World Cup - Golden Boot Betting Odds (Top Goalscorer)

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QuickBet
Kylian Mbappe

11/2

11/2

11/2

11/2

11/2

5

5

5

11/2

11/2

5

5

5

5

11/2

11/2

11/2

5

5

6

152/ 25

152/ 25

Harry Kane

7

6

7

6

13/2

5

13/2

5

6

7

8

6

6

5

6

7

7

13/2

6

7

353/ 50

353/ 50

Mikel Oyarzabal

12

12

13

12

12

14

14

12

12

12

12

12

14

14

12

14

14

14

14

14

123/ 10

66/5

Erling Haaland

14

14

14

14

12

10

14

10

14

14

14

14

14

10

14

14

14

14

14

15

167/ 10

157/ 10

Lionel Messi

12

12

12

12

12

10

16

12

12

12

12

16

14

10

12

12

12

16

14

18

22

24

Cristiano Ronaldo

20

20

20

20

20

10

16

20

20

20

20

20

20

10

20

20

20

16

20

20

20

20

Vinicius Jnr

20

20

Lamine Yamal

18

14

16

14

14

14

20

16

18

16

16

18

16

14

18

16

16

20

16

22

24

32

Julian Alvarez

25

20

25

25

28

25

25

20

25

25

22

20

28

25

25

25

25

25

28

25

25

26

Jose Vinicius Junior

28

22

25

25

22

22

25

25

25

22

25

25

22

25

25

25

30

34

38

Raphinha

28

25

28

28

25

28

25

20

28

28

25

28

28

28

28

28

28

25

28

30

32

28

Kai Havertz

33

28

33

25

28

20

25

25

28

25

28

28

28

20

28

33

25

25

28

25

27

30

Lautaro Martinez

28

28

25

25

25

22

33

33

25

25

25

28

25

22

25

25

25

33

25

35

53

63

Ousmane Dembele

20

20

20

25

20

28

33

25

20

20

20

25

20

28

20

20

20

33

20

35

38

48

Cody Gakpo

40

40

40

40

40

40

33

40

30

40

40

40

40

40

30

40

40

33

40

50

53

53

Luis Javier Suarez

33

40

40

50

40

33

30

33

40

50

30

40

33

40

50

87

117

Igor Thiago

33

33

40

40

40

50

40

33

33

33

40

40

40

50

33

40

33

40

40

50

40

48

Ferran Torres

40

50

40

50

40

50

40

50

40

40

40

40

40

50

40

40

40

40

40

50

58

107

Michael Olise

40

40

40

40

40

40

40

40

40

40

40

40

40

40

40

40

40

40

40

55

63

92

Memphis Depay

50

50

50

50

50

40

50

40

40

50

50

50

50

40

40

50

50

50

50

55

107

97

Luis Diaz

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

30

50

50

50

50

50

30

50

50

50

50

55

68

87

Darwin Nunez

66

66

66

66

66

40

50

66

30

66

66

66

66

40

30

66

66

50

66

97

146

Romelu Lukaku

33

28

33

33

28

66

40

33

28

33

33

33

33

66

28

33

33

40

33

55

58

58

Florian Wirtz

40

50

40

50

50

66

40

50

40

40

40

50

40

66

40

40

40

40

40

50

107

126

Hans Vanaken

66

Jamal Musiala

50

50

50

50

50

66

66

50

30

50

50

66

66

66

30

50

50

66

66

107

126

Mohamed Salah

50

50

50

50

50

50

66

50

40

50

50

66

66

50

40

50

50

66

66

66

215

215

Serge Gnabry

50

66

66

538

744

Maximilian Beier

80

Jude Bellingham

40

40

40

50

40

80

50

66

30

40

40

50

50

80

30

40

50

50

50

205

342

Enner Valencia

80

66

80

66

40

66

80

30

80

50

50

40

30

80

80

66

50

97

136

Bukayo Saka

33

33

28

40

33

80

50

50

33

33

28

40

40

80

33

28

33

50

40

70

195

234

Bruno Fernandes

40

50

40

50

50

80

66

66

50

40

40

50

50

80

50

40

50

66

50

80

107

136

Lois Openda

66

66

66

80

80

66

80

391

744

Charles De Ketelaere

66

80

66

50

66

66

50

50

66

Viktor Gyokeres

50

50

50

66

80

50

80

40

50

50

80

80

80

40

50

50

50

80

87

156

Desire Doue

50

50

50

66

50

80

66

66

50

50

50

50

50

80

50

50

50

66

50

215

224

Nico Williams

50

50

50

50

50

80

66

80

30

50

50

50

50

80

30

50

50

66

50

215

420

Santos Matheus Cunha

66

66

66

66

66

66

66

40

66

66

80

80

66

40

66

66

80

73

68

Nick Woltemade

33

33

33

33

25

80

40

40

50

33

33

50

50

80

50

33

33

40

50

45

107

205

Matias Goncalo Ramos

50

50

