Michael Carrick’s Manchester United made it four wins on the bounce with a 2-0 victory over Spurs. Their title odds were cut from 50/1 after Saturday’s statement win.
Manchester United’s Premier League title odds have shortened after a huge win over Tottenham Hotspur, fueling punter optimism despite long-shot status behind leaders Arsenal. Recent form hints the Red Devils could disrupt the frontrunners.
Arsenal lead the outright market at 2/11, with Manchester City next best at 9/2. United are now trading as low as 28/1—edging out Aston Villa despite sitting below Michael Carrick's team in the table.
Bryan Mbuemo and Bruno Fernandes scored for United in each half to give Michael Carrick his 4th straight win as a Manchester United manager. The result sees them close the gap to Man City and Aston Villa above them, although, both have a game in hand.
Who is the Favourite to Win the Premier League This Year?
According to the latest odds, Arsenal are the favourites to win the 2025/26 Premier League, carrying an implied probability of around 85%, while Manchester City trail as second favourites with roughly 18%.
Manchester United are a distant third at 3%, with other contenders like Aston Villa and Liverpool further behind in the market.
| Premier League Champions Odds | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 2/11 | bet365 |
| Man City | 11/2 | SpreadEx |
| Man Utd | 33/1 | bet365 |
| Aston Villa | 66/1 | bet365 |
| Liverpool | 125/1 | Ladbrokes |
| Chelsea | 175/1 | Sporting Index |
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Why Manchester United’s Odds Are Moving So Suddenly
United’s recent improvement in form under interim boss Michael Carrick has caught the attention of the market. The win over Tottenham was part of a positive sequence that followed hard-fought victories earlier in the season, including a dramatic late winner against Fulham that highlighted United’s renewed attacking rhythm.
Man United were 50/1 to win the Premier League title until yesterday. However, after beating Thomas Frank's team, United's title odds are as low as 28% with some bookmakers.
This upturn has encouraged some punters to back United in outright markets despite their gap to the top of the table. While they remain well behind Arsenal and City in terms of probability to win the title, the shift in odds suggests traders are pricing in the possibility of United maintaining strong form and exploiting any slips from the teams above them.
Who is the Favourite to Finish in the Top 4 in Premier League This Year?
Manchester United's Top 4 Finish chances have strengthened markedly after their dominant win over Tottenham, lifting their implied probability to around 57%. This positions them fourth-favourites, ahead of Liverpool at 52% and well clear of Chelsea's 38%.
The Manchester Reds now face West Ham, Crystal Palace, and Everton in their next three games, and there’s a genuine chance they take maximum points. Nine from nine would strengthen their top‑four push even further and crank up the pressure on their rivals.
With no European commitments and games in hand, Ruben Amorim's revitalised squad now eyes Champions League qualification seriously, trailing only Arsenal, Man City, and Aston Villa in the race.
| Premier League Top 4 Finish Odds | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1/1000 | bet365 |
| Man City | 1/16 | bet365 |
| Aston Villa | 8/15 | bet365 |
| Man Utd | 4/5 | BetVictor |
| Liverpool | 1/1 | bet365 |
| Chelsea | 13/8 | bet365 |
| Brentford | 33/1 | bet365 |
| Newcastle | 40/1 | Paddy Power |
| Brighton | 100/1 | Paddy Power |
Odds last updated at 3PM Saturday, 7th September.
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