Horse Racing Tips & Predictions: Liam Firkin Thursday Selections
Chepstow Friday 15:12 Betting Odds- Winner
DragonBet 'Welsh Champion' Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (GBB Race)
- Starters:17
- Distance:2m 0f 16y
- Class: 2
- Age:5YO plus
- Prize:£26015
- Going:Good to soft-good in places
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| 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 4 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/4 |
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| 16 |  Dylan Johnston/2165- | 4 | 7/2 | 10/3 | 7/2 | 9/2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16/5 | 4 | SP | 7/2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7/2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9/2 | 9/2 | SP | 142/ 25 | 529/ 100 | |
| 6 |  Sean Houlihan21F12- | 9/2 | 9/2 | 7/2 | 4 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 4 | 10/3 | 7/2 | 7/2 | SP | 10/3 | 4 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 4 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | SP | 24/5 | 401/ 100 | |
| 4 |  Harry Skelton211P1- | 5 | 5 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 4 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 4 | 9/2 | SP | 4 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 4 | 4 | SP | 49/10 | 47/10 | |
| 7 |  Stan Sheppard0577-9 | 13/2 | 15/2 | 6 | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | SP | 13/2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 13/2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | SP | 29/4 | 343/ 50 | |
| 15 |  Jonjo O'Neill Jr.312-11 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | SP | 7 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | SP | 861/ 100 | 861/ 100 | |
| 1 |  Philip Byrnes55D-28 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | SP | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | SP | 167/ 10 | 181/ 10 | |
| 5 |  Liam Harrison4P123- | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | SP | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | SP | 23 | 22 | |
| 10 |  Paul O'Brien51-113 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 18 | SP | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | SP | 147/ 10 | 76/5 | |
| 11 |  J J Burke2205-0 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | SP | 18 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | SP | 20 | 167/ 10 | |
| 14 |  Kielan Woods144412 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 20 | SP | 18 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | SP | 171/ 10 | 76/5 | |
| 12 |  C J Todd31739- | 22 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | SP | 18 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | SP | 42 | 68 | |
| 3 |  Harry Atkins/202-5 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 22 | SP | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 20 | SP | 26 | 26 | |
| 17 |  Brendan Powell331P6- | 28 | 28 | 25 | 22 | 20 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | SP | 22 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 20 | 20 | SP | 23 | 21 | |
| 9 |  Sean Flanagan7F6-1P | 28 | 33 | 28 | 25 | 22 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | SP | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | SP | 38 | 44 | |
| 2 |  Jack Andrews43896- | 25 | 33 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | SP | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | SP | 34 | 53 | |
| 13 |  S Bowen31516- | 40 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 35 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 40 | SP | 33 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 35 | SP | 34 | 38 | |
| 8 |  Harry Cobden-433P5 | 66 | 80 | 66 | 50 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | SP | 50 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | SP | 24 | 40 | |
Chepstow Friday 15:12 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 Laafig (FR) 71
Form: 55D-28
Age: 6
Weight:
11 - 12 p
Colour: b
Dam: Mediteranea
Sire: Cloth Of Stars
Dam's Sire: Smart Strike
Trainer: W Durkan
Jockey: Philip Byrnes
A winner of a hurdle race at 2m on yielding - soft ground. Beaten 11l behind Putapoundinthejar at 11-1 when eighth of 20 on his latest outing in a Grade 3 hurdle race in the Group 3 Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap at Galway over 2m (good) in July.
11/1
2 Kateiram (GB) 212
Form: 43896-
Age: 9
Weight:
11 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Raitera
Sire: Kayf Tara
Dam's Sire: Astarabad
Trainer: D Skelton
Jockey: Jack Andrews
Winner of six hurdle races and a NH flat race from 2m to 2m 5f on ground varying from good to soft. Finished 12l behind Jingko Blue when sixth of 24 at 15-2 on her latest outing in a hurdle race at Cheltenham over 2m 5f (good to soft) in March.
33/1
3 Knickerbockergloryg (IRE) 149
Form: /202-5
Age: 10
Weight:
11 - 6
Colour: b
Dam: The Brass Lady
Sire: Fame And Glory
Dam's Sire: Supreme Leader
Trainer: D Skelton
Jockey: Harry Atkins (5)
Winner of five hurdle races, a NH flat race and a chase from 1m 6f to 2m on ground varying from good to soft to heavy. Well beaten at 8-1 when fifth of 8 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Compiegne over 2m 3f (heavy) in May.
