Rory McIlroy aims to win his second major of the season as the PGA Championship takes place this week.
The 2025 PGA Championship tees off May 15-18 at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina, with golf’s elite set to battle for the $20 million purse and 750 FedExCup points.
Defending champion Xander Schauffele returns, but all eyes are on Rory McIlroy, who is chasing back-to-back majors after completing the career Grand Slam with a landmark Masters win in April.
With three victories already this season and unrivaled success at Quail Hollow, McIlroy enters as the in-form favourite.
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Rory McIlroy Odds to Win The PGA Championship
| Golfer | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | 5/1 | 17% |
| Scottie Scheffler | 5/1 | 17% |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Ludvig Aberg | 18/1 | 5.3% |
| Xander Schauffele | 20/1 | 4.8% |
Rory McIlroy heads into the 2025 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow brimming with confidence, making him one of the clear favourites at 5/1 (Betfred) to lift the Wanamaker Trophy.
Fresh off completing his career Grand Slam with a historic victory at The Masters in April, McIlroy is enjoying one of the best stretches of his career, with three PGA Tour wins already this season, including dominant performances at Pebble Beach and The Players Championship.
His track record at Quail Hollow is unmatched - having won there four times at the Wells Fargo Championship, he knows the course intimately and holds two course records, including a 61 in the 2015 Wells Fargo Championship.
With no finish worse than T12 in his recent starts and a closing 65 to win the 2024 Truist by five shots, McIlroy’s blend of incredible form and course familiarity puts him in prime position to contend for his third PGA Championship title.
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As Niall Lyons highlights in his PGA Championship Trends article, recent Masters form has been a strong predictor of success - four of the last five PGA champions finished inside the top 10 at Augusta. He also identifies four key trends that have consistently pointed to potential winners, offering valuable insight for those looking to spot this year’s standout contenders:
- Three top 10s during the season (11 of the last 12)
- 8th or better in the PGA Championship (nine of the last 12)
- Aged 31 or younger (nine of the last 12)
- Driving distance average 305+ (nine of the last 12)
Rory ticks four of the five boxes with just his age (36) being the outlier.
