FPL Tips and FPL Predicted Points for Gameweek 7 from FPL Heisenberg using latest odds through oddschecker.
Are you rolling a transfer? Wildcarding to fit in Trippier and Salah? Or eyeing up an unlikely double gameweek hero from Luton or Burnley?
Goal contribution and clean sheet probabilities in the tables below are taken from best prices at the time of writing through oddschecker, where you can compare odds from 25+ UK bookmakers.
FPL predicted points for the midfielders includes the likelihood of goals and assists minus the likelihood of the clean sheet point and the probability of the player picking up a yellow card. It does not factor in bonus points.
Of the potential Bukayo Saka replacements listed, Bruno Fernandes is the likeliest to receive a card (28.6%) for Man United against Crystal Palace, while Newcastle’s Anthony Gordon will get a one-match suspension if he is carded against Burnley (18.2% chance).
The bookmakers are yet to price the second of Luton’s double gameweek fixtures (BUR Home), so we have given Morris a 9.1% chance of an assist – the same as in the Hatters’ first match at Goodison.
Captain Sensible – Haaland vs Morris | FPL Tips GW7
| Player | Match 1 Goal | Match 2 Goal | Assist | Predicted Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haaland | 63.6% | X | 22.2% | 5.2 |
| Morris | 22.2% | 30.8% | 18.2% | 6.67 |
Captain Verdict: This is a week you could take a risk and go against Haaland if you fancy it, with two games for Morris there's a chance he can outscore Haaland. For me, the sensible play is still to stick with Erling due to his incredible underlying numbers.
Dealing with Injury – FPL Predicted Points for Saka replacements?
| Player | Goal | Assist | Goal Contribution | Predicted Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowen (SHU Home) | 29.4% | 26.7% | 56.1% | 4.60 |
| Ward-Prowse (SHU Home) | 27.8% | 28.6% | 56.4% | 4.49 |
| Fernandes (CPL Home) | 28.6% | 28.6% | 57.2% | 4.44 |
| Gordon (BUR Home) | 25.6% | 26.7% | 52.3% | 4.38 |
| Diaby (BRI Home) | 27% | 22.2% | 49.2% | 3.89 |
| Szoboszlai (TOT Away) | 17.9% | 20% | 37.9% | 3.53 |
Midfield Verdict: I have Saka myself and I'm currently leaning towards Bowen ahead of Sheffield United at home. Plenty of good midfielders to choose from though, picking the right one will be tough.
Keeper Change? Time to bring in Areola?
| Team | Keeper | Clean Sheet |
|---|---|---|
| Luton (EVE Away, BUR Home) | Kaminski | 47.6% (18.2% + 29.4%) |
| Everton (LUT Home) | Pickford | 47.6% |
| West Ham (SHU Home) | Areola | 43.5% |
| Man United (CPL Home) | Onana | 42.6% |
| Nottingham Forest (BRE Home) | Turner | 29.4% |
| Fulham (CHE Home) | Leno | 23.1% |
Goalkeeper Verdict: Areola looks good for this week. If you're looking for a long term GK rotation then or Leno/Areola looks solid and you get a keeper at home to Sheffield United two gameweeks in a row!
Forward U-Turn – Is Alvarez still a good pick in GW7?
| Player | Goal | Assist | Goal Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson (BUR Home) | 50% | 23.1% | 73.1% |
| Morris (EVE Away & BUR Home) | 53% | 18.2% | 71.2% |
| Alvarez (WOL Away) | 38.5% | 25% | 63.5% |
| Watkins (BRI Home) | 37% | 22.2% | 59.2% |
| Hojlund (CPL Home) | 40% | 15.4% | 55.4% |
| Darwin (TOT Away) | 35.7% | 15.4% | 51.1% |
| Awoniyi (BRE Home) | 33.3% | 7.7% | 41% |
Forward Verdict: Holding Alvarez is the play here I think, the best team in the league facing Wolves I fancy Alvarez for a goal and assist this week.
Premier League Gameweek 7 Odds
- Aston Villa vs Brighton
- Bournemouth vs Arsenal
- Everton vs Luton
- Man United vs Crystal Palace
- Newcastle vs Burnley
- West Ham vs Sheffield Utd
- Wolves vs Man City
- Spurs vs Liverpool
- Nott'm Forest vs Brentford
- Fulham vs Chelsea
- Luton vs Burnley
Click here to remind yourself of FPL Heisenberg’s Gameweek 6 FPL Tips.
