League game?

The game is on Sunday, November 15, 2026, with kickoff at 2:45 PM ET / 11:45 AM PT.

Where is Belgium vs Italy being played?

The game is being played at King Baudouin Stadium.

What are the predicted lineups for Belgium vs Italy?

Belgium are predicted to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation with Senne Lammens in goal and Kevin De Bruyne in the center of the attacking midfield. Italy are predicted to play a 4-3-3 with Gianluigi Donnarumma in goal, Sandro Tonali in midfield and Francesco Pio Esposito up front.

Which betting markets are available for Belgium vs Italy?

Belgium vs Italy odds are available in the Moneyline, Both Teams To Score and Total Goals Over/Under markets.

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