50

50

50

80

50

66

66

50

50

50

50

80

66

50

50

50

50

195

273

Gabriel Martinelli

100

100

100

100

100

100

80

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

587

822

Folarin Balogun

100

100

100

80

100

50

100

100

100

50

100

100

100

205

264

Lennart Karl

100

100

Kevin De Bruyne

50

66

50

100

66

50

66

100

50

66

50

100

100

50

50

50

50

66

100

234

342

Cole Palmer

100

100

244

499

Raul Jimenez

100

100

100

80

100

40

100

100

40

100

45

100

100

40

40

100

100

100

100

97

136

Takefusa Kubo

100

100

587

744

Iqraam Rayners

100

100

587

763

Antonio Sanabria

100

100

100

587

744

Christian Pulisic

80

66

80

66

66

50

100

66

40

66

80

66

66

50

40

80

80

100

66

205

313

Leroy Sane

66

66

66

66

66

100

80

66

66

66

66

100

66

66

66

322

891

Kingsley Coman

100

100

401

499

Deniz Undav

80

80

80

100

80

80

80

66

66

100

80

80

66

80

Morgan Rogers

50

50

50

50

50

100

66

66

50

50

50

50

100

50

66

50

322

469

Alexander Isak

66

50

66

66

50

100

50

100

40

66

66

50

50

100

40

66

66

50

50

195

244

David Promise

100

100

100

Donyell Malen

50

66

50

66

66

80

100

100

50

50

50

66

66

80

50

50

50

100

66

97

136

Jonathan David

100

50

100

66

66

40

66

100

40

100

66

80

80

40

40

100

100

66

80

77

107

Noah Okafor

100

Marcus Rashford

50

50

50

50

50

100

66

80

66

50

50

66

66

100

66

50

50

66

66

195

175

Jhon Duran

100

100

100

100

100

100

587

597

Joao Neves

125

Oumar Diakite

125

Rayan Cherki

66

125

66

125

Isco

125

Breel Embolo

125

66

125

66

100

33

66

80

100

100

100

100

33

125

100

66

100

100

77

107

da Silva Luiz Henrique

125

Jeremy Doku

66

66

66

66

66

125

66

80

30

66

66

66

66

125

30

66

66

66

66

117

126

Dani Olmo

50

50

50

50

50

125

50

66

30

50

50

50

50

125

30

50

50

50

50

66

205

401

Ayase Ueda

80

80

125

80

100

125

100

80

60

80

100

125

125

125

60

125

100

100

125

126

126

Alexander Sorloth

80

80

80

80

80

125

100

100

50

80

80

80

80

125

50

80

100

80

205

371

Lee Kang Hee

150

Habid Diallo

150

Jean Philippe Mateta

150

Ollie Watkins

33

33

33

33

150

100

33

33

100

100

150

33

100

Trezeguet

150

Mostafa Mohamed

150

Mao Hosoya

150

Nicolas Gonzalez

150

Mostafa Fathi

150

Mohamed Elneny

150

Oh Hyeon-gyu

150

Jean Philippe Krasso

150

Brian Rodriguez

150

150

150

150

150

150

150

150

616

616

Ayoub El Kaabi

150

150

150

150

40

100

80

90

40

150

185

283

Felix Torres

150

Gho Gue sung

150

Forlain Balogun

150

Sequeira Joao Felix

100

100

150

125

100

150

100

Angel Romero

150

Johan Carbonero

150

Akram Afif

150

150

150

150

Ignacio Laquintana

150

Kevin Rodriguez

150

Brandon Thoms-Asante

150

Kyogo Furuhashi

150

Giuliano Simeone

150

Koki Ogawa

150

Heung-min Son

125

125

125

125

100

150

150

125

150

150

100

125

150

150

150

150

146

195

Antoine Semenyo

100

80

100

100

100

150

100

100

100

100

150

100

100

401

724

Nicolas Jackson

100

100

100

100

100

150

100

125

50

100

100

100

100

150

50

100

100

100

100

322

391

Hirving Lozano

150

150

150

150

150

150

646

499

Youssef En Nesyri

150

150

150

150

150

150

587

881

Kenen Yildiz

150

150

Facundo Torres

150

Bradley Barcola

80

80

80

80

80

150

100

100

60

80

80

80

80

150

60

80

80

100

80

391

773

Estevao Almeida De Oliveira

150

150

Elye Wahi

150

150

150

150

Mohammed Kudus

125

150

636

499

Crysencio Summerville

150

150

150

Mikel Merino

66

40

33

50

40

150

50

50

33

33

33

50

33

150

33

33

33

50

33

50

215

313

Jean-Philippe Mateta

66

50

50

50

50

