Arsenal restore thier 5-point lead at the Premier League summit after thrashing arch-rivals Tottenham Hotspur 4-1 away from home.
The Premier League title market has tightened once again, but Arsenal’s grip at the top of the betting remains firm after their emphatic win over Tottenham. The Gunners have seen further support in the outright market and are now priced at 4/9 to win the Premier League, shortening from 4/6 yesterday as confidence continues to build around Mikel Arteta’s side.
That move signals growing belief that Arsenal can finally end their 22-year wait for a league title. Their derby performance not only strengthened their position in the table but reinforced their status as bookmakers’ favourites heading into the final stretch of the campaign.
Manchester City, meanwhile, are now available at 7/4, a slight drift from 7/5 yesterday. Pep Guardiola’s men remain firmly in the hunt, but the market suggests Arsenal currently hold the upper hand following consecutive momentum-shifting results at the top.
Interestingly, while Arsenal lead the bookmakers’ pricing, bettor sentiment still leans heavily toward City. According to Oddschecker data in the last 12 hours, 44% of punters have backed Manchester City to win the Premier League, compared to 26% who have backed Arsenal to lift the trophy for the first time since 2004.
Who is the Favourite to Win the 2026 Premier League Title?
Arsenal remain the favourites to win the 2025-26 Premier League title, with around a 60% chance of lifting the trophy. Manchester City are next in line with an implied probability of roughly 41%, sitting close behind after recent results, while Manchester United are further back in the running with much slimmer chances.
| Premier League Winner | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 4/7 | Betway |
| Man City | 7/4 | Sporting Index |
| Man Utd | 125/1 | SpreadEx |
| Aston Villa | 300/1 | Skybet |
| Liverpool | 500/1 | SpreadEx |
| Chelsea | 750/1 | BetVictor |
Arsenal are considered more likely than not to go on and win the league from here. It reflects strong confidence in their position, form, and control of the run-in. The margin suggests they are in the driving seat and that it would now take a significant swing for them to lose their advantage.
Manchester City are still firmly in the race, but they are seen as chasing rather than leading. Those numbers imply City would need Arsenal to slip up while also maintaining near-perfect form themselves. It is not out of reach, especially given City’s experience in title run-ins, but they are no longer the side expected to finish first.
Skybet
- 24/7 live chat support
- Some of the best price boosts in the market
- Intuitive user experience
Analysing Arsenal vs Man City's Remaining Premier League Fixtures
With the gap at the top of the Premier League table extremely tight between Arsenal and Manchester City, the remaining fixtures will likely determine where the title ends up.
Arsenal have already navigated their North London derby, and that was a major hurdle out of the way. Looking ahead, their schedule still includes testing encounters against Chelsea, Newcastle and Brighton, along with tricky away trips to sides fighting for European spots or survival. While there are winnable games on paper, there are very few straightforward ones at this stage of the season.
The standout fixture in Arsenal’s run-in remains their meeting with Manchester City. That head-to-head clash could effectively act as a title decider. If Arsenal avoid defeat there, they keep control of their destiny. Lose it, and the pressure flips immediately.
Manchester City’s remaining fixtures feature a number of home games against mid-table opposition, which historically suits them. Pep Guardiola’s side are known for going on relentless winning runs during the final stretch. However, they still have awkward away trips and cannot afford many slip-ups given the narrow margin at the top.
On paper, City may have a slightly more balanced run-in in terms of home advantage, but Arsenal have already cleared one of their biggest psychological hurdles by dispatching Spurs. That result removes a potential stumbling block and keeps momentum firmly on their side.
At this stage, it is less about who has the “easier” fixtures and more about who handles pressure better. Arsenal are chasing history. City are chasing another title with the experience of having done it before. The remaining weeks will test mentality as much as quality.