28/1
4 Le Beau Madrikg (FR) 177
Form: 211P1-
Age: 5
Weight:
11 - 5
Colour: gr
Dam: Boma Has
Sire: Beaumec De Houelle
Dam's Sire: Ballingarry
Trainer: D Skelton
Jockey: Harry Skelton
He has won three hurdle races from 2m 1f to 2m 5f on ground varying from good to soft. Won on his latest outing in a hurdle race when 7-4fav at Haydock over 2m 5f (good) in April, beating Matty's Getaway by 15l.
5/1
5 Serious Challengeg (IRE) 187
Form: 4P123-
Age: 6
Weight:
11 - 4
Colour: ch
Dam: Dushlan
Sire: Fracas
Dam's Sire: New Approach
Trainer: F O'Brien
Jockey: Liam Harrison
He has won four hurdle races from 2m to 2m 4f on ground varying from good to heavy. Third of 14 behind Indemnity beaten 6l at 7-1 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Plumpton over 2m (good) in April.
14/1
6 Captain Hugog (IRE) 174
Form: 21F12-
Age: 6
Weight:
11 - 3
Colour: ch
Dam: Vic Chic
Sire: Soldier Of Fortune
Dam's Sire: Old Vic
Trainer: P Hobbs & J White
Jockey: Sean Houlihan
He has won three hurdle races and a NH flat race at 2m on good and good to soft ground. Beaten 5l by Dedicated Hero when second of 8 at 7-2 on his latest outing in a Grade 2 hurdle race in the Group 2 Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle at Ayr over 2m (heavy) in April.
9/2
7 Gibbs Islandg (GB) 153
Form: 0577-9
Age: 5
Weight:
11 - 0 h
Colour: ch
Dam: Dream Book
Sire: Iffraaj
Dam's Sire: Sea The Stars
Trainer: T Lacey
Jockey: Stan Sheppard
He has won three hurdle races from 2m to 2m 1f on ground varying from good to soft. Beaten 13l behind Moon Chime at 7-1 when 9th of 16 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Haydock over 2m (good) in May.
15/2
8 Sony Billg (FR) 34
Form: -433P5
Age: 5
Weight:
11 - 0 t
Colour: b
Dam: Eau Tenebreuse
Sire: Battle Of Marengo
Dam's Sire: Lando
Trainer: Faye Bramley
Jockey: Harry Cobden
Successful in two hurdle races at 1m 7f and 2m on heavy ground, but last win was over two years ago. Well beaten at 8-1 behind Breaking Cover when last of 5 on his latest outing in a chase at Stratford over 2m 1f (good) last month.
80/1
9 Sageboroughg (FR) 71
Form: 7F6-1P
Age: 5
Weight:
10 - 12 t
Colour: b
Dam: Sage Dance
Sire: Martinborough
Dam's Sire: Sageburg
Trainer: P Nolan
Jockey: Sean Flanagan
Successful in two hurdle races at 2m and 2m 1f on good - yielding and yielding ground. Pulled up 2 out when 25-1 in the Group 3 Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap at Galway over 2m (good) in a Grade 3 hurdle race won by Putapoundinthejar in July on his latest outing.
33/1
10 Filibusteringg (GB) 55 (135f)
Form: 51-113
Age: 5
Weight:
10 - 11 t
Colour: b
Dam: Mystique
Sire: Postponed
Dam's Sire: Oasis Dream
Trainer: Harry Derham
Jockey: Paul O'Brien
He has won four hurdle races from 2m to 2m 1f on good and good to soft ground. Third of 8 behind Nap Hand beaten 8l at 3-1fav on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Perth over 2m (good) in August. Has won at Cartmel and Hexham this season.
20/1
11 Hamlets Nightg (IRE) 153
Form: 2205-0
Age: 5
Weight:
10 - 10 h
Colour: b
Dam: Ophelias Dream
Sire: Invincible Spirit
Dam's Sire: Dubawi
Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: J J Burke
Successful in two hurdle races at 2m on good ground (latest flat win was last month). Beaten 18l behind Moon Chime at 28-1 when 11th of 16 on his latest NH outing in a hurdle race at Haydock over 2m (good) in May.
