Atletico Madrid to finish in the top 4 of the Spanish La Liga Primera: odds have shortened from 91/250 to 143/1000, with 1/5 the best price at BetMGM UK.
The odds on Atletico Madrid to finish in the top 4 of the Spanish La Liga Primera have been slashed with Skybet, tumbling from 91/250 down to 143/1000 after Diego Simeone's men put in a derby performance that had the markets scrambling.
Atletico beat Real Madrid 2-1 at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano on 20 September 2026, with goals from Alejandro Grimaldo and Jonathan David.
The win lifted Atletico to second in the table on 16 points, moving them above Real Madrid.
Six of 12 bookmakers have cut their price on Atletico Madrid to finish in the top 4 of the Spanish La Liga Primera, with 1/5 the best available at BetMGM UK.
Jonathan David has now scored in each of his first three league appearances for the club, only the seventh player in Atletico's 123-year history to do so.
This is what happens when you win the derby in the manner Atletico managed. The turning point came just after the hour, when Real Madrid defender Dean Huijsen was sent off in the 52nd minute for a penalty-box foul on Giuliano Simeone. Grimaldo tucked away the resulting spot-kick a minute later, and Jonathan David doubled the lead on 59 minutes before Antonio Rudiger's late reply proved nothing more than a consolation. It was a stubborn, front-foot performance from the home side, and the market took notice almost immediately.
The reasons behind the move are not hard to find. That result lifted Atletico to second in La Liga on 16 points, above Real Madrid, and it hands them real momentum in front of goal through David, who has been the standout early on. Little wonder, then, that the price on their top-four berth has been backed in so heavily, tumbling from 91/250 to 143/1000 with Skybet as punters piled in behind a side that looks well set for the season.
Spanish La Liga Primera Top 4 Finish odds
The best price on Atletico is 1/5 with Bet365, Boyle Sports, Betway and QuinnBet all matching it, while the shortest quote available is 1/7 with Skybet. In between, you can find 3/16 with Unibet, 1/6 with Paddy Power and 2/13 with BetGoodWin.
Last updated: 21 September 2026, 17:38 UK time
Odds below are live and may have changed since publishing this article.
Who is favourite to finish in the top four of La Liga?
Barcelona and Real Madrid sit as joint favourites to finish in the top four, priced at 1/100 with BetMGM UK and 1/100 with BOYLE Sports respectively, both at heavily odds-on. The derby loss dropped Real Madrid to fourth in the table, though the market clearly rates their credentials for a top-four place very highly. Atletico are the third-shortest at 1/5 with BetMGM UK, comfortably clear of the chasing pack, with Real Betis next in line at 4/5 with Paddy Power.
Barcelona – 1/100 with BetMGM UK
Real Madrid – 1/100 with BOYLE Sports
Atletico Madrid – 1/5 with BetMGM UK
Real Betis – 4/5 with Paddy Power
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What's next for Atletico in La Liga?
La Liga now pauses for the FIFA international break running through early October, giving Atletico a fortnight to bank the derby feel-good before the serious business resumes. They return on 10 October away to Deportivo Alaves at Estadio de Mendizorrotza in Matchday 8, then host Manchester United in the Champions League three days later. Get through that block in the same vein and the case for their top-four ambitions only strengthens. On current form, with David firing and a side that beat Real Madrid at their own game, it is easy to see why the price has come in so sharply.
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