Sebastian Baez vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Winston-Salem Open Odds - Wednesday, August 26th
Sebastian Baez and Juan Manuel Cerundolo bring a familiar rivalry to a new surface when they meet in Wednesday's Winston-Salem Open Round of 16. The Argentines played repeatedly before becoming established ATP regulars, but this will be their first meeting on a hard court.
Peter Alexis - August 26, 2026, 2:00 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadSebastian Baez vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo Prediction: Will Baez Control Battle of Argentinians?
Baez and Cerundolo are scheduled for a 4:00 PM ET start on Court 2. Baez is the -154 favorite with Cerundolo at +126, and both advanced in straight sets Tuesday to set up an all-Argentine matchup.
Baez beat Hugo Grenier 7-5, 7-6 in his opener, breaking serve five times and saving 10 break points. It was not a flawless performance, but it extended what has quietly become an excellent hard-court season for a player historically associated much more closely with clay.
Sebastian Baez vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo Odds
- Moneyline: Baez (-154), Cerundolo (+126)
Sebastian Baez vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET
- Where to Watch: Tennis Channel
Click here for complete Sebastian Baez vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo Odds
Sebastian Baez vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo Prediction
Baez is now 16-7 on hard courts in 2026 after going only 3-9 on the surface last season. He also knows these Winston-Salem conditions better than most after winning the tournament in 2023, making this one of the rare North American hard-court events where he already has championship-level history.
Cerundolo advanced by beating Dhakshineswar Suresh 7-6, 6-3 and sits only one spot behind Baez in the rankings. The matchup is therefore much closer on paper than their reputations might suggest, particularly with Cerundolo also arriving in good enough form to threaten another deep run.
The history between them tilts heavily toward Baez. They have met four times at lower levels, all before this first hard-court matchup, with Baez leading the series 3-1. Their most recent meeting was particularly convincing, with Baez beating Cerundolo 6-1, 6-2 in a Buenos Aires Challenger semifinal in 2021.
That previous success makes the first-set angle especially appealing. Baez already knows the patterns that have bothered Cerundolo in their prior meetings, and his improved hard-court game gives him more ways to attack than he had when this rivalry was entirely centered around clay.
Sebastian Baez vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo Best Bet
- Best Bet: Sebastian Baez to Win First Set + Match (+100) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Taking Baez to win the first set and the match raises the price from -154 to +100 without requiring a radically different game script. If the former Winston-Salem champion is going to extend his 3-1 matchup advantage, an early lead is the most logical route.
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