Naomi Osaka vs. Elena Rybakina Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest US Open Odds for Monday, September 7th
Naomi Osaka faces Elena Rybakina in the US Open fourth round on Monday, September 7. Explore the latest odds and matchup analysis ahead of their rematch following last month’s dramatic encounter in Canada.
Peter Alexis - September 7, 2026, 12:00 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadNaomi Osaka vs. Elena Rybakina Prediction: Can Osaka Get Revenge on Monday Afternoon in US Open Round of 16?
Naomi Osaka and Elena Rybakina meet in the US Open fourth round on Monday at Flushing Meadows, with first serve listed for 2:30 p.m. ET. Rybakina enters as a -142 moneyline favorite, while Osaka returns +117 with a quarterfinal spot on the line.
Their Canadian Open quarterfinal last month gives this matchup added intrigue. Osaka took the opening set and pushed the second into a tiebreak before Rybakina escaped 4-6, 7-6(5), 6-4. Osaka was a second-set tiebreak away from finishing the job, demonstrating that she can match Rybakina’s power and put the favorite under sustained pressure.
Naomi Osaka vs. Elena Rybakina Odds
- Moneyline: Osaka (+115), Rybakina (-140)
Naomi Osaka vs. Elena Rybakina Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Monday, September 7th, 2026
- Time: 2:30 PM ET
- Where to Watch: ESPN
Click here for complete Naomi Osaka vs. Elena Rybakina Odds
Naomi Osaka vs. Elena Rybakina Prediction
Osaka arrives after another demanding battle, defeating Elise Mertens 6-3, 3-6, 7-5 in the third round. Winning a tight deciding set offers an encouraging contrast to the Canada result. Her tennis has not been flawless, but she found enough aggressive shotmaking at the finish to keep her tournament alive.
Rybakina advanced with a 7-6(6), 6-3 victory over Yuliia Starodubtseva. Her serve remains the biggest obstacle for Osaka, particularly when it allows the second seed to dictate immediately. However, that opening-set tiebreak also illustrates how a few return points can determine the direction of a match, making Osaka’s ability to attack second serves especially important.
The tactical opportunity is for Osaka to take the ball early and move Rybakina before the favorite establishes comfortable baseline positioning. Her own first serve can create shorter points and reduce the physical cost of extended exchanges. Canada already showed that this approach can produce a winning position, although closing it out requires sharper execution when the sets tighten.
Naomi Osaka vs. Elena Rybakina Best Bet
- Best Bet: Naomi Osaka ML (+117) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Rybakina’s cleaner third round and success in their previous meeting deserve respect. Still, Osaka’s power, experience as a two-time US Open champion and demonstrated competitiveness in this matchup make her an appealing underdog. The revenge angle is backed by how close she came last month, and +117 offers a worthwhile opportunity to support her finishing the job in New York.
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