20/1
12 Listentoyourheartm (IRE) 167
Form: 31739-
Age: 7
Weight:
10 - 9
Colour: br
Dam: Illwalktheline
Sire: Getaway
Dam's Sire: Presenting
Trainer: D Skelton
Jockey: C J Todd
Winner of four hurdle races and a NH flat race from 2m to 2m 4f on good and good to soft ground. Well beaten at 9-2 behind No Ordinary Joe when 9th of 10 on her latest outing in a hurdle race at Sandown over 2m 4f (good) in April.
22/1
13 Queenie St Clairm (IRE) 174 (12f)
Form: 31516-
Age: 6
Weight:
10 - 8
Colour: b
Dam: Marmalade Cat
Sire: Fast Company
Dam's Sire: Duke Of Marmalade
Trainer: Nick Scholfield
Jockey: S Bowen
She has won three hurdle races from 1m 7f to 2m 2f on good to soft and heavy ground. Well beaten at 12-1 behind Dedicated Hero when sixth of 8 on her latest NH outing in a Grade 2 hurdle race in the Group 2 Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle at Ayr over 2m (heavy) in April.
40/1
14 Morning Mayhemg (GB) 13
Form: 144412
Age: 5
Weight:
10 - 8 p
Colour: b
Dam: Midnight Mayhem
Sire: Dragon Dancer
Dam's Sire: Presenting
Trainer: Nick Scholfield
Jockey: Kielan Woods
Winner of five hurdle races from 2m to 2m 1f on ground varying from good to heavy. Beaten a head by Un Sens A La Vie when second of 12 at 12-1 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Market Rasen over 2m 1f (good) last month. Has won at Cartmel and Newton Abbot this season.
22/1
15 Pioneer Peteg (GB) 34
Form: 312-11
Age: 6
Weight:
10 - 7
Colour: b
Dam: Premier Blanc
Sire: Frontiersman
Dam's Sire: Kayf Tara
Trainer: J & A O'Neill
Jockey: Jonjo O'Neill Jr.
He has won three hurdle races at 2m on good ground. Won on his latest outing in a hurdle race when 3-10fav at Stratford over 2m (good) last month, beating King's Scholar by 1 1/2l. Has also won at Worcester this season.
8/1
16 Doctor Blueg (FR) 223
Form: /2165-
Age: 6
Weight:
10 - 6 p 1 t
Colour: b
Dam: Version Originale
Sire: Doctor Dino
Dam's Sire: Poliglote
Trainer: S Thomas
Jockey: Dylan Johnston
Successful in a hurdle race and a NH flat race at 2m on good and good to soft ground. Well beaten at 9-2 behind Rubber Ball when fifth of 7 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Newbury over 2m (good to soft) in February.
9/2
17 Tennessee Tangog (IRE) 186
Form: 331P6-
Age: 6
Weight:
10 - 6 t
Colour: b
Dam: Ten Dollar Kate
Sire: Affinisea
Dam's Sire: Fame And Glory
Trainer: J Tizzard
Jockey: Brendan Powell
Successful in a hurdle race and a NH flat race at 1m 7f and 2m on good and soft ground. Finished 19l behind Maldini Milano when sixth of 12 at 15-2 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Plumpton over 2m 4f (good) in April.
28/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Doctor Blue 13/2, Captain Hugo 4/1, Le Beau Madrik 5/1, Gibbs Island 7/1, Pioneer Pete 12/1, Laafi 12/1, Serious Challenge 10/1, Filibustering 16/1, Hamlets Night 14/1, Morning Mayhem 25/1, Listentoyourheart 14/1, Knickerbockerglory 16/1, Tennessee Tango 25/1, Sageborough 25/1, Kateira 16/1, Queenie St Clair 33/1, Sony Bill 50/1
oddschecker Verdict
Captain Hugo beat Serious Challenge in the Morebattle at Kelso before finishing a respectable second in the Scottish Champion Hurdle when last in action. He could launch a strong challenge on his reappearance, while Le Beau Madrik showed marked improvement in novice company last term and Dan Skelton's handicap debutant could also get involved. However, PIONEER PETE has the more recent form having defied a penalty when landing the odds at Stratford last month and the progressive six-year-old looks on a fair mark back in a handicap.
Prediction: 1st Pioneer Pete, 2nd Captain Hugo, 3rd Le Beau Madrik
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