Lawrence Shankland has drifted to a best price of 20/1 with Betfred, out from 11/4, for Lawrence Shankland to be the Scottish Premiership top goalscorer.
Lawrence Shankland's price to be the Scottish Premiership top goalscorer has drifted badly, easing all the way out from 11/4 to a best of 20/1 with Betfred — and the reason is sitting in a surgeon's notes.
Rangers confirmed on 8 September 2026 that club captain Shankland underwent surgery in London on a grade 2c hamstring tear, ruling him out for approximately four months.
Lawrence Shankland has drifted to a best price of 20/1 with Betfred in the Lawrence Shankland to be the Scottish Premiership top goalscorer market, out from 11/4, with six bookmakers easing their odds.
Shankland now sits ninth-shortest in the market at 20/1 with Betfred, a long way behind favourite Kasper Hogh, who is priced at a best of 6/4 with Betway.
Rangers still beat Celtic 1-0 at Celtic Park on 20 September 2026, so the goals are landing elsewhere while their skipper recovers.
The story here is a simple one, and it is all about fitness. Shankland made a bright start to the 2026/27 campaign, bagging both goals in Rangers' 2-1 win over Falkirk on 30 August 2026 to open his league account. Then came the setback that has reshaped this whole market. Surgery on a grade 2c hamstring tear has taken the Rangers skipper out of the picture for around four months, and a striker who cannot get on the pitch cannot pile up goals. That is the plain football reason his price has been pushed from 11/4 all the way out to 20/1 with Betfred, with six bookmakers easing their odds.
What makes the drift look even more sensible is how Rangers have coped without him. The frontline has been reshaped around Ryan Naderi and £9m summer signing Kevin Kelsy following long-term injuries to both Shankland and Youssef Chermiti. Naderi is the one taking the headlines, grabbing the 33rd-minute winner as Rangers downed Celtic 1-0 at Celtic Park on 20 September 2026, a second win over their rivals in eight days after a 3-0 Premier Sports Cup quarter-final success on 13 September. Rangers are winning the big matches, but the man who was meant to lead their goal charge is watching on, and the market has moved accordingly.
Scottish Premiership Top Goalscorer odds
Best odds on Shankland are 20/1 with Betfred, matched by William Hill, with the shortest price on offer 16/1 with Betway. Favourite Kasper Hogh leads the whole market at a best price of 6/4 with Betway, so there is a considerable gap between the man everyone is backing and a striker now facing months on the sidelines.
Last updated: 21 September 2026, 14:02 UK time
Odds below are live and may have changed since publishing this article.
Who is favourite to be the Scottish Premiership top goalscorer?
Kasper Hogh is the man to beat at a best price of 6/4 with Betway, and the Scottish Premiership odds tell you why he sits clear at the top. The Danish striker signed permanently for Celtic from Bodo/Glimt on 28 July 2026 and wasted little time making his mark, hitting a first-half hat-trick in a 5-1 win over Kilmarnock in August. He drew a blank as a second-half substitute in the derby defeat to Rangers, registering no shots on target, but that has not shifted his standing at the head of this market. Below him the field spreads out quickly, and Shankland is now down in ninth at 20/1.
Kasper Hogh – 6/4 with Betway
Camilo Duran – 7/2 with William Hill
Benjamin Nygren – 7/1 with Betway
Kevin Nisbet – 12/1 with Betway
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Can Lawrence Shankland finish as Scottish Premiership top goalscorer?
On current form, it is a tall order. Shankland's four-month recovery timeline points to a return to Rangers first-team action around January 2027, which means giving away half a season of goals to the men above him in the betting. With Chermiti also ruled out for the rest of the 2026/27 campaign after an anterior cruciate ligament tear, Rangers' goals are coming through Naderi and Kelsy for now. That is exactly why his price has eased all the way to 20/1 with Betfred in the Lawrence Shankland to be the Scottish Premiership top goalscorer market, and until he is back scoring regularly it is hard to argue against that valuation. Hogh, fit and firing, remains the one setting the pace at 6/4 with Betway.
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