Lautaro Martinez to be the Italian Serie A top goalscorer has drifted to 12/1 with BetMGM UK, out from 4/1, as all three bookmakers ease their odds.
The odds on Lautaro Martinez to be the Italian Serie A top goalscorer have drifted out from 4/1 to 12/1 with 10Bet, and a hamstring injury at the worst possible moment is the reason.
Three of three bookmakers have eased their odds on Lautaro Martinez since the injury news broke.
Donyell Malen leads the market at 5/4 with 10Bet, with Lautaro Martinez now fourth-shortest.
The striker strained his left hamstring in Inter Milan's match against Club Brugge on 13 October 2026.
Before the setback he was scoring at close to a goal a game, with four goals from his opening five Serie A matches.
Tests at the Istituto Humanitas in Rozzano confirmed a strain to the flexor muscles of his left hamstring, and Inter Milan now say he will be out for roughly a month, covering up to seven matches. That keeps him out of the Derby della Madonnina against AC Milan on 31 October 2026. In a scoring race decided by goals per outing, every game he misses hands ground to the men chasing him.
That is why the price on Lautaro Martinez to be the Italian Serie A top goalscorer has gone out so sharply. Nobody is doubting his finishing. The bookmakers are pricing in the weeks he spends in the stands instead of in front of goal. Inter haven't missed a beat without him either, coming from behind to beat Bologna 3-1 at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, so there is no reason for the club to rush him back.
Italian Serie A Top Goalscorer odds
Best odds on Lautaro Martinez 12/1 with 10Bet, worst 11/1 with Unibet.
Last updated: 18 October 2026, 11:43 UK time
Odds below are live and may have changed since publishing this article.
Who is favourite ahead of Lautaro Martinez to be the Italian Serie A top goalscorer?
Donyell Malen is the favourite at a best price of 5/4 with 10Bet, and on what he has done so far this term it is hard to argue. The AS Roma forward has started at a goal a game through his first six Serie A matches. That follows the prolific loan spell that earned him a permanent move from Aston Villa, and he looks right at home in Rome. Lautaro Martinez has slipped to fourth-shortest in the betting, which is fair enough for a striker who can't add to his tally until he is fit again.
Donyell Malen – 5/4 (10Bet). The in-form man, scoring at a goal a game for Roma.
Antonio Raimondo – 10/3 (10Bet). Second in the betting and the nearest challenger to Malen on price.
Marcus Thuram – 9/2 (10Bet). Scored in the win over Bologna and now leads the Inter attack while his strike partner is out.
Lautaro Martinez – 12/1 (10Bet). Pushed out from 4/1 by the hamstring strain.
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Is it too late for Lautaro Martinez to be the Italian Serie A top goalscorer?
Inter's medical staff are aiming for a return against Atalanta on 22 November 2026, after the international break. Until then he has to watch the race from the stands. The Bologna result showed the goals can come from elsewhere: Thuram, Carlos Augusto and Ange-Yoan Bonny all scored that day, and every goal a teammate scores is one Lautaro doesn't get. His finishing is still his big weapon, and it hasn't gone anywhere. But Malen is in form and running away with it at Roma, so the drift is fair. Our view is that the 12/1 price is about the weeks he will miss, not about how good he is, and anyone backing him now needs both a clean recovery and Malen to cool off.
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