Napoli to finish in the top 4 of the Italian Serie A has drifted to 7/4 with Paddy Power, out from 6/5, as four of seven bookmakers ease their odds.
The odds on Napoli to finish in the top 4 of the Italian Serie A have drifted out from 6/5 to 7/4 with Paddy Power after a week that Massimiliano Allegri's side will want to forget in a hurry.
Napoli have drifted to a best price of 7/4 with Paddy Power, out from 6/5, with four of seven bookmakers easing their odds on Napoli to finish in the top 4 of the Italian Serie A.
Venezia beat Napoli 1-0 on 17 October 2026, with goalkeeper Filip Stankovic saving a Kevin De Bruyne penalty.
That defeat came days after a 3-1 loss away to Villarreal in the Champions League.
Inter Milan are the favourites at a best price of 1/20 with Bet Victor, with Napoli fifth-shortest in the betting.
The damage was done at the Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo on Saturday, where Venezia beat Napoli 1-0. Akor Adams settled it shortly after the break with a deflected strike, and the away side were then handed the perfect route back into the fixture when Rasmus Hojlund was fouled in the box. Kevin De Bruyne stepped up, and Stankovic, named man of the match, kept the spot kick out. Losing to a goal that takes a nick off a defender is bad luck. Failing to score from the spot when the game is begging to be rescued is a different kind of problem, and the market has noticed.
It capped a bruising week. Napoli had already lost 3-1 away to Villarreal in the Champions League, and Allegri rotated for the trip to Venezia, leaving De Bruyne and Hojlund on the bench to start. Holding back his two most dangerous attacking players looked sensible on paper, but by the time they were involved the home side had their lead and a stubborn shape to protect it. Four of seven bookmakers have eased the odds on Napoli as a result, and it is hard to argue with them. Two defeats in a week, with no goal in the league outing, is not the form of a side that earns a short price in a race for the top four.
Italian Serie A Top 4 Finish odds
Best odds 7/4 with Paddy Power worst 5/6 with Bet Victor. Skybet and Betfair Sportsbook match the top price, so punters who still believe in this Napoli squad have more than one place to take the bigger number.
Last updated: 18 October 2026, 11:41 UK time
Odds below are live and may have changed since publishing this article.
What are the odds on Napoli to finish in the top 4 of the Italian Serie A?
Inter Milan are the favourites at a best price of 1/20 with Bet Victor, which is about as close to a formality as this market gets. Behind them, three more sides are priced ahead of Napoli, who sit fifth-shortest at 7/4 with Paddy Power. That leaves Napoli on the outside of the odds-on pack looking in, and the gap is the whole story of this drift.
Roma – 8/15 with Betway, second in the betting and Napoli's next opponents.
Juventus – 4/7 with Bet365, just behind Roma in the market.
AC Milan – 8/11 with Paddy Power, the last of the sides priced odds-on.
Napoli – 7/4 with Paddy Power, out from 6/5 after back-to-back defeats.
Latest bookmaker offer
Can Napoli finish in the top 4 of the Italian Serie A?
The fixture list gives Napoli an immediate way to answer back. They host Roma on 24 October, a direct meeting with the side second in the betting, before a trip to Monza on 28 October. Our take is that the drift is deserved, but it is not the end of the story. A squad with De Bruyne and Hojlund to call on has the quality in front of goal to turn this around, and the missed penalty in Venice says more about one bad afternoon than about the attack as a whole. Beat Roma at home, and the odds on Napoli could come back in quickly as the Italian Serie A odds reshuffle around that result. Lose it, and the price looks likely to ease further, because the odds-on pack would have a cushion that Napoli cannot keep giving away. For now, the bigger number with Paddy Power is a fair reflection of a side that has to show its best players can carry it, not a reason to write them off.
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