150

66

50

50

50

50

150

66

50

66

50

82

744

Leandro Trossard

66

66

66

66

66

150

100

100

50

66

66

50

50

150

50

66

100

50

273

332

Neymar

40

40

40

40

33

150

40

50

66

40

40

50

50

150

66

40

40

40

50

66

146

450

Brahim Diaz

150

100

150

100

175

100

100

50

80

150

100

100

175

50

150

150

100

100

185

381

Julian Quinones

100

100

100

175

100

100

100

175

100

100

Sadio Mane

80

80

80

80

80

175

125

150

80

80

80

100

100

175

80

80

80

125

100

244

234

Eberechi Eze

66

80

66

80

80

175

100

66

66

66

66

66

175

66

66

66

430

822

Hazem Mastouri

200

Fabian Ruiz

150

150

200

125

150

200

150

Son Heung min

200

50

Robin Gosens

200

Sebastien Haller

200

626

744

Hwang Hee chan

200

Roberto Alvarado

200

Zakaria Aboukhlal

200

Rodrigo Aguirre

200

Thelo Aasgaard

200

Simon Adringra

200

Shuto Machino

200

Seifeddine Jaziri

200

Kerem Akturkoglu

150

150

100

200

150

100

150

Tim Kleindienst

200

Hakan Calhanoglu

200

200

200

200

200

Federico Vinas

200

200

150

200

200

Dan Ndoye

150

150

200

150

150

200

150

Anthony Gordon

80

80

80

100

80

200

66

100

80

80

80

80

200

80

80

66

80

322

381

Haji Wright

100

100

100

100

100

200

100

125

100

100

100

100

200

100

100

100

100

587

793

Giovanni Reyna

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

587

744

Facundo Pellistri

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

489

793

Daizen Maeda

150

150

150

150

200

150

150

150

200

150

200

200

440

705

Endrick

80

80

80

200

80

200

80

107

166

Assan Ouedraogo

200

Alessandro Schopf

200

Gabriel Avalos

200

636

744

George Hirst

200

Bernardo Silva

200

100

200

Issahaku Fatawu

200

Elias Saad

200

Andreas Gomez

200

Cedric Itten

200

Alexis Vega

200

Baghdad Bounedjah

200

587

744

James Rodriguez

100

125

100

125

200

100

150

40

100

100

150

150

200

40

100

100

100

150

352

695

Andrej Kramaric

150

150

150

150

200

150

100

60

150

150

150

150

200

60

150

150

150

150

430

822

Rafael Leao

80

100

80

100

80

100

200

30

80

80

100

100

30

80

100

100

293

371

Marcus Thuram

150

50

150

66

50

200

50

66

50

150

50

50

200

50

150

50

50

50

450

656

Arda Guler

125

125

125

125

200

150

150

40

150

125

150

150

200

40

125

150

150

150

244

322

Omar Marmoush

100

100

100

100

100

200

125

125

60

100

100

100

100

200

60

100

125

125

100

450

763

Nikola Vlasic

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

200

489

744

Kenan Yildiz

125

125

125

125

200

150

125

125

125

200

125

125

97

656

Takumi Minamino

200

200

597

744

Randal Muani

100

200

100

100

100

100

587

646

Pedri

100

100

100

100

100

200

100

100

100

100

200

100

100

195

812

Federico Valverde

200

200

200

200

150

200

200

200

200

200

150

200

322

744

Patrik Schick

100

100

100

125

100

80

200

125

200

100

195

224

Jordy Caicedo

200

200

200

200

Haris Tabakovic

200

200

200

Marko Arnautovic

150

150

150

50

200

80

150

150

100

100

50

150

200

100

205

313

Nicolas Paz

50

50

200

50

50

100

100

200

100

Cucho Hernandez

200

200

200

Ismael Saibari

100

100

200

100

70

200

100

150

Rayan Vitor

100

100

200

100

200

Pedro neto

66

66

66

80

66

200

125

66

66

66

66

66

200

66

66

66

322

940

Jayden Nelson

250

Igor Matanovic

250

John Mercado

250

Josh Sargent

250

Santiago Gimenez

100

100

250

150

100

250

100

175

812

Luis Sinisterra

250

489

744

Wout Weghorst

250

150

150

250

150

Zeki Amdouni

250

607

773

Sardar Azmoun

250

646

744

Naim Sliti

250

Mitchell Duke

250

Nabil Bentaleb

250

Yassine Benzia

250

