Kim Bailey’s Vinndiction most backed for Charlie Hall Chase, as punters desert Cyrname
- Cryname drifting as punters favour Vinndication
- Vinndication now vying for favouritism
- Aye Right being supported at a big price
A brilliant renewal of the Charlie Hall Chase this year and an intriguing betting race too. Cyrname sits at the top of the market, but oddschecker users are looking elsewhere. Namely, Gold Cup hopeful Vinndication but one at a bigger price is attracting plenty of attention.
Cyrname on the drift
At the head of the market is Cyrname. Last seen at Ascot in February in gruelling conditions, he took a tumbling fall at the last when beaten. Paul Nicholls reported he is in fine fettle after the incident, but question marks still remain over his performances on left-handed tracks. He’s not gone left handed since running at Aintree in 2018. He could prove his doubters wrong, but it’s a rather big question mark given his price.
His conquering of Altior last year was one of the highlights of last season, but just how much did it take out of him? It remains to be seen if we will see the animal we saw on those three occasions at Ascot in 2019. I’d also be apprehensive about the three mile trip. Only seen over this distance in the King George, he was comprehensively beaten as favourite.
Oddschecker users aren’t too keen about his chances either. Installed as short as 6/4 when the markets first opened on Thursday, the eight-year-old has drifted out to 9/4.
His is only the third most backed horse despite his short price, receiving just 17% of bets in the market.
Vinndication can prove he can mix it with the best
Vinndication, the current second-favourite, is where all the money is going at the moment. As big as 5/1 when the betting opened up, Vinndication has been cut into a general 5/2 shot at the current time of writing.
Kim Bailey’s seven-year-old produced a fantastic round of jumping in the Sodexo Gold Cup on this weekend last year, before finishing fourth under top weight in the Ultima at Cheltenham. He was due to run at Newbury a couple of weeks before Cheltenham but it was cancelled. With a run under his belt coming into Cheltenham, Bailey could have landed a memorable double in March.
Anyhow, he arrives here with the chance to show he is good enough to mix it with the very best chasers. With just six starts over fences, Vinndication is open to a lot of progression. Kim Bailey hopes he could be a Gold Cup horse, which is testament to just how good his trainer thinks he could be.
He’s won on his first run in every season he’s competed in, so there is no doubt that he will be raring to go tomorrow. The Bailey yard are flying at the moment too.
A slight worry would be that he hasn’t won going left-handed, like Cyrname. However, he’s run well at Cheltenham twice so hopefully he can put that concern to bed on Saturday.
The seven-year-old is the most backed horse for the race through oddschecker, with 30% of bets. A few firms have cut him into as short as 9/4, making him joint-favourite with Cyrname. It would be no surprise to see Vinndication go off favourite the way the betting is shaping up.
Sam Spinner will need to improve jumping
Third in the market is Sam Spinner. Three wins from three as a novice last year, but I would be concerned about his jumping. In all three starts he wasn’t fluent, often jumping to the right. It didn’t cost the eight-year-old last season, but this is a far more difficult task.
Jedd O’Keefe’s inmate does have course form, but will have to come on a lot from last season to make an impact here. He’s drifted out to 6/1 during the course of today, having taken just 3% of bets through oddschecker for the race.
Last year's winner Ballyoptic shouldn't be underestimated
Last year’s winner, Ballyoptic, may be overpriced at 7/1 given the way he won this race 12 months ago.
Whilst for the others at the front of the market, there are bigger targets further down the line, Nigel Twiston-Davies will see this as Ballyoptic’s big race this season. Likely to be 100% for this, just as he was last year, you can be confident he will run to form.
He was supposed to run at Chepstow earlier this month, but was taken out on account of the ground being too fast. It would have been more ideal if he had run there, but he goes well fresh so it shouldn’t be too much of a worry.
He’s the fourth most backed horse through oddschecker, with 9% of bets at the moment
Aye Right being backed at a big price
Aye Right may be a 20/1 shot, but is the second most backed horse through oddschecker since the market opened. 33/1 yesterday, the seven-year-old is now as short as 14/1 following a fair amount of money coming for him.
He’s taken a huge 25% of bets; a pretty substantial share is given his price.
Harriet Graham’s runner was good second on seasonal reappearance at Kelso behind Nuts Well, who has gone onto score since. This was over a 2m1f trip that is evidently far too short for him. He didn’t disgrace himself in the RSA last March on just his third start over fences either. Open to a lot of progression and with race fitness on his side, it is easy to see why punters are interested at the big prices on offer.
Of the others, the likeable mare La Bague Au Roi is the most popular at a best price of 20/1, but punters don’t think there’s too much between the rest.
Keeper Hill (25/1) sits just behind her with 5% of bets.
The outsider of the field, Saint Xavier (100/1) has understandably seen very little interest.
It should be a cracking renewal, and the betting at the moment suggests Vinndication has the ability to take this before going onto bigger targets down the line.
|La Bague Au Roi||20/1|
- In-depth football stats
- Multiple deposit methods
- Licensed by UK Gambling Commission