In this article, we look at the five FPL attackers with the highest implied probability of scoring or assisting in Gameweek 2, based on the latest betting odds.
Erling Haaland - Manchester City - £14m - 29.1% Ownership
Unsurprisingly, Erling Haaland ranks number one on our list of must-have attackers this weekend. The Norwegian is priced at 4/6 to score against Tottenham, which translates into a 60% implied probability, making him the most likely player to score in the Premier League this Gameweek. Bookmakers also give him a 69.2% probability of either scoring or assisting.
Tottenham are 10/1 (9.1% probability) to keep a clean sheet this weekend, the longest odds of any Premier League side in action. It all points to Haaland being the standout option once again.
| Erling Haaland Returns | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| To Score Anytime | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| To Score 2+ Goals | 7/2 | 10% |
| To Score a Hatrick | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| To Assist Anytime | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| To Score Or Assist | 10/1 | 9.1% |
Viktor Gyokeres – Arsenal - £9m – 24.8% Ownership
Just behind Haaland is Arsenal’s new striker Viktor Gyökeres. The Swedish international is level with Haaland in the goal/assist market at 69.2%, but his anytime scorer odds of 4/5 (55.6% probability) are slightly lower than the City man’s.
The injury to teammate Kai Havertz should further boost Gyökeres’ minutes this weekend, and a home tie against newly promoted opposition looks like the perfect opportunity for returns.
| Viktor Gyokeres Returns | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| To Score Anytime | 4/5 | 55.6% |
| To Score 2+ Goals | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| To Score a Hatrick | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| To Assist Anytime | 4/1 | 20% |
| To Score Or Assist | 4/9 | 69.2% |
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Hugo Ekitike – Liverpool - £8.6m – 21.2% Ownership
After marking his Premier League debut with a goal, Hugo Ekitike’s FPL price rose by £0.1m during the week. He is currently rated as the third-most likely forward to register a return in Gameweek 2, with odds of 8/11 implying a 57.9% chance of a goal or assist.
Liverpool face Newcastle on Monday Night Football – a side that pursued Ekitike over the summer. A goal contribution against the Magpies would be a story with added sting.
| Hugo Ekitike Returns | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| To Score Anytime | 9/5 | 35.7% |
| To Score 2+ Goals | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| To Score a Hatrick | 70/1 | 1.4% |
| To Assist Anytime | 17/4 | 19% |
| To Score Or Assist | 8/11 | 57.9% |
Ollie Watkins – Aston Villa - £9m – 25.5% Ownership
The first player on this list not to return in Gameweek 1 is Ollie Watkins, who makes the trip to face his former club Brentford. Watkins scored both home and away against the Bees last season, and he is 6/4 (40% probability) to find the net again this weekend.
Bookmakers rate Brentford at 7/2 (22% probability) to keep a clean sheet, so Watkins’ owners will be optimistic about points in this one.
| Ollie Watkins Returns | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| To Score Anytime | 6/4 | 40% |
| To Score 2+ Goals | 9/1 | 10% |
| To Score a Hatrick | 40/1 | 2.4% |
| To Assist Anytime | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| To Score Or Assist | 8/11 | 52.4% |
João Pedro – Chelsea – £7.5m – 52.4% Ownership
The most-owned forward in FPL, João Pedro blanked in Gameweek 1 but still ranks among the most likely attackers to return this weekend. He is priced at 10/11 to score or assist, which equates to a 52.4% chance.
Chelsea face West Ham on Friday night, and the Hammers have just a 16.7% probability of a clean sheet – the third-lowest in the league this Gameweek. After conceding three goals to Sunderland last weekend, West Ham look vulnerable, and Pedro could punish them.
| Joao Pedro Returns | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| To Score Anytime | 13/8 | 38.1% |
| To Score 2+ Goals | 9/1 | 10% |
| To Score a Hatrick | 50/1 | 2% |
| To Assist Anytime | 9/2 | 18.2% |
| To Score Or Assist | 10/11 | 52.4% |
Honourable Mentions
| Honourable Mentions | Odds to Score | Implied Probability | Odds to Score/Assist | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evanilson | 6/4 | 40% | 1/1 | 50% |
| Mateta | 15/8 | 34.8% | 5/4 | 44.4% |
| Sesko | 2/1 | 33.3% | 6/5 | 45.5% |
| Thiago | 12/5 | 29.4% | 7/5 | 41.7% |
| Wood | 12/5 | 29.4% | 8/5 | 38.5% |