Ali Al Hamadi

250

Fiston Mayele

250

Mislav Orsic

250

Noni Madueke

250

125

250

Marco Pasalic

250

Tomas Chory

250

Mohanad Ali

250

Mojmir Chytil

250

Aymen Hussein

250

Youcef Belali

250

Franjo Ivanovic

250

Firas Al Buraikan

250

646

Jhon Cordoba

250

150

250

Armando Gonzalez

250

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

587

891

Alphonso Davies

200

150

150

150

250

150

150

200

200

150

200

469

499

Antonio Nusa

250

150

250

150

200

150

250

150

150

250

150

607

852

Enzo Fernandez

150

150

150

150

250

150

150

150

150

250

150

150

352

714

Mohammed Muntari

250

Marcel Sabitzer

250

250

200

250

Lucas Cavallini

250

Joshua Zirkzee

250

Ahmed Alaaeldin

250

Abdullah Al Hamdan

250

Ernest Nuamah

250

Duckens Nazon

250

Bruno Petkovic

250

597

744

Ahmed Al Rawi

250

Derrick Etienne

250

Adam Taggart

250

Ante Budimir

150

250

150

Amas Diallo

250

150

250

Frantzdy Pierrot

250

Don Deedson Louicius

250

Firas Chaouat

250

Craig Goodwin

250

Kusini Yengi

250

646

744

Scott McTominay

150

150

150

150

175

250

100

40

150

150

200

200

175

40

150

250

200

469

665

Kerim Alajbegovic

250

250

250

250

Xavi Simons

150

250

150

Dodi Lukebakio

150

150

150

250

150

150

150

250

150

Mehdi Taremi

150

150

150

200

125

250

250

150

150

150

150

125

150

250

150

264

548

Jorgen Larsen

150

125

150

150

150

250

150

150

150

150

150

150

587

744

Saleh Al Shehri

250

200

250

250

250

250

250

250

509

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Salem Al Dawsari

250

250

250

250

250

250

250

489

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Promise David

100

100

150

100

250

100

100

Orbelin Pineda

150

150

150

150

250

150

150

250

150

597

538

Ricardo Pepi

100

100

100

100

100

150

250

100

100

125

125

100

150

125

322

812

Edin Dzeko

80

80

80

250

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100

80

80

250

80

150

Noa Lang

100

100

100

100

100

250

150

100

100

150

150

250

100

100

150

587

499

Riyad Mahrez

150

150

150

150

200

250

150

50

150

150

200

200

200

50

150

250

200

391

420

Ivan Perisic

300

150

200

300

150

Ruben Vargas

300

150

300

Nicolas Pepe

300

150

150

300

150

Mohamed Toure

300

300

300

250

300

300

300

342

695

Anthony Elanga

300

150

300

Cyle Larin

150

150

150

150

300

200

200

150

150

200

200

300

150

200

200

322

499

Benjamin Nygren

200

200

300

250

200

300

200

979

705

Gonzalo Plata

300

300

200

300

300

Denzel Dumfries

250

150

150

300

150

150

300

150

Kang-In Lee

150

150

150

150

300

150

150

150

300

150

150

489

812

Jhon Arias

200

125

150

150

300

150

300

150

646

744

Ismaila Sarr

200

200

200

200

300

200

125

200

200

200

200

300

200

200

200

587

881

Oscar Bobb

150

150

150

150

300

150

150

150

150

300

150

150

587

499

Ange Bonny

300

300

300

300

Amad Diallo

300

300

300

300

Giorgian De Arrascaeta

300

300

300

300

Daichi Kamada

350

250

350

250

150

350

350

250

250

350

250

646

744

Michael Gregoritsch

350

150

80

150

489

744

Julio Enciso

350

250

350

250

250

350

350

250

250

350

250

499

744

Virgil van Dijk

350

350

350

Jordan Ayew

400

150

400

401

744

Soufiane Rahimi

400

200

400

Lawrence Shankland

200

200

400

125

200

400

200

300

Joshua Kimmich

125

125

400

125

400

Ivan Toney

100

100

100

100

400

100

400

100

332

Brian Brobbey

400

100

150

200

400

100

Martin Odegaard

200

200

200

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400

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200

200

200

200

400

200

150

200

587

793

Yan Diomande

400

400

400

400

