oddschecker dissect this season’s data to unveil the most profitable Bundesliga teams to follow.
With the Bundesliga likely to capture the attention of football fans from across the world, oddschecker have done the dirty work and calculated exactly which Bundesliga team would yield the most profit if you placed a £20 bet on them each game.
While the likes of Bayern, Dortmund and RB Leipzig are the serial winners this season, it’s important to strike a balance between quality and price, and the data certainly backs this up.
As a newcomer to German football, which sides should you be flocking towards, and which should you steer well clear of?
Bundesliga profitability table (£20 stakes)
The most profitable Bundesliga teams
While it may come as a surprise to some, there’s a clear winner here: Hoffenheim, who yield a £618.4 profit.
While they sit mid-table, having won 10 of their 25 matches, Die Kraichgauer have certainly selected the right matches to win – and as a result their profitability is through the roof.
Five away victories, including one at the Allianz Arena (29/1 in some places) has helped in this regard, as have home victories against Dortmund (4/1) and Bayer Leverkusen (7/2).
Newly-promoted Union Berlin are second in terms of profitability; putting £20 on them every game would have netted a tidy £208 profit.
Union currently sit 11th, and their season’s profitability was given a significant boost when they registered a 9/1 home victory over Dortmund back in August.
High flying Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayer Leverkusen are next with £201.6 and £201.2 profit respectively. While their prices are generally a lot longer than the top three to win any specific match, Gladbach have won as many games as Dortmund, while Leverkusen have won as many as Leipzig.
Finally, a shout out to Freiburg is in order, who complete the top five in the profitability table with £134.8 to their name. Breisgau-Brasilianer are another side firmly punching above their weight, and their excellent campaign thus far—where they currently sit 8th—has seen them win 10 games out of 25.
Despite a shoestring budget, Christian Streich’s men have consistently performed well, with their 4/1 victory at Hoffenheim being the biggest-price win of the season.
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The least profitable Bundesliga teams
Bringing up the rear in terms of profitability, sitting on a pathetic -£274.8 are strugglers Werder Bremen, who have been bitterly disappointing this campaign.
Bremen’s 8th place finish of last season has been quickly forgotten, and with just four victories to their name, it’s no surprise Die Werderaner are firmly last in terms of profitability.
None of their four victories have come against giants either, with their largest-priced victory being a 5/2 away win at Wolfsburg.
It’s significantly less surprising to see Paderborn (-£164.6) and Fortuna Dusseldorf (-£152.6) completing the bottom three. Of course, being tipped for relegation pre-season doesn’t make their defeats any more profitable, but their victory odds are generally a lot longer than the more established clubs at the bottom, such as Bremen.
Bottom side Paderborn’s most profitable victory was their 5/1 triumph at Bremen—which, on the face of it, is far too long—while Fortuna’s most profitable victory also came at Bremen (4/1).
Augsburg’s horrific away record has helped them slump to -£104.6 in this regard, despite turning a profit for their home matches. Despite winning seven games this season, their biggest-price win came at Hoffenheim – which was little over 3/1. Obtaining a giant-killing is clearly what differentiates profitable sides with unprofitable ones.
Finally, completing the bottom five is…Bayern Munich. While this may come as a surprise to some, Bayern have still dropped points in eight of their 25 matches this season, which is automatically stumped up as a £160 loss.
Couple this with the appallingly short prices you get for any Bayern victory (they were odds-on in their biggest game of the season, a 4-0 home win against Dortmund), and you suddenly see why it’s hard for them to claw back this £160 deficit.
Dropping points in the few games where the odds are a little longer than usual (two draws vs. Leipzig, losing at home to Leverkusen as well as on the road to bogey team Gladbach) also hasn’t helped their cause.
It’s a similar story for Dortmund and Leipzig. While their prices are generally a little more generous than Bayern’s, they’re still showing a £30.4 and £57.4 loss respectively.
The 5 biggest price winners (£20 stakes)
|Winner||Loser||Home or Away?||Odds||Profit|
|Bayer Leverkusen||Bayern Munich||A||10/1||£200|
|Union Berlin||Borussia Dortmund||H||9/1||£180|
|Eintracht Frankfurt||Bayern Munich||H||6.5/1||£130|
|Hertha Berlin||Bayer Leverkusen||A||5.63/1||£112.60|
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