Horse Racing Tips & Predictions: Liam Firkin Thursday Selections
Kempton Friday 17:15 Betting Odds- Winner
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- Starters:13
- Distance:1m 0f 0y
- Class: 6
- Age:3YO only
- Prize:£3140
- Going:Standard to slow
Best Odds
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Odds Drifting
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| 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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Best Odds
Odds Shortening
Odds Drifting
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| 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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| 12 |  Darragh Keenan542522 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | SP | 10/3 | 3 | 3 | 10/3 | 100/ 30 | 100/ 30 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | SP | 7/2 | 401/ 100 | |
| 2 |  Billy Loughnane536864 | 7/2 | 10/3 | 3 | 10/3 | 3 | 3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 16/5 | 10/3 | SP | 10/3 | 3 | 3 | 10/3 | 100/ 30 | 3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 3 | 3 | SP | 47/10 | 7/2 | |
| 4 |  Benoit D L Sayette367624 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | SP | 6 | 11/2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | SP | 529/ 100 | 142/ 25 | |
| 1 |  Kaiya Fraser602830 | 6 | 11/2 | 6 | 6 | 13/2 | 6 | 6 | 11/2 | 6 | 6 | SP | 6 | 11/2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13/2 | 13/2 | SP | 343/ 50 | 353/ 50 | |
| 10 |  Alexandra McDonnell343454 | 7 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 7 | 15/2 | 7 | 15/2 | SP | 7 | 13/2 | 15/2 | 7 | 15/2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 15/2 | SP | 509/ 100 | 113/ 10 | |
| 7 |  Ray Dawson383687 | 9 | 8 | 15/2 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | SP | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | SP | 152/ 25 | 627/ 100 | |
| 5 |  Edward Greatrex526317 | 10 | 9 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 8 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 8 | SP | 17/2 | 8 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 8 | 8 | SP | 147/ 25 | 59/5 | |
| 9 |  David Probert821425 | 10 | 9 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 15/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 8 | SP | 17/2 | 8 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 8 | 8 | SP | 147/ 25 | 123/ 10 | |
| 14 |  Harry Davies607846 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | SP | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | SP | 343/ 50 | 157/ 10 | |
| 8 |  D C Costello137559 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 20 | SP | 18 | 16 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | SP | 49/5 | 181/ 10 | |
| 6 |  Joe Leavy6-674 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 22 | SP | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 20 | SP | 49/5 | 21 | |
| 13 |  Dylan Hogan-46290 | 40 | 33 | 22 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 33 | SP | 33 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 28 | SP | 127/ 10 | 27 | |
| 11 |  K T O'Neill05407 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 50 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | SP | 40 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 50 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 50 | 50 | SP | 127/ 10 | 25 | |
| 3 |  9-833 | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | SP | 1/10 | 1/10 | |||||||
Kempton Friday 17:15 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (2) Captive Beautyf (IRE) 24
Form: 602830
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Sirens Cove
Sire: Showcasing
Dam's Sire: Sir Percy
Trainer: R Burdon
Jockey: Kaiya Fraser
Placed twice in seven starts. Beaten 8l behind R P Mcmurphy at 7-2 when 11th of 12 on her latest outing at Wolverhampton over 1m 1f last month.
13/2
2 (6) Positive Thoughtsf (IRE) 20
Form: 536864
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Carpe Diem Lady
Sire: Elzaam
Dam's Sire: Acclamation
Trainer: J & S Quinn
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Placed once in 11 starts. Finished 2 3/4l behind Bajan Bandit when fourth of 10 at 12-1 on her latest outing at Newcastle over 1m last month.
7/2
3 (13) Twilight Babyf (GB) 38
Form: 9-833
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Yeah Baby Yeah
Sire: Twilight Son
Dam's Sire: Art Connoisseur
Trainer: Miss Gay Kelleway
Jockey: Non Runner
Unplaced in all four starts. Third of 4 behind Norfolk Blue beaten 4 1/2l at 10-1 on her latest outing at Brighton over 7f (good) last month.
4 (9) Miss Mambof (IRE) 32
Form: 367624
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 8 v 1
Colour: b
Dam: Miss Fifty
Sire: Elzaam
Dam's Sire: Whipper
Trainer: Miss Gay Kelleway
Jockey: Benoit D L Sayette
Placed once in nine starts. Finished 5l behind Yazoo when fourth of 12 at 5-2fav on her latest outing at Wolverhampton over 1m 1f last month. She is wearing a visor for the first time.
13/2
5 (14) Ernie Mccrewg (IRE) 11
Form: 526317
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 8 p
Colour: ch
Dam: Forgiving Flower
Sire: Galileo Gold
Dam's Sire: New Approach
Trainer: J S Moore
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
A winner at 1m on polytrack. Beaten 7l behind Crown The Future at 8-1 when seventh of 12 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 1m 1f last month.