Yoane Wissa

400

200

150

400

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Jearel Margaritha

500

Igor Sergeev

500

Garry Rodrigues

500

Tijjani Reijnders

500

150

250

500

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Musa Al Taamari

500

636

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Yazan Al Naimat

500

Cedric Bakambu

500

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607

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Mohammed Amoura

500

500

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250

500

150

Ermedin Demirovic

500

250

500

Jose Fajardo

500

Cecilio Waterman

500

Chris Wood

200

200

200

250

200

500

200

200

200

200

283

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150

150

150

200

500

250

150

150

200

200

500

150

200

587

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Hee-Chan Hwang

200

200

200

200

500

200

200

200

200

500

200

200

587

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Eldor Shomurodov

500

500

500

500

500

500

500

300

500

500

587

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Che Adams

250

250

250

250

500

150

250

250

500

250

587

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Justin Kluivert

500

250

500

Eduardo Guerrero

500

Amine Gouiri

500

250

500

Ali Alipour

500

Kenji Gorre

500

Alireza Jahanbakhsh

500

Nestory Irankunda

500

500

500

500

250

500

300

500

587

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Martin Boyle

500

500

250

500

616

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Hugo Ekitike

500

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146

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500

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250

100

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100

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587

763

Luka Modric

200

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250

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100

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411

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Tete Yengi

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Nilson Angulo

500

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500

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Nico OReilly

200

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500

200

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Moises Caicedo

750

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150

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750

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Declan Rice

250

250

250

250

750

250

250

250

250

750

250

250

430

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Achraf Hakimi

500

500

500

250

750

500

750

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Lyndon Dykes

350

250

350

300

750

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350

350

750

350

587

744

de Jesus Joao Pedro

33

750

750

322

754

Ryan Mendes

1000

500

1000

Evann Guessand

500

500

1000

300

1000

500

Brenden Aaronson

500

500

500

500

1000

200

500

500

1000

500

587

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Ben Waine

1000

1000

1000

750

1000

636

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Elliot Anderson

1000

1000

Wilson Isidor

1000

1000

750

1000

Tahith Chong

1000

1000

1000

John McGinn

500

500

500

500

1000

250

250

500

300

1000

500

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587

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Ryan Christie

350

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350

300

1000

200

350

350

1000

350

587

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Jordy Alcivar

