Arsenal extended their lead at the Premier League summit to seven points after Man City were held to a 2-2 draw by Nottingham Forest.
Arsenal’s grip on the Premier League title race tightened after a dramatic day at the top of the table. The Gunners clinched a narrow 1-0 win away from home against Brighton to extend their lead at the top of the table to 7 points as Pep Guardiola's side dropped points at home.
The Gunners were priced at 4/11 to lift the trophy before kick-off, but following Manchester City’s 2-2 draw, their odds were cut further to 1/4. The shift underlines just how pivotal dropped points can be at this stage of the campaign, with the market reacting quickly to City’s stumble.
Meanwhile, Manchester City F.C. saw their price drift significantly. They started the day at 19/10, but the dropped points pushed them out to 15/4. For a side so used to relentless consistency, any slip at this stage carries serious weight and repurcussions.
Who is the Favourite to Win the 2025/26 Premier League Title?
Arsenal are firm favourites to win the 2025/26 Premier League title. Latest odds imply roughly a 82% chance of Arsenal lifting the trophy, with Manchester City their closest challengers with 21% chance of clinching the title. Manchester United and the rest of the league remain as outsiders.
| Premier League Winner | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1/4 | William Hill |
| Man City | 15/4 | Sporting Index |
| Man Utd | 80/1 | William Hill |
| Chelsea | 500/1 | bet365 |
| Liverpool | 750/1 | SpreadEx |
| Aston Villa | 750/1 | SpreadEx |
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Arsenal are setting the pace and doing it with authority. A seven point lead at the top, strong momentum, and statement wins like the North London derby have shifted belief into expectation. After 22 years without a league title, this group looks mature, controlled, and capable of handling pressure. The big test will come away at Manchester City, but right now Arsenal hold their destiny in their own hands.
Manchester City are exactly where you would expect them to be. Close enough to strike and experienced enough to handle the run in. They sit seven points back with a game in hand, and under Pep Guardiola they have built a reputation for relentless finishes to seasons. Squad depth, composure, and title pedigree keep them firmly in the race. If Arsenal slip, City will be ready.
Manchester United’s recent improvement under Michael Carrick has given fans renewed optimism, but the gap to the top remains significant. While performances have stabilised, consistency at an elite level is still developing. At this stage they are chasing rather than dictating, and it would take something extraordinary for them to force their way properly into the title conversation alongside Arsenal and City.
Premier League Title Odds: Betting Trends in Last 12 Hours
Interestingly, the betting public is not just focusing on the top two. Manchester United have drawn the most support in the last 12 hours, accounting for 44% of all bets in the title market. Arsenal follow with 26% of the wagers, while Manchester City sit close behind on 24%.
It tells an interesting story. The bookmakers favour Arsenal strongly, yet a large section of punters are still looking elsewhere for value. Momentum is shifting, pressure is building, but as things stand Arsenal remain firmly in control of the race.