10/1
6 (10) Lihou Ladyf (GB) 133
Form: 6-674
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 8
Colour: b
Dam: Kodiac Island
Sire: Aali
Dam's Sire: Kodiac
Trainer: P D Evans
Jockey: Joe Leavy
Unplaced in all four starts. Finished 9l behind Thanos when fourth of 7 at 16-1 on her latest outing at Chepstow over 1m (good to firm) in May.
25/1
7 (11) Grand Vistac (IRE) 12
Form: 383687
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 7
Colour: b
Dam: Very Nice
Sire: Far Above
Dam's Sire: Daylami
Trainer: W Muir & C Grassick
Jockey: Ray Dawson
Placed once in ten starts. Beaten 7l behind Pebble Dash at 9-1 when seventh of 9 on his latest outing at Ffos Las over 1m (soft) last month.
9/1
8 (12) Grey Sandsc (IRE) 18
Form: 137559
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 6 p t
Colour: gr
Dam: The Tempest
Sire: Blue Point
Dam's Sire: Mastercraftsman
Trainer: K Bailey & M Nicholls
Jockey: D C Costello
A winner at 1m on the all-weather. Beaten 15l behind Satyress at 16-1 when last of 9 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 1m 4f last month.
20/1
9 (8) Henfieldf (GB) 10
Form: 821425
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 5 v
Colour: b
Dam: Mazikeen
Sire: Cityscape
Dam's Sire: Dunkerque
Trainer: K Jewell
Jockey: David Probert
A winner at 1m on polytrack. Finished 11l behind Rajendra when fifth of 13 at 5-1 on her latest outing at Wolverhampton over 1m 1f last month.
10/1
10 (5) Alices Influencef (GB) 42
Form: 343454
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 4
Colour: b
Dam: Ceedwell
Sire: Massaat
Dam's Sire: Exceed And Excel
Trainer: P D Evans
Jockey: Alexandra McDonnell (7)
A winner at 1m. Finished 1 1/2l behind Launceston when fourth of 8 at 7-2 on her latest outing at Ffos Las over 1m (good to soft) in August.
8/1
11 (7) Call Alertf (GB) 15
Form: 05407
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 3 p 1
Colour: b
Dam: Callendula
Sire: Mohaather
Dam's Sire: Halling
Trainer: W Muir & C Grassick
Jockey: K T O'Neill
Yet to place in five starts. Well beaten at 80-1 behind Meet Me In Meraki when last of 7 on her latest outing at Southwell over 1m 3f last month. She is wearing cheekpieces for the first time.
50/1
12 (4) Arvana Bellef (IRE) 12
Form: 542522
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 3
Colour: b
Dam: Israfel
Sire: Kodi Bear
Dam's Sire: Dark Angel
Trainer: B R Millman
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
A winner at 6f. Beaten 2l by Kaleidoscope Eyes when second of 10 at 10-11fav on her latest outing at Ffos Las over 1m (soft) last month.
7/2
13 (1) Girls Allowedf (IRE) 27
Form: -46290
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 2
Colour: b
Dam: Atlanteia
Sire: Alkumait
Dam's Sire: Duke Of Marmalade
Trainer: J & S Birkett
Jockey: Dylan Hogan
Placed once in eight starts. Beaten 17l behind Amarachi at 25-1 when 11th of 14 on her latest outing at Bath over 1m (good) last month.
40/1
14 (3) Wild Rosief (GB) 11
Form: 607846
Age: 3
Weight:
9 - 2 h
Colour: b
Dam: Rose Berry
Sire: Nathaniel
Dam's Sire: Archipenko
Trainer: C A Dwyer
Jockey: Harry Davies
Unplaced in all ten starts. Finished 6l behind Crown The Future when sixth of 12 at 20-1 on her latest outing at Wolverhampton over 1m 1f last month.
14/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Arvana Belle 3/1, Positive Thoughts 8/1, Miss Mambo 11/2, Captive Beauty 7/1, Alices Influence 8/1, Grand Vista 14/1, Ernie Mccrew 8/1, Henfield 10/1, Wild Rosie 12/1, Grey Sands 16/1, Lihou Lady 16/1, Girls Allowed 25/1, Call Alert 50/1, Twilight Baby /
oddschecker Verdict
Having filled the runner-up spot at Ffos Las on her last two outings, ARVANA BELLE makes plenty of appeal in her current vein of form. A 2lb higher mark looks more than fair for Rod Millman's filly and she boasts a handy draw in stall four. Newcastle fourth Positive Thoughts arrives here in better form than most and may give the selection most to think about, ahead of Ernie Mccrew, who should appreciate a return to Polytrack.
Prediction: 1st Arvana Belle, 2nd Positive Thoughts, 3rd Ernie Mccrew
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