1000

1000

Alvaro Morata

391

1

Giacomo Raspadori

499

499

Estevao Willian Goncalves

430

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Phil Foden

244

499

Robert Lewandowski

293

499

Kaoru Mitoma

254

499

Mateo Retegui

518

499

Francesco Esposito

587

499

Rasmus Hojlund

146

656

Niclas Fullkrug

244

744

Promise Akinpelu

489

744

de Goes Rodrygo

528

891

Richarlison

401

891

World Cup Golden Boot Odds 2026

Favourites to Win the Golden Boot

The race for the World Cup Golden Boot is always an interesting market, and with the world's best attackers on show throughout the tournament, it can be tricky to pick a winner. While there will be some obvious candidates at the top of the market, Golden Boot betting is rarely straightforward.

The award often rewards not just elite finishing ability, but also tournament context, favourable group draws, penalty duties, team progression, and even just luck. Some of the biggest names in world football enter every World Cup as favourites, yet history shows that breakout stars, clinical poachers, and players from teams with soft early fixtures frequently outperform expectations. With that in mind, the following sections break down the leading favourites, the best value picks, and the longshots who could surprise the market.

Kylian Mbappé Golden Boot Odds

  • Current odds: See grid above
  • International goals record: 56
  • Role on penalties/free kicks: First-choice penalty taker
  • Group-stage schedule: Senegal, Iraq, Norway
  • Expected minutes: Near‑guaranteed 90 minutes in all competitive matches unless France secures early qualification.

 

Harry Kane Golden Boot Odds

  • Current odds: See grid above
  • International goals record: 112
  • Role on penalties/free kicks: First-choice penalty taker, sometimes takes free kicks
  • Group-stage schedule: Croatia, Ghana, Panama
  • Expected minutes: Plays every minute when fit

 

Lionel Messi Golden Boot Odds

  • Current odds: See grid above
  • International goals record: 198
  • Role on penalties/free kicks: First-choice penalty and free kick taker
  • Group-stage schedule: Algeria, Austria, Jordan
  • Expected minutes: Usually plays every minute

 

Erling Haaland Golden Boot Odds

  • Current odds: See grid above
  • International goals record: 49
  • Role on penalties/free kicks: First-choice penalty taker
  • Group-stage schedule: France, Iraq, Senegal
  • Expected minutes: Plays every possible minute

 

Vinícius Júnior Golden Boot Odds

  • Current odds: See grid above
  • International goals record: 47
  • Role on penalties/free kicks: Rarely takes penalties for Brazil
  • Group-stage schedule: Morocco, Scotland, Haiti
  • Expected minutes: Starts every match but may be rotated late in group games

 

Lamine Yamal Golden Boot Odds

  • Current odds: See grid above
  • International goals record: 25
  • Role on penalties/free kicks: Occasional penalty taker, main free kick taker
  • Group-stage schedule: Cape Verde, Uruguay, Saudi Arabia
  • Expected minutes: Usually completes 90 minutes every game

 

Julián Álvarez Golden Boot Odds

  • Current odds: See grid above
  • International goals record: 51
  • Role on penalties/free kicks: Occasional penalty and free kick taker
  • Group-stage schedule: Algeria, Austria, Jordan
  • Expected minutes: Increasingly trusted as a starter; minutes depend on tactical setup

 

Best Value Bets

The expanded 48‑team format at the 2026 World Cup creates a unique betting landscape. More group‑stage matches, more uneven fixtures, and more opportunities for high‑scoring games mean value can be found well beyond the obvious favourites. With the tournament hosted across the USA, Canada, and Mexico, travel demands, climate differences, and group‑stage imbalance all play a role in identifying smart Golden Boot outsiders.

