Birmingham to finish in the top 6 of the Championship has shortened from 1/2 to 1/3 with Bet Victor. Four of four bookmakers cut; 4/11 is best at Skybet.
The odds on Birmingham to finish in the top 6 of the Championship have been slashed from 1/2 to 1/3 with Bet Victor, and Jay Stansfield's late winner against Swansea is the reason.
Four of four bookmakers have cut their odds on Birmingham to finish in the top 6 of the Championship, with 4/11 the best price available at Skybet.
Stansfield struck late to beat ten-man Swansea 2-1 at St Andrew's on Saturday.
That came straight after a 3-0 home win over Millwall, with Stansfield on the scoresheet again.
Middlesbrough remain the favourites at 1/20 with Betfair Sportsbook, with Birmingham fourth-shortest in the market.
Birmingham and Swansea came into Saturday's game at St Andrew's level on 26 points, so this was close to a straight shootout for a place in the top half of the log. Ryan Allsop set the tone by saving Ross Stewart's early penalty, and Swansea were down to ten men inside the first half hour when Marko Stamenić was sent off. It still got messy. A Christoph Klarer own goal from a Josh Tymon corner hauled the away side level, and with the clock running down it looked like Birmingham would have to settle for a draw. Then Stansfield popped up in the 87th minute to win it.
That is exactly the kind of result bookmakers react to. Add it to the Millwall win earlier in the week and Chris Davies has a side that keeps finding a way in front of goal, even when the game does not go to plan. Birmingham are undefeated in 17 of their last 19 matches in the Championship, and that is not a hot streak you can wave away. Stansfield is the man turning that form into points, and the market has followed him, with Bet Victor cutting its price to 1/3 on Birmingham to finish in the top 6 of the Championship.
Championship Top 6 Finish odds
Best odds 4/11 with Skybet, worst 1/3 with Bet Victor. Paddy Power and Betfair Sportsbook match Skybet at the top price, so anyone shopping around for the best odds on Birmingham has three bookmakers to pick from.
Last updated: 7 November 2026, 19:35 UK time
Odds below are live and may have changed since publishing this article.
Will Birmingham finish in the top 6 of the Championship?
Middlesbrough are the favourites at a best price of 1/20 with Betfair Sportsbook, and as log leaders nobody can argue with that. Further down the Championship odds, West Ham and Wolverhampton are both priced shorter than Birmingham, who sit fourth-shortest at 4/11 with Skybet. Our view is that the gap between Birmingham and the two sides above them is narrower than the prices suggest. West Ham and Wolverhampton are priced on reputation, while Birmingham are being priced on what they are actually doing on the pitch right now, and the direction of the move tells you which way the bookmakers are leaning.
Middlesbrough – 1/20 with Betfair Sportsbook. Top of the table and priced like it.
West Ham – 1/6 with Bet Victor. Second in the betting.
Wolverhampton – 1/5 with Skybet. Third in the betting and quoted at the same price across the board.
Birmingham – 4/11 with Skybet. Fourth-shortest, and the side the money is moving towards.
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What's next in Birmingham's bid to finish in the top 6 of the Championship?
League football now stops for the November international break, and when it comes back Birmingham are on the road at Stoke, with a trip to Burnley straight after. Stoke will not roll over: they are undefeated in 10 of their last 11 matches in the Championship, so this one has all the makings of a stubborn, physical afternoon. What Birmingham carry into it is goal threat. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of Birmingham's last 10 games in the Championship, and with Stansfield finishing moves off, they look comfortable in open, messy matches. Our prediction is that the shortening is justified. There is very little value left in the price, but nothing in their form suggests the bookmakers have got this move wrong.
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