Odds on Aston Villa to finish in the top 6 of the Premier League have shortened from 3/1 to 2/1 with BetGoodwin, with three of nine bookmakers moving.
The odds on Aston Villa to finish in the top 6 of the Premier League have been slashed from 3/1 to 2/1 with BetGoodwin after Nicolas Jackson's double knocked Manchester City off their perch at Villa Park.
Nicolas Jackson scored both goals as Aston Villa beat Manchester City 2-1 at Villa Park on 24 October 2026.
The result ended City's 100% winning start to the Premier League season.
Three of nine bookmakers have cut their odds on Aston Villa to finish in the top 6 of the Premier League.
Boyle Sports are still holding the best price of 3/1, leaving Villa ninth-shortest in the market.
This was the result the market had been waiting for. Jackson struck early, pouncing after John McGinn pinched possession from Marc Guéhi, and Villa suddenly had something to defend. Erling Haaland levelled early in the second half, heading in an Iliman Ndiaye cross, and for a spell it felt like City's quality would tell. Instead, Jackson had the final word on the hour, finishing off a move teed up by substitute Ibrahim Mbaye. That ended City's 100% winning start to the league campaign, and a side that has started slowly can't make a much louder statement than that.
So why the move? Bookmakers had been pricing in Villa's sluggish domestic start, and beating a City side that had won every league game forces a rethink. It also came days after a Champions League win over Viking, with Barkley and Buendía among the scorers, so Jackson's finishing is landing on top of a team that is picking up results across competitions. BetGoodwin have moved hardest, cutting Villa to 2/1. Not everyone has followed: three of nine bookmakers have cut their odds, so the move is real, but it isn't a stampede yet.
Premier League Top 6 Finish odds
Best odds on Aston Villa to finish in the top 6 of the Premier League are 3/1 with Boyle Sports, worst 2/1 with BetGoodwin. That gap is the whole story here: shop around and the old price is still on the table.
Last updated: 24 October 2026, 21:13 UK time
Odds below are live and may have changed since publishing this article.
How do the odds on Aston Villa to finish in the top 6 of the Premier League compare?
Arsenal are the favourites at a best price of 1/250 with Boyle Sports, by a distance the shortest price on the board. Chelsea and Liverpool head the chasing pack, Brighton are also well fancied, and Aston Villa sit ninth-shortest at 3/1 with Boyle Sports. That ranking is where the tension lies. On the wider Premier League odds board Villa still have a queue of clubs ahead of them, yet they have just beaten the side that had won every league game. Unai Emery marked the anniversary of his appointment with that result, and the odds on Aston Villa are starting to reflect a squad that can hurt anyone when Jackson is firing in front of goal.
Arsenal – 1/250 with Boyle Sports, the shortest price in the market.
Chelsea – 1/4 with AK Bets.
Liverpool – 1/4 with AK Bets.
Brighton – 2/5 with Boyle Sports.
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Can Aston Villa finish in the top 6 of the Premier League?
Emery himself called the win a step forward but admitted Villa are still below early-season expectations after a slow domestic start, and that honesty matters. One big afternoon doesn't undo a sluggish opening. The squad is stretched at the back too: Ian Maatsen came back in at left-back with Aaron Wan-Bissaka and Matteo Ruggeri injured, so depth will be tested. Next up is a League Cup trip to Bournemouth, then Fulham visit on 31 October in the Premier League, and that league outing is the one that counts for this market. Our take: the cut is justified, because Jackson is giving Villa the cutting edge in front of goal that their slow start lacked. With Boyle Sports still holding the best price, that is the place to back Villa to crash the top six. BetGoodwin's 2/1 is the price you take once the move has already happened.
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