Longshots

The 2026 World Cup will feature several nations making their debut or returning after long absences. This naturally creates opportunities for strikers from mid‑tier nations to rack up goals early. Players who aren't necessarily star players, or those attackers who play for mid-tier sides, may be ones to look at. Longshot candidates could include:

  • Mo Salah – Egypt
  • Darwin Núñez – Uruguay
  • Alexander Sørloth – Norway
  • Jhon Durán – Colombia
  • Haji Wright – USA

 

Emerging Stars

The 2026 tournament will be the first major stage for a new generation of attackers entering their prime. Many will arrive with elite club form but without the global reputation that shortens odds. Value here may come from:

 

Easier Tournament Path

The expanded group stage means some top‑20 nations will land in groups with two or even three significantly weaker opponents. This is where Golden Boot winners often build their lead, and a softer path can turn a mid‑priced striker into a genuine contender. The following contenders play for top teams in relatively weaker groups:

 

Penalty Takers

Penalties remain one of the biggest factors in determining the Golden Boot winner. In 2022, penalties accounted for a significant portion of top scorers’ totals, and VAR makes spot‑kicks even more common. Top penalty takers include:

 

How Golden Boot Betting Works

Betting on the World Cup Golden Boot is different from wagering on match outcomes or outright tournament winners. Because the market is driven by individual performance, specific rules determine how bets are settled, which goals count, and how ties are handled. Understanding these mechanics is essential before placing a wager.

Settlement Rules

Golden Boot bets are settled according to FIFA’s official statistics at the end of the tournament. This means:

  • Only goals recorded in FIFA’s match reports count.
  • Goals scored in the group stage, knockout rounds, and extra time are all included.
  • Own goals do not count toward any player’s tally.
  • Assists and minutes played matter only if tie‑breakers are needed.

 

Bookmakers settle bets once FIFA confirms the final standings, usually within hours of the final whistle.

Tie‑Breakers

FIFA uses a strict hierarchy to determine the Golden Boot winner if players finish level on goals:

  1. Most assists
  2. Fewest minutes played
  3. If still tied, the award is shared

 

This means a player who scores the same number of goals but contributes more assists, or scores their goals in fewer minutes, will be ranked higher. For betting purposes, however, bookmakers often treat ties differently (see dead‑heat rules below).

Extra‑Time Goals

Goals scored in extra time DO count toward the Golden Boot. This includes:

  • Goals in the first or second period of extra time
  • Penalties awarded during extra time
  • Any goals scored before a match goes to a shootout

 

Because knockout matches can be tight, extra time can be a decisive factor for Golden Boot contenders.

Penalty Shootout Exclusions

Goals scored during a penalty shootout do not count toward the Golden Boot.

This is one of the most common misconceptions among bettors. Only penalties taken during normal time or extra time are included. Shootout goals are treated separately and have no impact on Golden Boot standings.

Dead‑Heat Rules

Bookmakers apply dead‑heat rules when two or more players tie for the most goals for betting purposes, even if FIFA awards the Golden Boot to a single player via tie‑breakers. Here’s how it works:

  • Your stake is divided by the number of tied players.
  • The reduced stake is then settled at full odds.

 

Example: If three players tie and you backed one of them, only one‑third of your stake is settled as a winning bet.

This can significantly affect payouts, so it’s important to understand before backing a favourite in a crowded market.

FAQs

What is the World Cup Golden Boot?

It’s the award given to the tournament’s top goalscorer.

Who is the favourite to win the World Cup Golden Boot?

Before the tournament starts, France's Kylian Mbappe and England's Harry Kane are the two favourites.

Do penalty shootout goals count toward the Golden Boot?

No, only penalties scored during normal or extra time count.

Can multiple players win the Golden Boot?

Yes, but FIFA uses assists and minutes played as tie‑breakers to determine a single winner.

How often do favourites win the Golden Boot?

Favourites win occasionally, but many winners come from mid‑priced or outsider categories.

Which country produces the most Golden Boot winners?

Brazil and Germany have historically produced multiple Golden Boot winners.

What are dead-heat rules in Golden Boot betting?

If players tie on goals for betting purposes, payouts are split proportionally.

When do World Cup Golden Boot odds update?

Odds update continuously—before the tournament, after squad announcements, and after every match.

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