The Players Championship Tips: Rahm to resolve putting problems at Sawgrass

The Players Championship Tips: Rahm to resolve putting problems at Sawgrass

World number one Jon Rahm has been well backed to resolve his recent problems on the greens and win The Players Championship at Sawgrass.

The Spaniard, whose ranking is under threat this week from Collin Morikawa, Viktor Hovland, Patrick Cantlay and Scottie Scheffler, will go off as the best price 12/1 favourite for the tournament. He was one of six players tipped by Niall Lyons (+187.06 pts in 2022) earlier this week.

As things stand, he leads the way for both total single bets and total single stakes so far this week through oddschecker, with Jordan Spieth interestingly making the top three in both categories.

To explain why he is so bullish on Rahm’s chances this week, Lyons said: “He (Rahm) has been producing absolutely ridiculous golf from the tee and approaching the greens in recent weeks. 

“2nd in approach and 5th off the tee at Arnold Palmer when finishing 17th. 11th approach and 3rd off the tee at the Genesis finishing 21st. 11th on approach and 1st off the tee at Phoenix finishing 10th. 19th on approach and 2nd off the tee at the Farmers finishing 3rd.

“Quite simply this long game is head and shoulders above anyone in the game right now and it is his work on and around the greens which causing the problem. Thus far, this is categorically his worst season with the putter, and around the greens. The rain should help his plight this week and also play into his hands with his long game.

“When Thomas won last year he finished 42nd in putting. Rory finished 45th with the putter when winning in 2019 and although Simpson topped that stat when winning in 2018, Si Woo showed it wasn't a necessity again when finishing 37th on the greens when lifting the trophy. 

“Therefore, Rahm's putting woes are of little concern this week and we all know how fickle that form can be and can turn around in an instant.”


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Described by Lyons as “very backable” around the 45/1 mark, Spieth is only just behind Rahm for total single bets, while only Hideki Matsuyama sits between the pair for total single stakes. The reigning Masters Champion is also third for total single bets, making for a clear top three in this week’s betting from the oddschecker community.

Lyons said of Spieth: “Sawgrass hasn't been the happiest of hunting grounds for Spieth but he led after 54 in 2014 before a disappointing final round of 74 resulted in a 4th place finish. That effort was long before he won a major though and if he gets into a similar position nowadays expect a better finish. 

“Spieth is a technical layout expert and Sawgrass should really play into his hands, despite some average efforts here since 2014. A few in the market appeal more simply because of their recent form but Spieth's price makes him an auto selection here this week.”

Matsuyama’s presence in the top three probably owes to his January win in Hawaii, which he has followed with solid performances in three subsequent starts. He has missed the cut on two of his last three outings at The Players but equally has two top 10s in the last five.